If Japan insists on doing so, it will collapse completely before conquering China.
Therefore, even without this article, Japanese officers like Doihara and Ishihara were very clear that if a full-scale war broke out between China and Japan, it would be a protracted war, and Japan must not be trapped in a protracted war;
This is very contradictory.
The only way to defeat China is to crush the enemy with a wave of troops. Before a wave of troops can crush China, Japan will collapse first. In order to ensure that Japan does not collapse, a wave of troops cannot be crushed.
Since it is impossible to send troops in a wave, the only option is a protracted war; and a protracted war is chronic suicide for Japan.
So, after all, the "little Japan faction's" idea of "controlling China economically rather than militarily" is the most reasonable.
But the problem was that other Japanese officers and stakeholders did not see it that way, and they even killed the relatively rational ones among them, so things ended up in a very ugly state.
What is different from the historical "On Protracted War" is that because it was written at an earlier time, many things did not happen (such as Snow's interview and the July 77 Incident), and the article does not have so many "Q&A" questions, it is all the author's own narration.
"...After the September 918th Incident, some scholars, politicians, and civilians pessimistically believed that the hundreds of thousands of Northeastern troops were quickly defeated by tens of thousands of Japanese troops simply because the Japanese were too strong and China was too weak. This is not a comprehensive and accurate view..."
"... Let's analyze what happened in China and Japan before and after the September 918th Incident..."
During this period, Li Desheng had a clearer view of some things than in history. Moreover, because the Red Army was extremely powerful and had not suffered the ordeal of the Long March, he did not have to worry too much about the issue of the "united front".
Therefore, he could satirize the responsibilities and decisions made by Chiang and Zhang in the "September 918th Incident" in a scathing manner, and help the general public understand why the Northeast Army suffered such a terrible defeat in the "September 918th Incident".
This is the beginning of breaking the "quick defeat theory" that is very popular in the country.
Sometimes, the emergence of the theory of quick defeat cannot really be blamed on them. Anyone who sees hundreds of thousands of their own troops being defeated almost overnight and the national leaders in such a state will feel despair.
"...In contrast to the theory of a quick defeat, many people have a tendency towards unfounded optimism, which has been particularly evident recently among some Party cadres and staff..."
"...They even optimistically believed that Shanxi and North China alone, with constant support from the rear, could resist further Japanese aggression..."
This was what I had discussed with Wu Hao before - to suppress the "arrogance" and "impatience" within the CCP that had arisen from its recent successive victories.
Otherwise, if the Japanese army clamored to move south and the Red Army clamored to move north, they would be heading in two directions.
Li Desheng believes that for the time being, it is better not to have a large-scale conflict immediately.
"...However, there is also a middle-of-the-road mentality, so-called 'saving the country by a roundabout way,' which believes that China should now negotiate a truce with Japan, accumulate strength, and hope to defeat the Japanese invaders in the future..."
"...In my opinion, this is a more dangerous surrender theory than the theories of quick victory and quick defeat! It will embolden the Japanese invaders, paralyze the Chinese people, and plunge them into a slow death without them realizing it!"
"...Japan's national policy has been determined. Those who think that compromising with Japan and sacrificing some of China's territorial sovereignty can stop Japan's aggression are just delusional..."
"...Peace exists when it is sought through struggle; peace dies when it is sought through peace. Those who dare not take up arms to resist, even if the invaders spare you for now, will surely be killed in the future!"
This is to suppress the "compromise theory" that is very popular among intellectuals.
Since even Chiang Kai-shek and Zhang Xueliang were ridiculed, it was natural that the great talent Hu, who was praised to the skies by some sophisticated egoists and fools in later generations, would not be spared.
Shortly after the September 918th Incident, the statement "...I deeply feel that China has neither foreign aid nor sufficient military strength to resist the invaders, so I advocate giving up the three northeastern provinces in exchange for peace" was unbearable even for the representative of the comprador chaebol, T.V. Soong, who cursed:
"The Northeast issue involves over 30 million Chinese compatriots. How dare you wantonly destroy it?"
It's so funny that there are people who find all kinds of true and false so-called "arguments" to prove that the intellectual who was ridiculed by the comprador boss as "You are too capitulationist" is not a traitor.
(That’s why I’m too lazy to write about “Republic of China Style” or “Republic of China Masters”. They are meaningless. They are either rare and useless, or their existence has no significant impact on the situation.)
"...Therefore, China cannot compromise. Compromise will surely lead to its demise. China will not perish. The final victory will definitely belong to China, but China cannot win quickly. The War of Resistance Against Japan will definitely be a protracted war..."
After the argument was completed, Li Desheng asked the question on behalf of the readers:
"So, what method can truly defeat the Japanese invaders?"
"The reply was that in the early stages of the war, we should avoid any major decisive battles as much as possible, avoid concentrating forces on confined positions to engage in attritional resistance... Use flexible and varied guerrilla tactics to gradually wear down the enemy's morale and combat effectiveness..."
"...Chinese peasants have great potential. If they are properly organized and commanded, they can keep the Japanese army busy 24 hours a day and make them exhausted..."
"Of course, this doesn't mean we should abandon all important military locations. For these locations, positional warfare should be deployed as long as it is advantageous..."
"...We must unite all forces that can be united to resist Japan, strive for foreign aid, and gradually strengthen the equipment of the Chinese army..."
Kenji Doihara pointed at the above content and said:
"...This is what I, Ishihara-kun, and later His Highness, worry about the most. Compared to Chiang Kai-shek, the CCP is the real enemy. They are extremely cunning and efficient. Once they start to organize the peasants..."
Muto Nobuyoshi understood the following words without Doihara's analysis.
Millions of peasants hid in the vast countryside. Under the leadership of the Communist Party, they would occasionally come out to harass the Japanese, only to flee in panic when the Japanese army arrived to encircle and suppress them.
Just thinking about that scene makes the Commander's anus start to tighten. Because, after 918, the anti-Japanese forces in Northeast China have already been doing this unconsciously:
They usually hid in the mountains, and when the Japanese army was weak, they would come out to harass the city. When the Japanese army gathered heavy troops to encircle and suppress them, they would hide in the mountains again.
This spring, while Fujiwara no Kanezane was away from the Northeast, and Muto Nobuyoshi and his men had just arrived, a guerrilla force even entered Fengtian!
It’s not that the Japanese army couldn’t defeat these guerrillas or wipe them out, but it was because even if they won, the cost would outweigh the gain, with too much cost and too little gain.
If all of China did this, even without considering logistics, even if all the men in the country were organized into the army, Japan's military strength would not be enough to cope with it!
Not to mention if China could secure more foreign aid.
"...Please read this paragraph again... the three stages of a protracted war... If our country were to go to war, I'm afraid we would have no choice but to follow his outline... and the costs would likely be even greater than he predicted..."
"And then there's this part about political mobilization, which is another specialty of the CCP. During the first period of cooperation between the KMT and the CCP, they used this to gain a firm foothold..."
"...To transform the old China into a new China, we must mobilize the entire Chinese people... They even saw the war against us as an opportunity to train the entire nation..."
The more Kenji Doihara analyzes, the more despair Muto Nobuyoshi becomes. As he says, this is a divine article.
The weaknesses and strengths of both sides, strategies and tactics, and future plans are clearly laid out, so there is no need to worry about "leaking";
On the contrary, judging by their move of entrusting Japanese businessmen to deliver the documents to the headquarters, the CCP actually hopes that more people will see them!
Ordinary low-level soldiers might not feel anything, but veterans like Muto Nobuyoshi who knew the problems of Japan and the Japanese army would only feel terrified when seeing this.
The smarter the person, the higher up the social ladder, the easier it is for them to see the rationality of this article, and the more they know that Li Desheng's method is unbeatable!
With so many people watching, who knows if there will be a traitor!
At this time, Muto Nobuyoshi noticed that Kenji Doihara was still as excited as ever, without any sense of solemnity, and asked curiously:
"Mr. Doihara, have you come up with a solution?" "Hmm? Didn't His Highness already provide a solution?"
"Hmm? Ah!"
Three Represents! Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere!
Only then did Muto Nobuyoshi realize what was going on.
To be honest, as an old-fashioned soldier, Muto Nobuyoshi was not particularly impressed by Fujiwara no Kanezane's "Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Belt," "Treat the Chinese well," and "Three Represents" at first.
He was relatively good, but he felt that the result would be too slow and not as obvious as military suppression. However, Fujiwara no Kanezane was a powerful member of the imperial family and had the support of the army, so he went along with it.
However, some people were very dissatisfied with this and had many complaints, often discussing in private that "His Majesty Fujiwara is too weak and is not a good leader" and so on.
Seiichi Inoue is a typical representative of this kind of thinking.
But now, this article has proved one thing:
Your Highness is not weak, kind-hearted, or sympathetic to the Chinese people at all, but rather has a brilliant vision and a far-sighted perspective!
Aren't your guerrillas awesome?
Well, the people all listen to me, so where are you going to fight as a guerrilla? Aren't you going to develop armed forces behind enemy lines?
Well-fed peasants, who the hell would fight you? Don’t you Chinese want to fight a protracted war with us? Okay!
Then let’s fight!
With Manchukuo and the Japanese mainland, which have been completely taken over and have the support of both the military and the people, as base camps, they will gradually annex them, slowly expanding their territory to obtain more resources and population, and see who can outlast the other!
As expected, the only things that can compete with "Protracted War" are His Majesty's "Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere" and "Three Represents"!
"...Your Highness has long said that the only way to truly defeat China and force Japan to rule China is to compete with the Chinese rulers for the hearts and minds of the people! And the most powerful opponent among them is the Chinese Communist Party. You didn't listen..."
Kenji Doihara shook his head and continued to read the not-too-long article (after all, it was not the original version), but saw a new title on the last page.
Um?
So there are two articles? Huh?
This title...
That's not right. Didn't the article just now point out Japan's strengths and weaknesses?
"Japan is a powerful imperialist country...and it is an imperialism with military feudalism...its wars are backward and barbaric..." and so on.
Although Doihara agreed with this, he also believed that under the influence of Fujiwara no Kanezane, all this would sooner or later undergo fundamental changes.
So what is this article about?
"...militarist Japan is an abnormal modern state with a capitalist exterior and feudal bones, led by a small group of militarist leaders headed by Emperor Hirohito..."
Um?
Kenji Doihara frowned slightly, took a look at the signature, and confirmed that it was indeed Li Desheng.
However, I feel that the wording and writing style are a little different from those in "On Protracted War"...
Forget it, even if it is the same author, there may be differences when writing different articles.
Read on.
"...it is completely wrong to imagine Japan and the Japanese as a united entity with common interests and a common outlook..."
The more Kenji Doihara watched, the more he gasped. Not good!
Although this article is not as ambitious as the first one, it is even more "aggressive" and "practical"!
This is a powerful weapon to divide and attack Japan and tear the country apart!
Kenji Doihara could no longer sit still, so he simply left Nobuyoshi Muto, who looked puzzled, and quickly drove to Shenyang.
"Your Highness! Your Highness! You saw the CCP's..." "I just finished watching it, what's wrong?"
Nonsense, the real author of the second article is me, your uncle.
384 Analysis and Conviction of Various Classes in Japan
Fujiwara no Kanezane had of course heard from UMP45 a long time ago that the teacher was planning to write a new "On Protracted War," and he was one of the ones who made the suggestion.
So, he wrote this article and then asked UMP45 to shamelessly request the teacher to use his own name on it and publish it together with "On Protracted War".
Perhaps because the article was indeed of great value and the reason of "protecting our comrades" was really hard to refuse, after hesitating for a while, the instructor finally agreed.
Obviously, judging by Kenji Doihara's reaction, this was a remarkable success. "...how reckless..."
Fujiwara no Kanezane walked forward, straightened the collar of the disheveled Doihara Kenji, and said with a smile:
"It's just two articles, isn't it necessary to panic like this?"
"_"
Seeing his master so calm, Doihara, who had been panicking all the way because of the two articles, especially the latter, finally calmed down. After taking a deep breath, he asked:
"Your Highness, would you like to order a nationwide blockade of these two articles? Then report back to the country..."
"You're still not calm! Can this be sealed?" "But..."
The article had already been thrust in front of him, and Doihara Kenji knew that it was impossible to block it;
However, apart from banning it, he really couldn't think of any other solution.
These two articles, especially the second one, are so damaging that they must not be seen by the Japanese, especially Japanese civilians!
Because it profoundly divides all classes in Japan, and invisibly creates... No, it doesn't mean "create", but it brings all those hidden contradictions under the sun!
"The people who make up Japan can generally be divided into two categories: the ruling class and the common people..."
"Ruling group" and "common people".
Undoubtedly, this was intended to dilute Japan's national identity and provoke class conflict. Within this layer, all Japanese were deliberately divided. Are you part of the ruling class, or are you a commoner?
There is no doubt that the ruling group is always only a small number of people, while the common people are the majority.
This created a contradiction between the "ruling group" and the "common people".
Then there is the “ruling group” itself.
"The ruling group refers to the Japanese militarist ruling group that planned foreign aggression. This group of people mainly consists of the nobles, politicians, financial tycoons, military leaders, landlords, and scholars..."
"Typical representatives include Emperor Hirohito of Japan, the great Japanese aristocrat Fujiwara no Kanezane, who occupied Northeast China and effectively ruled the puppet state of Manchukuo, high-ranking Japanese military officials, and..."
"Below the top ruling group, there are petty nobles, petty politicians, and petty warlords who are dependent on the leaders of these ruling groups... just like the early warrior class was dependent on the aristocracy..."
“Typical examples include…”
The author of the article divides them into "top ruling group" and "vassal ruling group".
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