A $50 million margin call? I'll short Wall Street.
Chapter 420 King's Chess
October 3rd. Friday.
For many newsstand owners in Lower Manhattan, this morning was somewhat unusual.
Wall Street office workers, usually dressed in well-tailored suits and walking briskly, rarely stop at newsstands on the street.
They have Bloomberg terminals and daily deliveries of The Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times to their offices; they don't need to wade through the cold wind to buy a fancy weekly magazine.
But this morning, almost every financial professional passing by a newsstand had their eyes glued to the iconic red border on the magazine rack, which was prominently displayed.
That was the latest issue of TIME magazine.
The cover is dated "October 6th," but this Friday morning, it was already on display at all retail outlets across the United States.
For the past two weeks, Time magazine's cover has been dominated by the global financial tsunami.
Many people initially speculated that, after Sarkozy's outburst, the US Treasury's tough response, and the series of collapses in European banks, this issue's cover would likely feature an abstract image of the torn US and French flags, or a group portrait of finance ministers from various countries with grim faces at a meeting table, to demonstrate the spread of this crisis to the geopolitical level.
A very small number of astute insiders privately bet that Time magazine might be so bold as to put the young man at the center of the storm on the cover.
After all, if a high-resolution headshot of Lance Walker in a suit and tie, looking triumphant, could be captured at such a moment, it would definitely double the magazine's sales.
But when they actually saw the cover, all their guesses were shattered.
There was no tearing of the national flag, no group portrait of finance ministers.
Of course, there are no photos of Lance Walker either.
The entire cover presents a suffocatingly cold and tragic feel.
The background is a dark-toned ruin composed of slanted candlestick charts, shattered euro and dollar symbols, and various broken data chains.
In the middle ground of the image, several miniature, collapsed buildings are scattered. Although they have been abstracted, anyone who has worked on Wall Street for more than a week can immediately recognize what they represent.
On the ruins of the skyscraper on the left, broken in two, the words "LEH" (Lehman Brothers) are faintly visible;
On the right is a huge "AIG" logo that has fallen like dominoes, kicking up dust all over the ground;
In the shadows a little further away, several domed buildings with distinctly European classical style teetered on the brink of collapse, a reminder of Fortis, Dexia, and the European banks that bled on the day of the fuse across the ocean.
At the very center of the image, the only place bathed in a cold, spotlight-like light, stands an extremely simple, sharply defined black chess piece—
A black "King".
This black chess piece, amidst the surrounding ruins and wreckage, appeared lonely, cold, yet unshakeable. It had no facial features, no expression, and no characteristics that could indicate its human identity.
But on the base of the chess piece, there is a tiny white letter that you have to look closely to see: "W".
Within the narrow shadow cast by the enormous King's Chess piece, a tiny human silhouette stood. He was so small that he almost blended into the shadow, but once you spotted him, you would understand that the mountain-like King's Chess piece was an extension of his will.
The entire cover has no extra text, only a single white main title occupying the lower half of the image:
THE LAST MAN STANDING
(The last person standing)
Below the title is a smaller subheading:
The trader who saw the crash, bet on it, and stood alone when everyone else fell.
(The trader who foresaw the crash, placed the bet, and stood alone when everyone else collapsed.)
……
8:15 AM. Goldman Sachs headquarters.
In the trading floor of the Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Commodities (FICC) department, the usual adrenaline-pumping noise was replaced by an eerie low hum.
Instead of staring at the numbers on the screen, dozens of traders gathered in small groups, looking at the Time magazine that someone had brought in.
"This is fucking..."
A senior trader looked at the cover and muttered to himself.
"Has Time magazine gone mad? Are they crowning him?"
"The last person standing."
A quantitative analyst next to me pushed up his glasses, his tone filled with undisguised amazement, "That word is used perfectly. It doesn't even use 'winner' or 'manipulator.' It simply states a physical fact—everyone else has fallen, but he's still standing."
"Did you notice that it's a 'King' piece?"
The partner who brought in the magazine first pointed to the very center of the cover, "In chess, the 'king' isn't for charging into battle. It represents the center of the rules. What Time magazine is trying to say is that he didn't break the rules; he simply won against everyone on this cruel chessboard."
"But this is unreasonable!"
A young salesman couldn't help but raise his voice, "After the dot-com bubble burst in 2000, Time magazine never put a purely private Wall Street player on its cover again! Even when John Paulson made $15 billion shorting subprime mortgages, they only did a feature on him inside. Why him? He was only twenty-six!"
The partner glanced at him, his eyes holding a deep, thoughtful look typical of older generations of Wall Street professionals.
"Because Paulson only made money off us."
The partner said slowly, "Paulson saw the potential in subprime mortgages. He bet, he waited, he took the money and left. He was an extremely successful parasite, but he didn't change the trajectory of the system."
He pressed his finger heavily onto the black king piece.
"But this person is different. In a single day, he leveraged hundreds of millions in option premiums to create exposures of hundreds of billions, forcing the entire commodities market into a negative Gamma spiral. He didn't wait for the collapse; he made the system collapse on its own."
The partner's voice was very low.
"Then, he issued a statement of several hundred words. That statement got the U.S. Treasury to endorse it, made the French president roar like a clown on television, and made UBS and Barclays obediently bow their heads and admit defeat. He was no longer a simple trader. He used the power of the market to forcibly intervene in the game of national sovereignty and global rules."
The partner straightened up and looked at the thoughtful faces around him.
"In the eyes of the mainstream media, he's no longer the subject of our reports. He doesn't represent 'a successful deal,' but rather an example of how an individual can maximize their influence on the system. So, if he doesn't deserve a cover story, who does?"
……
At almost the same time, in the office of Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack.
Mike sat behind his large desk, on which sat the latest issue of Time magazine. He didn't look at the eight-thousand-word article inside; his gaze remained fixed on the black king.
His secretary just came in to report that the outside world is reacting very strongly to this cover. Many media outlets and commentators believe that Time magazine's use of imagery full of "intellectual crushing" and "lone hero" to depict a short seller is a kind of mockery of Wall Street, which is currently mired in crisis.
Mike picked up his coffee, took a sip, and gave a wry smile.
Those commentators simply don't understand Wall Street.
Did they think this cover was a mockery of Wall Street? No, for those who truly stand at the top of the pyramid on Wall Street, this cover brings a profound sense of powerlessness and envy.
Mike recalled his experiences over the past few weeks. To save Morgan Stanley, he had begged and pleaded with everyone he could, had to be subservient to the Japanese, dealt with Middle Eastern tycoons, and waited like a guilty schoolboy in the Treasury Department's corridors for a meeting with Paulson.
He is the CEO of a century-old investment bank that manages tens of thousands of employees, but in the face of crisis, he is as humble as a speck of dust.
It wasn't just him; Goldman Sachs' Blankfein and Blackstone's Schwarzman also suffered significant setbacks this autumn.
And what about that 26-year-old?
He sat silently in his penthouse office at 270 Park Avenue. He refused Time magazine's request to take a photo, refused all interviews, and refused to show his face to the public.
But Time magazine had to rack its brains to place him on the throne of the cover with this most artistic and awe-inspiring abstract image.
Because this fall, if you don't put Lance Walker on the cover, this magazine loses its right to document the times.
"The meaning of 'King of Wall Street'..."
Mike ran his fingertips along the white letter "W" and muttered to himself.
On Wall Street, the word "King" is rarely used to describe an individual. Even John Pierpont Morgan was more often referred to as "the tycoon" or "the savior." This is because capital does not like to be ruled by a single, specific individual.
Of course, that's not entirely true. A year and a half earlier, in February 2007, Fortune magazine put Blackstone's Stephen Schwarzman on the cover and dubbed him the "New King of Wall Street."
Unfortunately, Schwarzman's reign lasted less than two years before a crisis erupted, and Blackstone was mired in trouble.
Now, Time magazine has metaphorically placed a crown on the head of a 26-year-old.
……
In the more accessible and uninhibited world of the internet, the impact of this cover was amplified many times over.
The WSO forum, a place that gathers the youngest and smartest financial professionals in the United States, has servers that have been running at high load since 6:00 a.m.
A post titled "TIME's Godhood: How Terrifying Is That Faceless Chess Piece?" was pushed to the top of the homepage within just three hours.
The poster was a senior hedge fund analyst known for his sharp tongue.
"Brothers, this morning when I was passing by a newsstand, I almost dropped the hot dog I was holding."
Regardless of how you evaluate the moral character of that crude oil transaction, I just want to say that Time magazine's move was the most brilliant PR I've ever seen in my life (although I know it was definitely not at the request of the Walker team).
Look at that composition! Lehman Brothers, AIG, century-old European businesses—all reduced to smoking ashes beneath his feet. And he is a black King. What does that tell you?
This shows that in the eyes of the liberal elites at Time magazine, Walker was not some opportunistic vulture, but a grandmaster who was the only one who didn't make a wrong move in the post-apocalyptic ruins!
And what I admire most is that he didn't even show his face! That's fucking cool!
Hundreds of replies quickly followed, with various emotions clashing fiercely.
Some were unconvinced:
ID: M&A_Guru_88: "Come on, everyone, stop getting excited. Strictly speaking, this can't even be considered Lance Walker's solo cover for TIME, okay? There's not a single hair on his head on the cover, just a broken chess piece and a bunch of CGI-made ruins. Is this even a cover?"
Following this logic, would God himself be included on the cover of the 1966 issue of "Is God Dead?", which featured only black text on a white background?
This reply immediately drew ridicule from the crowd.
ID: Delta_Hedge_007: "Is the person upstairs a recent intern? I have a friend who works at Time Warner. The truth is, the editor-in-chief of TIME wanted his portrait, but Delta's legal department directly sent a rejection letter: No shooting, no talking, no photos."
If a typical investment bank MD received an invitation from TIME, they'd rush to have a Savile Row suit custom-made overnight. Lance Walker, on the other hand, completely turned them down, and TIME had to swallow their pride and rack their brains to create a concept sketch for him to put on the front page. Which do you think is more impressive?
ID: BearSlayer: "Exactly. Paulson made $150 billion shorting subprime mortgages, and TIME didn't even give him a small piece of the news. Walker wasn't even given a single photo, but TIME still had to obediently put him on the cover, because if they didn't feature him this week, TIME would look like a joke."
ID: Liquid_Asset: "@M&A_Guru_88, okay, bro. If the logic of 'no face shown means no cover' makes you feel a little better when you see someone earn billions at 26, bring down several European banks, and make the French president jump up and down on TV, then we'll take your win."
This decisive reply immediately silenced the troll and brought the atmosphere of the post to a climax.
For these young financial elites who believe in the law of the jungle, moral judgment is powerless; only intellectual superiority and absolute control over the rules are the most alluring aphrodisiacs.
The black chess piece on the cover perfectly matched all their fantasies about "The Ultimate Player".
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