Werewolf: Please start your show

[Player No. 9 please speak]

"First of all, I'm not a bear trainer, but the bear growled last night, which means there are wolves with the bear trainer."

"It may not be just one person. Maybe both sides of the bear trainer are wolves. Although this possibility is very low, we must find out."

"Especially, you can't subconsciously think that since you have found a wolf next to the bear trainer, you can let the other one go. This is definitely not okay."

After a pause, Player 9 said, "The bear tamer's board. On the first day, the bear tamer is more useful than the prophet. After all, he can test two people at a time."

"But as time went on, the bear trainers became worse and worse, and even became mere decorations."

"So, I actually hope that the bear doesn't roar on the first day, so that I can find three good people to pit, the bear trainer and the two people around him."

"But the bear is roaring now, and I can sense that the next speech will be very exciting."

"If the bear doesn't roar, the wolf may not jump on the bear trainer. But once the bear roars, the wolf will most likely jump on the trainer."

"At that time, we will not only have to distinguish between real and fake bear trainers, but also between the two people on the bear trainer's side, who is the wolf, or whether they are all wolves. This is much more difficult than distinguishing between the prophets on the first day."

As for which of the two situations, the bear roared or did not roar, the Wolves are more likely to encounter a tough guy. It all depends on one's opinion.

Some people think that if the bear tamer doesn't roar, there is no need for the wolf to jump out and it would be better to just make a deep push.

But Gu Feng believed that the wolves would only jump out if the bear trainer did not roar. Otherwise, it would be difficult for them to survive.

Three good guys will be chosen on the first day, and their identities will be revealed by then, so the wolves won’t be able to hide anymore.

Therefore, when the bear roars, the wolf may not necessarily jump out, because it is not a one-on-one fight anyway. The wolf can just find a way to compete with the other good guy next to the bear trainer in speaking.

If all else fails, you can use your magic card to force the good guys out of the game, then self-destruct the next day, and then continue to chop at night. This way, the Wolf Team will make a lot of money.

But if the bear hadn't roared, the Wolves would have been unable to sit still and would have had to jump out to distract the good guys' sight.

If you still choose to push deeply, there is a possibility that the good guy will go directly to the highway.

In addition to the gold and water on both sides of the bear tamer, the external positions should shoot their identities, and then push the civilians in the pit and poison the civilians in the pit. It is difficult for the wolf team to withstand such indiscriminate attacks.

In fact, the Wolves are going to pretend to be bear tamers, and it is difficult for the good guys to stand on the opposite side.

Because bear tamers are not like prophets who can show their perspective through human logic and police badge flow.

The bear tamer's skill of checking people is passive, so he can't play the police badge flow, and there is no logic for checking people.

In this way, it is much more difficult for good people to distinguish between a true bear tamer and a false one than to distinguish between a true and false prophet.

The worst thing is, once two bear tamers jump against each other, the players around the two bear tamers will become the focus, and then they will have a lot of logic to play.

If he recognized the person next to him as the bear trainer, he would have to kill the other person next to the bear trainer.

If you do not recognize that the person next to you is the bear tamer, you must stand on the side of the bear tamer in the external position, find the wolf next to the bear tamer, and talk out the reasons and logic, so as to clear yourself of suspicion.

But if we talk like this, the people around us who are regarded as the real bear tamer will definitely not be happy.

They will think that people who do this are wolves who want to put the focus on them.

Under the influence of this mentality, they will feel that the person next to them is a tough wolf, and the person in the external position is the real bear tamer.

Or even if they believe that the person next to them is the real bear tamer, they will madly beat the other person next to the bear tamer and call him a wolf.

At that time, good guys will beat good guys, good guys will beat werewolves, werewolves will beat good guys, and it is even possible that wolves will kill wolves, and wolf teams will step on each other to establish their identities.

Therefore, as long as the bear tamers jump against each other, the situation on the field will inevitably become very chaotic.

The two bear trainers and whoever is with them will go into the wolf pit.

These people will always be suspicious and attack each other, looking for each other's explosive points. Just think about how brain-burning it is.

"Brothers, you must listen carefully to the speeches and don't be distracted. Not only must you listen to the speeches and logic, but you must also pay attention to the details and try to stand on the right side to fight the wolf."

"This is very important to us. Once we recognize the wrong bear trainer and the Wolves take the lead, we will be passive, very passive. The main reason is that this board has no guards and the error tolerance rate is relatively low."

"So, you have to be extra cautious when taking sides, and use more logic, especially those around the two bear trainers, try to have a better conversation."

"As for the Hidden Wolf issue, I personally suggest not to consider it on the first day. The situation is already complicated, and adding a Hidden Wolf to the mix will probably make your brain explode."

"Let's find the bear trainer first, and then determine which of the two people beside him is the wolf. I think this is what we should do on the first day, and put the rest aside."

There is nothing wrong with the logical thinking of player No. 9. There is a hidden wolf on this board. The fact that the bear did not roar does not mean that there must be good people around him. However, it is a low-probability event that the hidden wolf happens to be next to the bear tamer.

It would be too complicated if there were wolves around the bear trainer when the bear didn't roar.

It's not that you can't do it, after all, small probability events do happen from time to time. The key is that you can't do it on the first day, otherwise the CPU will burn out.

What's more, everyone has limited speaking time and cannot go through so many logical lines. If you force yourself to do so, you might end up confusing yourself.

"There are only 7 or 10 people under the police. At most, one wolf will be dispatched, or four wolves will be dispatched to the police. This is my initial assessment of the situation of the police above and the police below."

"Of course, in theory, it is not ruled out that 7 and 10 are wolves, but it would be meaningless to do it this way."

"Okay, I'm the first to speak. This is all I can say. Although there is no logical output, I still hope that everyone can recognize me. That's it. I'm done."

After listening to Player No. 9’s speech, Gu Feng felt that he was most likely a good person.

To be honest, it is very good that the first speaker can have such a good conversation without any fuss.

What's more, Player No. 9's speech has highlighted the difficulties and possible problems of the Bear Tamer board, which is very valuable for people who don't know much about this board.

The most important thing is 9's attitude towards Hidden Wolf, which is in line with the mentality of a good person.

If he were a wolf, he would definitely remind good people not to forget Pan Yin Wolf.

On the surface, it seems to be a reminder for everyone not to forget Pan Yinlang's logical behavior. In fact, this increases the logical burden on the good people. This is not really for the good people's sake, but is finding ways to disrupt the good people's perspective.

Player No. 9 thinks that the logic of Hidden Wolf can be put aside for the time being, and finding the bear tamer first is the top priority. This coincides with Gu Feng's idea, so he thinks that No. 9 is most likely a good person.

Why do we say that there is a high probability that he is a good person?
It's very simple. Nothing is absolute, let alone judging identity. Sometimes wolves will say something that sounds very good. If you recognize him just by listening to his one round of speech, it is very inaccurate.

Therefore, now Gu Feng can only say that Player No. 9 is most likely a good person, and the bandit aspect is relatively small, but whether he is really a good person, or a wolf who speaks well, it depends on his stance and the wolf pit pointed out by the police.

[Player No. 8 please speak].
"I'm not a bear tamer here. I come to the police just to have a chat. I feel itchy all over when I stay under the police. This game is soulless if I don't go to the police."

"It's a pity that I'm in a high position, and the only person who spoke before me was player No. 9, and he's not even a bear tamer."

"I don't know what you guys are thinking when you play this board, I just hope the people around me can be bear trainers."

"Either the bear roared, or the bear didn't roar."

"When the bear roars, I know who the wolf is. As long as I can make myself clear, I can vote the wolf out on the first day. If I can't make myself clear and can't compete with the wolf in speech, then it's my fault and I deserve to be eliminated."

"If the bear hadn't roared, I would be Jinshui. Then I could be bolder in my logic. I wouldn't have to be so cautious and trembling for fear of offending others."

Player No. 8’s ideas are really special and different from those of ordinary people.

If the bear didn't roar and the bear trainer was by his side, he could just catch some golden water.

The key is that he also hopes that the bear will roar, so he can go to the anti-push position to show his strength and use his speech to drive the wolf out of the game. This is a bit like licking blood on the edge of a knife.

But like he said, everyone has his own favorite things, and he likes to have the bear tamer around, whether he is receiving gold and water or checking and killing.

"What player No. 9 said just now is right. If this board wolf pretends to be a bear tamer, it will be difficult to tell whether he is a good guy or not with closed eyes."

"After all, bear tamers are different from prophets. Prophets have accurate detection and gold water, and can play the police badge flow, while bear tamers can only have a vague identity definition of the people around them, which adds a lot of uncertainty."

"Most importantly, the bear trainer can't use the badge flow and can't actively check people. This makes it difficult for us to determine who is the bear trainer and who is the wolf through perspective."

"No matter what, we have to prepare for the worst. If nothing unexpected happens, the Wolves will most likely make a strong move."

"Although this will result in the sale of one more wolf, it can also muddy the waters thoroughly. After all, once two bear trainers show up, it will affect four people, and everyone will definitely fight each other."

Player No. 8 thinks that in this game, the wolf will most likely not honestly play deep push with the good guys, and will definitely come out as a bear tamer to disrupt the situation. If the two bear tamers speak in a similar way, the logic will be complicated.

After all, if you want to recognize a bear tamer, you have to find out if there is a wolf around him. And if there are two people around him, who is the wolf? Or should we find out if they are both wolves?
This is fine if it's in an outside position, but if a player happens to be next to one of the bear tamers, can he still maintain an objective attitude?
If he recognizes the bear trainer next to him, he will have to kill the other person next to the bear trainer. Instead of doing this, it would be better to think that the bear trainer next to him is a fake. If everyone has this idea, it will become more difficult to distinguish the real bear trainer from the fake one.

"Oh, by the way, if the two bear trainers' statements are similar and we really can't tell them apart, we can also work backwards."

"For example, if player No. 6 plays the role of a bear tamer, after listening to the speeches, if I feel that players No. 5 and No. 7 are good people, then there is a big question mark about his role as a bear tamer."

"On the other hand, if either 5 or 7 speaks like a wolf, then the possibility that 6 is a bear tamer will increase." "This is called reverse inference. If a wolf comes out to act tough, it will be killed by the two gods if it's unlucky."

"In fact, most of the time, I don't judge whether a bear trainer is genuine or fake based on the quality of his own speech, but mostly through the people on his left and right."

"Especially when you are next to the bear trainer, it is easier to distinguish the real from the fake. After all, the external player needs to judge the identities of two people before drawing a conclusion, while you only need to judge the identity of one person."

"So, reverse reasoning is definitely an important logical approach to identify bear trainers. This method combined with the bear trainer's own statement should be able to stand on the right side."

"As for the No. 9 player in the front position, I think he is most likely a good person, because he talked about a lot of useful things and has a good attitude."

"Look at his side and the wolf pit he chose. If there is no problem, he will basically not be able to be defeated in this round."

"Another point is that if a bear tamer jumps against another bear tamer, it must happen between the two bear tamers. This way, tomorrow when we wake up, we can use the information reported by the system to determine whether we are on the right side or not."

"If the system still tells us that the bear roared, it means that the bear is still present, and the one who was pushed out was the tough wolf. If the system tells us that the bear did not roar, it means that we are on the wrong side."

"So, no one should set the pace in the outside position. They must be in the bear tamer position. This is the awareness that everyone must have."

Player No. 8 is right.

The bear roared. If anyone on the field wanted to challenge the bear tamer, then one of the two bear tamers would have to do it.

The advantage of doing this is that when the good guys wake up the next day, they can use the information provided by the system to determine whether it was the wolf or the bear tamer who resisted being pushed out on the first day.

Because the first day the bear roared.

If a bear tamer is kicked out, the system will not tell the good guy the next day that the bear roared, it will only say that the bear did not roar.

If the tough wolf is pushed out, it will continue to roar because the bear trainer is still there and the wolves beside him are still there.

Player No. 8 is a good person for being able to talk about this common sense.

But this alone is not enough to recognize him, after all, wolves can also talk this way.

As for the reverse reasoning mentioned in 8 to distinguish who is the bear tamer and who is the wolf, it is indeed a very practical and effective method.

Anyone who has played with the bear trainer's board often knows this method.

Therefore, what Player No. 8 said about this point was not really eye-opening.

"Player No. 9 said that we shouldn't think about the Hidden Wolf logic on the first day, otherwise the situation will become very complicated."

"I completely agree with what he said. It's better for Hidden Wolf to wait until the third day before we start to discuss it. We shouldn't think too much about it in the first two days."

"But we can pay attention to those who are suspected of passing messages. Little Wolf doesn't know Hidden Wolf, but Hidden Wolf knows Little Wolf. Generally speaking, Hidden Wolf will secretly pass messages to his wolf teammates to prevent the wolf from using the knife on him."

"As for how to judge whether a person is passing on a message or speaking normally, it depends on your own experience. There is no ready-made method to learn."

"After all, everyone has different ideas, and there are many different ways of delivering messages. You can't apply a formula, you just have to pay attention to it yourself."

"Okay, that's all I want to say on the police. You're a good guy, that's it. It's over."

[Player No. 6 please speak]

"Wow, you two are really good at chatting. You made high-profile speeches without any logic, and there was no bear trainer to comment on you, but you still managed to chat for so long. I really admire you."

"For example, I don't know what to talk about. I originally wanted to tell the good guys not to worry too much about Hidden Wolf. There's no need to be distracted on the first day. Just stand aside."

"In the end, both 8 and 9 talked about it. They both talked about everything I thought of and things I didn't think of. I felt like I had nothing more to say."

"But I have a suggestion. Let the hunter take the police badge and lead the team. It's useless for the bear trainer to have the police badge. He can't play the police badge game anyway. It's better to let the hunter take the police badge and lead the team. This way, the good guys can have a backbone."

"At least we can ensure that the police badge doesn't fall into the hands of wolves. The police badge may not be that important in this board, but it is definitely better to have it than not to have it."

"Of course, this is just a small suggestion from me. Whether to jump or not depends on the hunter himself."

"But don't let anyone use this to attack me, saying that I am tricking the Hunter into jumping out or something. If anyone uses this to control my tempo, I will mark him as a wolf and I will just join him in the resistance position."

"As for the identities of 8 and 9, I think they both have preferences. I think their attitudes and the things they talk about are quite good."

"But this doesn't mean they are not wolves. Identity preference and recognition are two different things. I'm just afraid that someone will say that my identity is lower than theirs and that I have to walk ahead of them just because I say I have an 8 or 9 preference. That's not true."

"Okay, that's all I have to say. If there's no bear trainer, I won't waste time chatting with him. Besides, 8 and 9 have already talked about everything they can talk about, so there's no need for me to repeat myself."

"Pass!"

[Player No. 5 please speak]

"It's finally my turn to speak. I am the bear tamer brother."

"The bear roared last night, which means there is a wolf among 4 and 6. I don't know if it's one or two wolves, but it's certain that there is a wolf."

Player No. 5 stood up and immediately became a bear tamer, in a very high state.

"I didn't hear the speech of player 4, but I just heard the speech of player 6. How should I put it? It was just average, very average."

"If he could talk like 8 and 9, then I would think that 4 after the police is a wolf, but he is a bit lazy and doesn't sound very good."

"But if I call him the wolf directly, it's not that far yet, so I can only wait until I hear what Player 4 says before I decide which of them is the wolf."

"He said the hunters could jump out and take the badge to lead the team, but I don't think that's necessary."

"The police badge doesn't play a big role in this board. It's just a last-place vote. I don't think it's worth letting the hunter jump out for this little bit of profit."

"It's best for the God to stay hidden for as long as possible. As long as the little wolf can't find the God, they will be very cautious when using knives, fearing that they will hit the hidden wolf."

"But if a god jumps out, they will kill him without hesitation. Even if the hunter is out and can shoot, they don't care. At least it's better than chopping the hidden wolf."

"If Hidden Wolf was shot and taken away by the hunter, then it cannot be blamed on them. It was Hidden Wolf himself who made a mistake in his speech and was targeted by the hunter."

"And I'm not trying to set the pace. Player 6 suggested that the hunter jump out. I'm a little bit like the hidden wolf. He's afraid that he'll be accidentally stabbed by the wolf, so he instigated the hunter to jump out and help him attract fire. In this way, the hunter will definitely be the one to get stabbed at night, and he can rest easy."

"Maybe I'm being a little malicious in thinking this. Maybe 6 really just wants the Hunter to come out and take the badge and lead the team, so the good guys can rest assured and listen to the Hunter's return vote."

"Originally I didn't want to talk about this idea out loud, as it would offend Player 6, but I couldn't help it. If I'm overthinking it, I hope Player 6 will forgive me. I definitely didn't mean to lead the pace and attack you as a Hidden Wolf."

"I really just think that your behavior of jumping out of the dialogue hunter is not a good thing."

"In my opinion, the God Card of this board must be kept as hidden as possible. As long as there is no clear God Card on the field to take the knife, the Little Wolf may hit the Hidden Wolf when it strikes at night."

"The hidden wolves or little wolves are worried about this happening, so they hope that God can jump out."

Player No. 5 is still quite hostile towards Player No. 6.

From the perspective of him being a bear tamer, 6 is equivalent to half a check and kill. If the police queen 4 can take a photo to reveal his identity, or talk well and make people feel that he doesn't look like a wolf, then 6 will immediately be beaten by the wolf.

Even if 4 is a wolf, 5 has some doubts that 6 is a hidden wolf. After all, only a hidden wolf would desperately hope that the god card would jump out and eat the wolf's knife.

If the god card doesn't jump, when the little wolf attacks people at night, it is really possible that it will hit the hidden wolf. Although the probability is very small, it is very strange sometimes. The more you fear something, the more it will come.

It's like a witch who is afraid of being the first to be killed, and there are so many witches who are the first to be killed.

There are too many cases where the little wolf accidentally kills his big brother.

Therefore, it is necessary for the God Card to come out and take the knife. The little wolf will have no psychological pressure when it is hacked, and the hidden wolf will not be panicked either. Otherwise, both sides will be in a panic.

"Players 8 and 9 are most likely good people. They speak with a good attitude and their speeches are valuable."

"We talked about how if there is a double jump, it should be released among the bear trainers, so that it will be easier to get a correct perspective the next day."

"We talked about how Hidden Wolf would pass messages to Little Wolf. Be careful of people who are suspected of passing messages."

"I'm also telling the good guys not to worry too much about Hidden Wolf. The focus of the first day is to stand on the side."

"Player 8 is even teaching good people how to distinguish between real and fake bear trainers. What he said about reverse deduction makes a lot of sense."

"I think these speeches were very well discussed. Although we cannot rule out the possibility that there are werewolves who created their own identities among 8 and 9, there is no need to think badly of them on the first day. Just accept them for now."

"Just wait and see how they take sides. They both talked so well, I think their ability to take sides won't be bad."

"Player No. 4, you need to have a good chat. From now on, I will decide who I will beat as the wolf based on your speech."

"If you chat well, I will beat Player 6. If you chat badly, I will just beat you."

"Okay, that's all I want to say on the police. I'll leave it at that, bear tamer. It's over."