God's imitator

Chapter 390 Betting Strategies

"Judging from the current situation, I can't think of a perfect strategy for the time being. Moreover, you can't send messages in the game, you can only express 'agree' or 'disagree'. If I don't convey my meaning correctly, it might mislead Aunt Zhou or Fu Chen's father..."

"In that case, I'll first consider the strategy for the audience, and then consider the strategies for the players in the inner field and the players in the outer field."

"Especially for the players outside the venue, we need to be more cautious. We should only try to convey the information to Aunt Zhou if we have a method that is sure to work."

"Obviously, the audience should bet as much as possible on the 'surviving players'."

"The earlier, more, and more accurate your bets, the higher your returns will be."

"In addition, the audience has a sum of money at their disposal, which they can use to invest in specific equipment or specific 'outdoor players' and influence the course of the game."

"Therefore, when placing bets, you can first observe and then follow the trend to bet on the player with the higher odds of winning; or you can bet on the player with the lower odds of winning at the beginning, but later make a comeback and earn greater profits by properly using your funds."

"There are roughly three types of betting strategies."

"One is a risky strategy, which is to put all your bets on one player from the start and then use funds to ensure his survival."

"This can yield the greatest profits, but the failure rate is extremely high, and once it fails, the losses are also the most severe."

"Another strategy is the middle ground, which involves betting on two inside players."

"According to the game rules, betting actually allows for a certain degree of error. If only one of the betting players dies, the audience will still be considered a 'winner'."

"Therefore, if you bet on two players and assume that each player has a 50% chance of dying, there are four different outcomes. As long as it is not 'two players dying,' the other three outcomes are relatively acceptable."

"But if the situation of 'two deaths' is actually triggered, the losses will still be devastating."

"Finally, the safest strategy is to bet on three or more inside players."

“In extreme cases, you can bet on all the players in the inner circle. Although you will be destined to be a ‘loser,’ you will only lose all your bets. At least you can ensure that you will not trigger the additional penalty of ‘deducting all visa time.’”

"Wait, what if all the players inside die?"

"It wasn't mentioned in the game rules."

"But if it wasn't mentioned, it probably means there's no additional exemption mechanism. In other words, the visa time for all the players and spectators inside the venue could very well be taken up by this imitator..."

"Even if all the players in the outer area sign a 'live and die together' contract, they will all be harvested together..."

After thinking it over, Yang Yuting realized that this was indeed a possibility, and if it really happened, there was nothing she could do.

However, since this game was able to pass the arcade's review, if all the players and spectators inside and outside the arcade work together, there should be a way to successfully complete the game, and the possibility of everyone being wiped out should be relatively small.

After a brief consideration, Yang Yuting quickly made a decision.

I bet 3 yuan on 15000 minutes of visa time each on Fu Chen and Shen Xing.

The reason the decision was made so quickly is that, for Yang Yuting, this was not a matter of game strategy, but a political issue.

If all the players in the inner and outer areas are people she doesn't know, she will definitely choose to observe for a while and then adopt the second strategy: betting on two of them.

Ideally, these two players should be in different situations: one is the player who seems most likely to survive when the game is nearing its third round; the other is a less conspicuous player who may be employing a special strategy.

In this way, a balance between risk and return can be achieved: the risk is controllable, while the expected return is not too low.

However, Yang Yuting's main purpose in entering this game was not to earn visa time, but to help the players in her community as much as possible. Therefore, she had to find ways to use the funds she had to help Fu Chen and Zhou Guifen.

In this situation, her betting on other players is somewhat like a conflict between her left and right brain.

Moreover, if she bets on Fu Chen and Zhou Guifen, and both players survive in the end, then of course everyone will be happy; if they don't survive, then she will have done her best.

Conversely, if she bets on other players because they have a higher chance of winning, then it's a different story.

If this player survives, that's fine; Yang Yuting will at least benefit from the visa time. But if this player doesn't survive, wouldn't that be a huge loss? Back in the community, how do she explain this to the other players?

Therefore, placing a bet is itself a form of expressing one's opinion.

Audience members can only bet on players inside the venue, not on players outside the venue, so Yang Yuting can only choose to bet on Zhou Guifen's child, Shen Xing.

Yang Yuting still has over 8 visa time remaining. If the worst-case scenario occurs and both players who placed bets die, then all remaining visa time, excluding the bets, will be deducted.

If the deduction is less than 5, an additional debt of 5 will be incurred.

Moreover, literally speaking, if 4 is deducted, you will also be burdened with an additional debt of 5, which means a total of 9 will be deducted, a situation that should absolutely be avoided.

Therefore, Yang Yuting needs to ensure that she has more than 5 yuan left for visa processing after placing her bet.

Based on this calculation, betting 15000 on each of the two players would be just the right amount.

Moreover, since you've already decided to bet on these two players, you should do it as soon as possible, since according to the rules, the earlier you bet, the more money you'll get when you win.

Just then, the loudspeaker blared in the room.

[Viewer number 4 bets on Chen Ran's 2 minutes of visa processing time.]

While Yang Yuting was considering her options, some viewers had already placed their bets.

Yang Yuting subconsciously looked at the 20 small screens on the wall, and sure enough, a line of small text was displayed on screen number 4.

"Bet on Chen Ran: 2."

Yang Yuting originally wanted to complete the betting operation as soon as possible, but she hesitated for a moment.

"Is this player betting so early, and only betting on Chen Ran, because he thinks Chen Ran has a big advantage at the start?"

"Chen Ran... is Wu Xiaomei's daughter. She's a short-haired girl with a somewhat masculine style. Currently, the players inside haven't had many opportunities to shine, so she doesn't really stand out."

"Therefore, this bet is very likely on Wu Xiaomei. After all, Wu Xiaomei got the best car, the 'sports car,' and has already signed the 'live and die together' contract without hesitation, and received an extra 2 yuan in funding."

"However, it is also possible that the viewers who placed the bets are from the communities where Chen Ran or Wu Xiaomei live, and they are placing bets for the same reasons as me."

"Wait, this broadcast seems to be coming from the speaker on the screen of the players outside?"

Yang Yuting hurried to the screen in front of the audience to check, and sure enough, the message had caused some commotion among the audience.

Many players were clearly looking in the direction where Wu Xiaomei was.

"I shouldn't bet too early, I'll wait a bit longer."

(End of this chapter)