Werewolf: I'm a natural showman, you win easily

Chapter 216: Pufferfish’s tricks?

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"Player No. 1, please stop being so frivolous. If you can chat well, I can consider letting you use Didi to jump on my behalf, but I really cannot agree with the wolf pit you ordered."

"I guess the good guys in the external position won't recognize the wolf pit you ordered. If so, you will be regarded as a tough wolf. In my eyes, you must be a good person. I can't just watch you die."

The good guy was stunned by the words of player No. 2. He originally thought that 1 and 7 would jump out as bears, but 2 jumped out as a bear again.

Even though they were experienced veterans, they all frowned, because it was extremely rare for three bears to jump out of this board.

The Wolves can use the Arhat jump to the Prophet and play some fancy tricks, but I have never heard of Arhat jumping to the Bear.

Therefore, 1 and 2 are unlikely to be double wolves. If 1 and 2 are double wolves, player 2 must be crazy and would jump to the bear position again.

But precisely because players 1 and 2 cannot form a pair of wolves, there is a high possibility that player 2 is a bear.

"Player 1, why don't you back off?"

Before he finished speaking, the water receded.

In this way, it really is 2 or 7 pairs of jumping bears.

Those who originally tended to believe that Player No. 7 was a bad player suddenly changed their minds degrees.

"Now it is certain that 1 and 3 are good people. As for why player 1 wants to jump the bear with 7, I don't know, but I know he must be a good person."

"This board can't deal with our 1st and 2nd wolves, right? If 1 and I were wolf teammates, he would have jumped into the bear position, so I can't jump into the bear position again. This is completely illogical."

“7号玩家是悍跳狼，他对警下的4、9都有敌意，甚至不惜盘位置学点4、9进狼坑。”

“单从发言来看，7号玩家和4、9应该是不见面的，7是狼，那4、9大概率就是好人。”

"But in a situation like ours, we must not only look at the superficial statements, but also think about the deeper logic."

"For example, did player No. 7 deliberately step on players 4 and 9 to give them an identity? After all, a fake role may fail. Once the good guys realize that he is a wolf, wouldn't his speech sell out that players 4 and 9 are all good guys?"

"I don't think the No. 7 player would make such a low-level mistake. Maybe one of his teammates is a wolf among the No. 4 and No. 9 players."

"Notice, I said maybe. It's also possible that I'm overthinking it. Player 7 knew that I would think he wouldn't sell out two good guys, 4 and 9, so he deliberately did the opposite. This possibility also exists."

2号玩家并没有因为7盘位置学点4、9进狼坑，就贸然把4、9认下来。

On the contrary, he seems more inclined to have a wolf appear between 4 and 9.

Player No. 7 may be deliberately stepping on his wolf teammates to create an identity, so as to avoid selling out the two good guys 4 and 9 after his identity is exposed.

And by stepping on his wolf teammates, it is difficult to judge who is the wolf between 4 and 9 just from his speech.

不过2号玩家聪明的一点就在于他没有非要认为7踩4、9是在做身份，他还想到了7不按套路出牌的情况。

The thinking is quite comprehensive and there are many ideas.

From this point of view, he seems more like a bear.

"I strongly disagree with the police playing with three wolves and the No. 12 player leading the pace against the 10th and 11th double wolves."

"Listen carefully, I'm not saying that 12 is definitely wrong, I just don't agree with his logic and ideas."

"As for player No. 11, I define him as a good person. His comments don't seem to have any wolfish connotations."

"First of all, he knows that the Dialogue White Cat must be hidden well. This card can only be used to the end. If the White Cat is found when there are other magic cards on the field, then his skills will be wasted."

"In fact, the white cat should try hard to hide and seek so that the wolf can't find it. This is the essence of this card."

"As for the pufferfish, if you can hide it, hide it. If you can't hide it, take a photo of your identity. I really don't recommend doing anything fancy and just want to blow up the werewolf."

"The skill of the pufferfish is a double-edged sword. If used well, it can kill the wolf chasing rounds, but if used poorly, it may directly let the werewolf win."

"I don't ask for the pufferfish to do anything spectacular, nor do I ask for the pufferfish to help the good guys catch up. I just ask for the pufferfish to be honest and not make things worse. Thank God."

"Also, player No. 11 also told the good guys not to play in the outer position. Although the fact that Wolf Beauty couldn't activate her skills last night was a great opportunity for the good guys to play her, if you rashly go to the outer position to return the vote, it might backfire."

"If a pufferfish or a white cat is accidentally released, the good people will have nowhere to cry."

"The most important thing is that he mentioned the restraint that the fox and pufferfish have on the wolf beauty. In other words, if we want to target the wolf beauty, we have many ways to do so. There is no need to rush today."

"I think what Player 11 said makes sense. With the fox and the pufferfish, do we need to be afraid of the wolf beauty?"

"Today, my main goal is to push the wolf out of the game. As long as you recognize me as a bear, I will most likely win this round."

"11 should be a good guy, 12 has a lot of bad side, his comments feel like he is trying to lead the good guys to play 10 and 11 as double wolves."

“1号玩家说如果12是狼，不会打10、11，这样会让他们团结起来一致对外，但如果是10、12双狼呢？”

"If player No. 12 mixes players No. 10 and No. 11 together, will it be able to fish in troubled waters?"

"Now the wolf pit I ordered is that three wolves are opened among the four people 7, 8, 10, and 12, and then another wolf is opened under the police."

"Of course, although I think 11 is most likely a good person, I can't rule out the possibility that he is a wolf. After all, making a good speech doesn't necessarily mean he is a good person."

"Okay, that's all I want to say to you, police officer. I hope you can recognize me. That's it. It's over."

[Player No. 3 please speak]

"If 2 or 7 are against jumping bears, there's nothing much to say. I will definitely stand on the side of player 2. If 1 or 7 are against jumping bears, I will stand on the side of player 7."

“因为1点的狼坑就有问题，12号玩家是站边7的，他点10、11双狼互踩情有可原，但是1自己跟7是个对立面，这怎么能跟12站边7的视角一样呢？”

“不管10、11是不是双狼，不管这个逻辑对错与否，1号玩家能认同12对10、11的身份定义，这视角就有问题。”

Player No. 3 stood up and expressed his attitude and position. He stood on the side of Player No. 2, which was completely expected.

Not to mention that 1 and 2 cannot form a double wolves, player No. 2 does not look like a wolf trying to be a tough guy. Let's say that 3 is equivalent to receiving the gold and water from 2. He will not directly turn against the water when he is on guard, right?
If 1 and 7 jump together, he will stand on the side of 7 without hesitation, because there are big problems with 1's perspective and the wolf pit that is pointed out.

The stance and the butt are different, but the perspective is the same. This is obviously wrong.

Therefore, if player 1 and player 7 jump against each other, he will stand firmly on the side of player 7. Attacking player 1 is a wolf, but now there is nothing he can do.

He thinks 2 is a bear, and 1 must be a good guy, a good guy who is having fun. I don't know what he is trying to do by jumping into the bear mode.

"According to the three wolves on the police, it means that three wolves will appear among 7, 8, 10, 11, and 12. I don't think it's necessary to rack your brains to analyze their common edges. Just take a picture of their identities."

"Both the Pufferfish and the White Cat should be reported to the police, right? If player number 1 is not the White Cat or the Pufferfish, then these two gods must be among 8, 10, 11, and 12. Once they reveal their identities, the Wolf Pit will come out."

"A wolf comes out today, a fox will come out tonight, and another wolf will come out tomorrow. We are almost certain to win this game."

"If the white cat really doesn't want to take photos, that's fine. The pufferfish can jump out. There's no need to hide this card. It's good to jump out and take photos."

3号玩家觉得眼下这种情况已经不需要去盘8、10、11、12的共边关系了，把身份一拍，狼不就无所遁形了嘛。

If the White Cat really doesn't want to jump, the Pufferfish can jump out to clear the hole. This card does not need to be hidden, but any Pufferfish that wants to hide will go for the Bombing Wolf.

In particular, some Pufferfish deliberately chat poorly, so that they can become the wolf team's anti-push position.

Then wait for the wolves to set the pace and push you back, and after they are out of the game, use your skills to take away all those who attack you.

However, when the good guys are leading in turns and have an advantageous situation, there is no need for the puffer to do this. The gain will not outweigh the loss, and the good guys might end up getting killed.

"The police opened the wolf, I think it was player 4, or it is most likely player 4."

“一方面，从位置学的角度看，我们1、2、3、4、5五个人当中总归要出一狼的吧？”

"It's possible that there are five good guys in a row, but it's really small, so I personally think it's player No. 4 who will be the wolf under the police."

"Of course, this is just my initial judgment. I still have to see how 4 talks. If the conversation goes well, I will go to deal with players 6 and 9. Otherwise, 4 will have to stay in the wolf pit."

"On the other hand, I think players 6 and 7 should not be double wolves. If they are, and player 6 pretends to be a bear, it is easy to turn his wolf teammates into focus positions."

"Even if there is a wolf among 6 and 8, it can't be two wolves. 6, 7, and 8 are three wolves, and 7 comes out to show off. This doesn't make sense."

"Player No. 8 is in the wolf pit, so that way, Player No. 6 can be put aside a bit."

"Similarly, judging from what player No. 10 said, it doesn't look like 9 and 10 can form a pair of wolves. Since player No. 10 is in the wolf pit, player No. 9 can't move further into the wolf pit."

Player No. 3 believes that the wolf under the police should be 4, and he also analyzed the logic from two aspects.

On the one hand, it’s a matter of positional science, the likelihood of five consecutive good guys is relatively small, so player 4 was killed.

Strictly speaking, this is not logical, but it is also wrong to say that this approach makes no sense at all.

另一方面，6号玩家和8号玩家做不成双狼，9号玩家和10号玩家做不成双狼，8、10都在狼坑里，6、9就要暂时认下来。

警下只有4、6、9三个人，6、9择出去了，还是4号玩家的匪面更大一些。

Although Player 3's logic makes some sense, it doesn't make sense if you think about it carefully.

It is true that 8 and 10 are in the wolf's den, but they may not be wolves. Since they may not be wolves, how can 6 and 9 be easily let go?

Therefore, the logic of 3 is problematic and flawed.

Of course, the flawed logic does not mean that he is a wolf. It only means that his logic is not rigorous, untenable, and cannot stand up to scrutiny. That's all.

If you want to push him into the wolf's den, you can naturally use this point as a commotion and use it as a logical point to attack him.

But if you don’t want Plate 3 to be a wolf, you can just treat him as a good guy with illogical logic.

"Give the police badge to player number 5. It will be more useful for him than for the bear."

"But I hope that 5 will belong to player 7 today. 2 is unlikely to be a wolf because if he were a wolf, he would not jump after 1."

"Okay, that's all I want to say on the police. You're a good guy, that's it. It's over."

[The speech for the Sheriff’s election is over, players under the police are invited to start voting]

As soon as player No. 3 took the microphone, the system prompt sounded.

There is no suspense in this round of sheriff voting. No matter who is the bear between 2nd and 7th, the one who gets the police badge will definitely be the fox.

If the fox doesn't jump, it might be Player No. 2 who gets the police badge. Now the possibility of him turning into a bear is much greater than that of Player No. 7.

But then again, is it impossible for 1 and 2 to be a pair of wolves? Although in theory, 1 and 2 are a pair of wolves, and 2 has no reason to jump to a bear, but in many cases, wolves like to play cards out of the ordinary.

Therefore, as long as good people want to do something, they will be able to do it. Maybe 1 and 2 are just tricks.

Or maybe No. 1 is a good guy who is good at showing off his skills, and No. 2 has a wolf as his trump card. He knows that No. 1 cannot be a bear, so he just jumps in. This possibility is also completely possible. The key is to see what the good guy thinks.

There is not much time, and the voting results are out.

4, 6, and 9 choose to vote for player No. 5.

Without any surprises, 5 people voted unanimously to get the police badge.

[Last night on Christmas Eve, the Sheriff was asked to choose the order of speaking for this round]

The system's beep sounded in everyone's ears.

[Player No. 6 please speak]

"How should I put it? I kind of want to turn against player 2 and side with him. It's not that player 7's speech is not as good as player 2's, but mainly because player 1 and player 2 can't be a duo."

"I just don't believe that player 2, as a wolf, would jump into the bear after player 1 has already jumped. This doesn't make sense."

"But I can't figure it out. The No. 1 hole card is not a bear, so why did he jump to the bear card? What's the purpose? Player No. 1 must explain it to us later."

"Although I don't think 1 and 2 can be a double wolf, if 1 can't explain his behavior clearly, I will suspect that the reason why player 2 jumped into the bear game is that he thought 1's speech was too lame."

"If we let him and 7 jump together, the good guys will definitely stand on 7's side. Then, the Wolves' situation will become very difficult."

"So, player 2 gives player 1 a boost, and then player 1 can retreat and say that he showed off his skills."

"Having said all that, I just want to tell Player 1 that you must explain to the good guys why your bottom card is not a bear and why you have to jump to the bear on the police."

"If you can't explain it clearly, I'm sure I'm not the only one who can play 1 and 2 double wolves. Player 2 will jump for you."

Player No. 6 is the gold and water of Player No. 7, but he doesn’t really want to stand on the side of Player No. 7 now, because Player No. 2’s bear jumps on the police, which doesn’t feel like a tough jump.

1 and 2 double wolf disks are not connected unless it is a hard disk. Just as he guessed, the reason why 2 jumped into the bear again in the back position is because 1's speech was too bad.

But if you can avoid it, then don't do it this way. After all, this is a low-probability event. If you rush to hit one or two pairs of wolves, it would be malicious speculation.

But he really couldn't figure out what the meaning of player 1 jumping the bear was and what the benefit was.

He had seen people wearing prophet's clothes and doing some cool things, but it was rare to see them wearing bear's clothes.

This made him a little suspicious, and he was afraid that it was really the 1st and 2nd wolves, so he talked to Player 1 and strongly asked him to explain why he jumped into the bear trap. This is also the problem of most good people.

"From my perspective, the only way for the police to open the wolf is between 4 and 9. If 2 is really a bear, then it should be player 4. Otherwise, it must be the good guy of the sixth row. The possibility is too low."

"But if player 2 is not a bear, player 4 should be the good guy. I don't believe that if player 2 and player 4 are both wolves, player 2 will come out to pretend to be a bear and send his wolf teammates to the anti-push position."

"Also, the logic behind Player 3's warning to the upper plate is not without reason. Players 9 and 10 do not share the same side. Since Player 10 is in the wolf's pit, Player 9 can temporarily take over."

"In this case, player 4 will have a lot of room to maneuver, unless player 10 is not a wolf. If player 10 is not a wolf, then players 11 and 12 are likely to be two wolves. Otherwise, the wolf pits are not in place."

"In fact, the speech of the policeman No. 10 was not good. He was trying to play No. 9 in the follow-up position, and his conversation with No. 11 was indeed a little contrived."

"To some extent, the fact that player No. 12 played 10 and 11 may be a double wolf stepping on each other to establish their identities. I agree with this."

"Player No. 10 threw a water bag at Player No. 11, and Player No. 11 pressed Player No. 10 to the ground without hesitation. The relationship between these two people may not be as simple as one wolf and one good guy."

"Although the speech of player 11 is good, he told the white cat to hide and not to reveal its identity unless it is absolutely necessary, and he strongly opposed the suggestion of player 10, saying that he did not want to play in the external position today, so as not to accidentally play the god card. These are all ways that he is like a good person."

"But I think we should still be more cautious, especially in the current situation. The wolf pit is very crowded, and we can't easily recognize 11."

"I need to hear more about whether 11 is a good person or not. Right now I feel like the relationship between 10, 11, and 12 is pretty twisted."

"10 didn't listen and threw water bags at 11, 11 hit back directly, 12 sets 10 and 11 might be two wolves, are there any of them stepping on each other for identity? Is it two wolves stepping on a good guy, or one good guy stepping on two wolves? This is still to be discussed."

"Finally, let me talk to player 7. Don't blame me for betraying player 2. If I didn't betray player 2 and say that I tend to believe that player is a bear, I'm afraid I would be suspected of being a wolf."

"You throw gold water at me. I do have a good impression of you, but this good impression alone cannot make me stand on your side. Player No. 2 is the wolf."

"Let's see how you talk later. And can Player 1 give me a reasonable explanation? Right now I haven't decided who I'm going to vote for. Everything is still full of variables."

"Alright, that's all I want to say in this round, police. I'm a good guy, don't suspect I'm a wolf, that's it, it's over."

[Player No. 7 please speak]

"I'm very disappointed in you, player No. 6. You're my gold player, and you turned against me on the first day, right? I can accept that the outside players are standing by No. 2. Even if Zihu believes that No. 2 is a bear, I can understand it."

"But you are my Jinshui No. 6 player, and you betrayed me and stood on the side 2. To be honest, I was very upset."

"Just now you said that 1 and 2 can't be a double wolf. If they are wolf teammates, the possibility of 2 jumping back to help 1 in the back position is very small."

"I totally agree with your idea, player 6. I don't think 1 and 2 can be two wolves, but player 2 is jumping against me, so he must be a wolf. In this case, 1 is a good guy."

"Didn't you ask why Player 1 jumped to the Bear card when his hole card wasn't a Bear? I think I can answer this question for Player 1."

"If I'm not mistaken, player 1 should be Pufferfish. He thinks my speech doesn't sound like a bear. He thinks the bear is between 2 and 3, so he wants to help 2 Didi jump."

"If 2 and 3 don't shoot him in the back position, he will put on his clothes, and the wolf will mistake him for a bear."

"The first day will definitely be a turn for the two bears, and my speech is not bad either. This way, the Wolves will most likely rush for votes."

"If he is pushed out, he can flip the card and activate the skill to kill all the wolves that are rushing to vote. Maybe he can wipe out the whole wolf team in one round."

"This is also the dream scene of many pufferfish, to kill all the werewolves at once. The only way to do this is to jump bear, and to jump against the tough wolf. The real bear takes the opportunity to hide."

"It's a pity that Player 1 made a serious mistake in judgment. My trump card is not a wolf, but a real bear. Player 2 is the wolf pretending to be a tough guy, so he has to come out to pretend to be a tough guy."

"The bear didn't roar last night, and player 2 is a wolf and is next to player 1. Doesn't this mean that player 1 is not a bear? It's normal for him to talk to player 1 and make him retreat, isn't it?"

Player No. 7's guess and analysis about the jumping bear on Police Officer 1 made all the good guys' eyes light up.

I have to admit that what he said does make sense. If the first trump card is a pufferfish, and if you are determined to make a big splash, it is really possible to wear bear clothes and do a Didi jump.

The first day is always the turn of the two bears. 7 chats well and the bears have a high face value. In this case, will the Wolves rush to vote? Ninety-nine percent of them will rush to vote.

If they rush to push player No. 1 out, No. 1 can activate his skills and take out the entire wolf team in one wave. At that time, he can almost defeat the wolf team by himself.

If the Wolves fail to rush him out, then the one who dies is player No. 7, and the good guys still gain.

Therefore, it is very likely that Player No. 1 is a pufferfish. Perhaps only a pufferfish can do such a thing.

Anyway, after listening to the analysis from Player No. 7, the good guys already believed that Player No. 1 was a pufferfish.

But Ren Fan couldn't believe it, because he was the real pufferfish, okay?

Although the 7th plate looked quite reasonable, it was still wrong.

"Player No. 1, I can only say that you are the great benefactor of the Wolves. With this wave of showy operations, you have infinitely raised the Wolves' bear face. You have led all the good people into the ditch, do you know?"

"Originally, the good guys tended to side with me, but after what you did, they now think that if you two can't be a pair of wolves, you'll be real bears."

"You said you did evil or not?"

"I hope you will turn back after listening to my speech this time, and don't stand on his side just because the 2-jump bear threw gold water at you."

"In fact, you know better than anyone that 2 is probably a tough guy who is using you to improve his image."

"If you still think I'm not a bear, but a tough guy, then this game is completely over."

"The reason I pointed out your identity is to tell you that you have failed, brother. Don't show off if you don't have the level in the future."

“It also tells player 6 and the good people in the outside position why player 1 jumped the bear and what his benefits and purpose are.”

"You don't need to think about the logic of 1 and 2 being two wolves. You just need to think that 2 is a fake wolf."

"And I think players 2 and 3 should be the wolf teammates. Player 3 is trying to trick the white cat and the pufferfish into jumping out."

"As the gold water of player No. 2, it is understandable that he stands on the side of player No. 2. I didn't expect him to turn against me on the first day. This is obviously unrealistic, especially when player No. 2 takes advantage of the strength of player No. 1 to jump out."

"His gangster side mainly lies in the fact that he didn't carefully sort out the relationship between 10, 11, and 12 at the end, and just said that he would fight with his identity."

"If good people say this, how can we reason? How can we judge each person's identity based on their speech?"

"Player No. 3's mentality is extremely bad. I think he is very likely a wolf."

"Player 10's comments have some bandit aspects, but it's hard to say whether they are wolf-like."

"I learned 4 and 9 to enter the wolf pit from the top position, and he also learned 9 to enter the wolf pit from the back position. In fact, there is no difference in essence."

"So, I don't want to use this against the No. 10 player."

"Putting this aside, there is one place where 10 made me feel that he is a good person, that is, when he talked to Zihu. Today, we can consider going to the external position to produce Wolf Beauty."

"I don't think his mentality is like that of a wolf. If he were a wolf, I'm afraid he wouldn't be able to talk about this. Only a good person would think of resisting the wolf beauty during her skill window."

"This is the highlight of Player 10's speech. If he hadn't mentioned this, I would have pushed him into a wolf's pit."

"Player No. 11 also followed the trend and opened a wolf between 9 and 10, but he strongly disagreed with Player No. 10's idea and did not want to return the vote in the outside position today."

“Although his logic and reasons are very sound and there is nothing wrong with them, I feel that he is not as good as the No. 10 player. Perhaps it is because his mentality and sense of hearing give me a wolfish vibe.”

"It's not even ruled out that he is Lang Mei, so I'm quite sensitive about this issue."

"And player No. 12 directly played the game with two wolves 10 and 11 stepping on each other to establish their identities. What he said does make sense, but starting with this kind of rhythm is a bit like washing the good guys' hair to find a position to resist the push."

"I think we should start a wolf between 11 and 12. I want to temporarily choose player 10."

“其实12号玩家盘10、11狼踩狼做身份勉强也算是一个亮点，警上1不是对这个想法大加赞赏吗？从这点来看，他的好人面比11号玩家大。”

“So, I am more inclined to believe that 2, 3, and 11 are the three wolves, and player No. 12 is the error tolerance.”

"The wolf under the police is between 4 and 9. Judging from the current situation, the bandit side of player 9 is bigger, because the speech of the 3rd police is hostile to 4."

"This means that players 3 and 4 are most likely not acquainted, unless player 3 is deliberately stepping on player 4 to create an opposite identity, but this possibility is relatively small."

"Player 5, the police badge is in your hands now. Your opinion is very important. It almost determines who leaves and who stays."

"I hope you can make the right choice after listening to my speech this round. If I am pushed out, the good guys will be in a very passive position because the pufferfish will already be on the table."

"The three gods, Fox, Pufferfish and Bear, are all out. As long as the Wolf finds the White Cat, it's like Snail is defeated. So we don't have much room for error. We must push the Wolf out today."

"Alright, that's all I want to say for this round, police. Player No. 2, you must play Player No. 2, that's it, we've passed."

(End of this chapter)