I became a music industry godfather by writing confidantes.

Chapter 175 Reversing Cause and Effect

"Super Shocking: 'I Don't Want to Grow Up'" Sold 953 Million in Five Days!

An industry insider said in an interview

"Potential Diamond Single"

A Double Success in Music Reviews and Critical Acclaim: A Review of Yang Du's Achievements

The Golden Bell Awards will be held in Guangzhou tomorrow; how many chime bells will Yang Du win?

"Little Fish Accompanying You to Watch the Big Awards: Golden Bell Awards Winners Prediction (Full Version)"

March 6, 18:20.

Yang Du was sitting in a black luxury SUV arranged by the Golden Bell Awards organizing committee, heading to the venue.

"Have you prepared your acceptance speech?" Yang Du turned to look at Tao Cheng behind him, who was having the makeup artist do a final check. "Eleven is too many, I haven't memorized them."

Tao Cheng rolled her eyes dramatically, suspecting Yang Du was in Versailles: "It was all prepared long ago—one for the female singer, one for the producer of the year, one for the album of the year—each one different. But you'll be in every acceptance speech."

Yang Du laughed: "Then I'm really looking forward to it."

The SUV moved slowly through the traffic, getting closer and closer to the red carpet waiting area.

The red carpet event actually started as early as 5:30 pm. According to the schedule, the red carpet event was expected to end at 7:15 pm, and the awards ceremony would officially begin at 7:30 pm.

"Hey, junior," Tao Cheng asked, "Have you seen the recent media predictions for the winners?"

It's infuriating that a large majority of people think Du Li will be the female singer of the year, even though she herself knows her chances are slim.

Yang Du shook his head honestly: "No."

"You're so carefree. But it's good this way, unlike me, who read a ton of predictions and didn't sleep well last night," Tao Cheng complained. "By the way, who do you think will win Album of the Year?"

Among the four major awards of the Golden Bell Awards, the Album of the Year award, which tests an album's overall concept, production quality, commercial success, and artistic expression, is undoubtedly the most prestigious.

At the same time, it is also the most unpredictable of the four major awards.

Because other awards such as Record of the Year, Single of the Year, and Male/Female Artist of the Year use a majority vote system, while Album of the Year uses a vote-based system.

"Of course it's 'Swallowtail Butterfly'," Yang Du said without hesitation.

"Are you that confident?" Tao Cheng asked, slightly surprised.

Admittedly, she also hoped that "Swallowtail Butterfly" could win an award. She even dreamed of standing on the award stage last night. But when the award ceremony actually arrived, she was still a little nervous, afraid that she would be disappointed and have no reason to say that "Swallowtail Butterfly" would win an award.

"Yeah, how about we make a bet?" Yang Du suggested.

"What are we betting on?"

"Uh—" Yang Du couldn't decide on the bet for a moment.

"Emm————" Tao Cheng came up with a plan, "How about this, if 'Swallowtail Butterfly' wins Album of the Year tonight, I, as your senior, will personally open the door for you when we get to the red carpet."

"Similarly, if you didn't take it, you lose, and you'll have to open the door for me later."

"Okay," Yang Du readily agreed.

But as soon as he agreed, Yang Du felt something was wrong. The awards ceremony was starting at 7:30, and the red carpet was just over ten minutes away.

"You don't need to worry about that. Tell me why you're so sure 'Swallowtail Butterfly' will win an award."

"It's very simple," Yang Du explained. "The album of the year uses a biased voting system."

In a majority-based system, whoever gets the most votes wins the prize, but the preference-based voting system is different.

"This year's Album of the Year nominees are 'Swallowtail Butterfly,' 'Phoenix,' 'Goodbye, Unforgettable,' 'The Next Day,' and 'Echoes.'"

Under the voting system, judges do not cast a single, precious vote. Instead, they rank the five albums according to their personal preferences, with the most suitable album of the year ranked first, the second most suitable album of the year ranked second, and so on.

"I understand," Tao Cheng said. "When counting the votes, the staff will first count the votes for the first-place album. If an album has more than 50% of the first-place votes at this stage, it wins directly."

"That's right, but that rarely happens, especially when it's a battle of the titans," Yang Du continued. "If the first round of voting doesn't reach a majority, it enters the battle royale phase."

Yang Du gave an example: "Suppose that in the first round, 'Goodbye, Unforgettable Love' and 'Phoenix' received the most votes, but neither of them got more than half the votes. Then, 'Echoes of the Past,' which received the fewest votes, would be eliminated."

"However, the votes that ranked first with 'Echoes' will not be invalidated. Instead, the votes that ranked second with 'Echoes' will be counted and then added to the corresponding album."

"If the second most popular second-ranked song among those who voted for 'Echoes of the Past' is 'Swallowtail Butterfly', then 'Swallowtail Butterfly', which was originally ranked third, is very likely to overtake it and take the top spot after receiving these votes."

"This process of eliminating the last-place album and redistributing votes continues until an album receives more than 50% of the votes, at which point the album of the year is selected." Tao Cheng asked, puzzled, "But you still haven't explained why?"

"In this biased voting system, the first-place winner is certainly important, otherwise you'll be eliminated in the first round. But the second and third-place winners are equally important, otherwise you'll run out of options," Yang Du said. "He's not competing on who has more people who like him, but on who has fewer people who dislike him."

"Senior, look at this year's competitors. Luo Gengyun's 'Phoenix' is highly artistic; those who like it are absolutely obsessed and will give it the first pick. But because it's a niche piece, most people will give it the fifth pick, making it very easy to be eliminated in the first round."

"There's also Du Li's 'Goodbye, Unforgettable Love,' which focuses on retro sentiment. The older judges liked it and gave it first place, but the younger judges might not be so impressed."

"That's it!" Tao Cheng had been feeling anxious these past few days, looking at various predictions over and over again. Sometimes it was "Swallowtail Butterfly" that was a sure thing, and other times it was "The Next Day" that was a dark horse comeback.

Now, after listening to Yang Du's reasoned, well-founded, and confident analysis, the anxiety that had been churning for several days has finally subsided.

"Swallowtail Butterfly sold 934 million copies, and received a score of over 90% from both Sour Lemon and Sweet Lemon. It has no obvious weaknesses in terms of music reviews, word-of-mouth, or sales. It balances popularity and artistry, and is both critically acclaimed and commercially successful. Even if the old-fashioned judges did not give it the first spot, they would not easily put Swallowtail Butterfly in the fifth spot."

"Swallowtail Butterfly" is the best!

Yang Du said, "That's right, there are people who dislike 'Swallowtail Butterfly,' but there shouldn't be many. It definitely meets most judges' requirements for album of the year."

As we chatted, a black SUV drove into the waiting area, and the screams and cheers of fans outside could be faintly heard.

A few minutes later, the guide outside gave a hand signal, and the vehicle restarted and drove into the drop-off area.

Just as Yang Du straightened his suit and was about to get out of the car, Tao Cheng suddenly grabbed him.

"What's wrong?"

Tao Cheng blinked: "Junior, thank you for your kind words. To ensure the prediction comes true, I'll consider this a loss."

As she spoke, without waiting for the staff to come forward, she opened the car door and got out first.

According to red carpet custom, the male companion usually gets out of the car first, and then helps the female companion out of the car.

To everyone's surprise, after getting out of the car, pop star Tao Cheng didn't immediately wave or pose for photos with her fans and media. Instead, she went around to the other side of the SUV.

Yang Du glanced at Tao Cheng outside the window, who was trying not to laugh, and his lips twitched twice.

Good grief, he finally realized what was happening.

In order to win the prize, you lost the bet in advance. You're at the level of an Immortal Emperor, directly reversing cause and effect, aren't you?

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