Let You Design The Software: Do You Directly Create Douyin?
Chapter 260: Speculations On Initial Retention, Penguin’S Internal Bet!
After Ma Liuyun's voice finished speaking.
Everyone else present fell into silence.
Others couldn't believe Ma Liuyun's speculation.
Although for penguins now.
The revenue that many mobile games bring to them basically far exceeds that of the client games they are still operating, but the influence of a large client game cannot be compared to the influence of a skin-for-money mobile game.
As long as they still run Dota, the most popular game in the world.
Then the influence of their penguins will not be too low.
but now.
League of Legends has only been in public beta for ten days, and Ma Liuyun has already directly given such a conclusion, which is indeed hard for them to accept.
Manager Ma, are you over exaggerating the influence of League of Legends? "
"You just said that the current 30 million registered players of League of Legends were all acquired by the Junzi Group. Not many of these registered users will eventually stay."
"Why do you give League of Legends such a high rating?"
"Do you think that among the 30 million registered players, at least more than 2 million can stay in League of Legends and become daily active users? But you have to know that the PC MOBA market in Yanguo is not big to begin with. There are only two to three million, how could League of Legends reach the upper limit from the beginning?"
Zheng Haidi on the side couldn't help but retort after hearing what Ma Liuyun said.
In his opinion.
It is not certain who will win between League of Legends and Dota.
"I think that after the announcement and promotion of League of Legends, there are 30 million registered players, and it will be good to have one million become loyal players."
"Most of the players who signed up for the game because of cash bonuses will basically be lost."
“The player base of client games is basically very fixed. Those who play shooting games will not play moba games, and those who play casual games will not play other types of games.
"League of Legends doesn't have such an exaggerated ability to absorb other types of player groups."
"I don't believe there is such a big potential market for PC game MOBAs."
Faced with Zheng Haiti's doubts.
Ma Liuyun was silent for a moment.
"I'll keep my guesses to myself."
"After the League of Legends event ends, there will be at least three million daily active players, which will definitely surpass Dota.
Zheng Haiti shook his head.
"Impossible. The PC MOBA market in Yanguo will not be so big. It can have three million daily active users in ten days. Could it be that League of Legends will eventually have ten million daily active users? How is this possible?"
Because all Internet game practitioners know it.
The number of players in a client game must have a growth curve and will not be consumed all at once. Therefore, if a client game has 3 million daily active users in the ten days of public beta, then the highest number of daily active users of this client game will at least be Triple it.
As long as there are no problems in long-term operations, the number of users of moba games will continue to grow for a long time.
It is precisely because they know this data that Haiti firmly says it is impossible.
Dota, the most popular PC game in the world, has only 5 million daily active users worldwide.
And if the data Ma Liuyun said is true, then the daily active users of League of Legends in Yan Kingdom will eventually reach 10 million. How is this possible?
Ma Liuyun also murmured.
"I also know that this number is a bit exaggerated."
"I don't think it's possible either."
"If it were any other company, even if I guessed this data, I wouldn't believe it, but the point is, this is Junzi Group and this is Wang Mo."
"So the daily active users of League of Legends in the early days will be at least three million!"
After hearing this, Zheng Hai laughed.
"Do you dare to make a bet?"
“If the daily active users of League of Legends are less than 2 million in the early stage, you will give me 2 million, otherwise I will give you 2 million, and for every 10 million more users, I will add 500 more!
"The profit you make from this kind of bet is much greater than the profit I win. You shouldn't refuse, right?"
Zheng Haiti is also very confident in his own judgment.
That's why he gave this kind of unequal bet, because he felt that he would never lose.
See this.
Ma Liuyun couldn't help but shook his head.
"Since you want to bet, then I will bet with you."
“I just hope you don’t regret it when the time comes.
Watch the conversation between the two.
The pony on the side didn't know what to say.
Although he knew very well that Ma Liuyun's ability was indeed superior to Zheng Haidi's and his judgment of various situations was accurate, the figure of three million daily active users was indeed too exaggerated.
Not to mention that League of Legends has only been in open beta for ten days.
Even if the League of Legends can defeat Dota, it won't be so fast, right?
"."No matter what the initial results of League of Legends will be, we should know the answer in a few days. "
At this time, Li Wenqiu also spoke.
"Generally after this kind of large-scale promotion activity ends, the number of software users will gradually decline in a short period of time. When the decline reaches a certain level, it will start to stagnate and there will be a rebound trend.
This point in time is the point where the user becomes stable after the event. "
"This won't take long."
at this time.
Except Penguin Group.
Many other Internet game companies, as well as countless game players, also want to know how many users League of Legends can retain after its vigorous promotion.
After all this number.
Determined the title of Yanguo's first terminal game.
at the same time.
On the second day after the alliance public beta event ended.
Within the Gentleman Group.
"Boss, now that the League of Legends event is over, the number of players should continue to decline for a period of time (for King Nuo). The number of players today is already millions less than yesterday.
"In the future, this number should continue to decrease."
"In the end, this number should stay around three million."
Zhang Fan is already quite satisfied with this result.
Because this number has exceeded the number of Dota players in Yan Kingdom.
But after hearing these words, Wang Hei shook his head.
"You still underestimate the League of Legends."
Hearing these words, Zhang Fan was stunned.
"What do you think, boss?"
“How many loyal players will League of Legends be able to attract in the early stages after a large-scale announcement during its first public beta?”
Wang Mo stretched out a finger.
"One million?" Zhang Fan said subconsciously.
But Wang Mo chuckled.
"Ten million!".
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