I am the only one who practices magic: I practice magic in the city

Chapter 183 Virtual Divination (First Update)
“The best opportunities are Bitcoin and Nvidia?”

Fang Yu felt indescribable strangeness about this answer.

What's even more strange is that after flipping through a few pages of chat records, Fang Daqiang hoped that the Orange Model could give reasons and explanations, but the Orange Model was unable to give a specific basis for judgment. Instead, it evaded the question and told Fang Daqiang about the principles of blockchain and the history of Bitcoin, and also attached a source of information on why the GTX690 was called a tactical nuclear bomb.

NVIDIA is easy to understand. With the rise of artificial intelligence, computing power has become the most important resource on the planet, and NVIDIA has the strongest accumulation in GPU deep learning. Its market value will surely skyrocket in the future.

Fang Yu himself had expected this.

After all, he can launch practical large models to the market at any time. As long as this thing comes out, it will inevitably detonate the AI ​​industry. By then, Nvidia's absolute market value will soar.

Even if he didn't mention the Orange model, Fang Yu was also prepared to persuade his father to buy more Nvidia stocks, and it would be best if he could become a small shareholder or something.

But where does this Bitcoin come from?

Although blockchain technology has been very popular in the past two years, we just experienced a mining disaster two years ago.

Since the establishment of the Bitcoin exchange in 3057, it has experienced several rounds of skyrocketing, from a low of 0.5 USD to a high of 1163 USD. However, after the world's largest BTC trading platform Mt.Gox suddenly declared bankruptcy at the beginning of last year, Bitcoin plummeted and fell to a low of 200 USD.

Even now, the price of Bitcoin is only 433 dollars, far from rebounding to its high point of that year.

After all, Fang Yu is not a reborn person, so it is impossible to predict how the future will develop.

However, he now has the arcane arts, and as long as he has enough time, he can make the future develop according to his wishes.

"The conclusions given by this large orange model are quite interesting." Fang Daqiang pointed at the various analysis reports on the screen with great interest.

“I checked and found that the last time Bitcoin skyrocketed was in 3058, when Bitcoin’s block was halved for the first time. In a few months, Bitcoin skyrocketed 20 times.”

“In more than half a year, Bitcoin’s block reward will be halved again. I wonder if this is the basis for AI’s judgment.”

impossible.

Fang Yu analyzed it in his mind. If this was the basis for judgment, the Orange Model would have given an answer based on this basis instead of saying nothing.

"Yuzi, carefully check the basis for the answer just given by the orange model, and see what the logic of its answer is and what parameters it called." Fang Yu gave Yuzi an instruction through the Core of Esseron.

Sometimes big models do talk nonsense, but it is still a bit strange that they can talk nonsense about Bitcoin.

The financial data used to train the Orange big model are mostly traditional financial transaction data such as stocks, funds, futures, financial derivatives, etc., with almost no blockchain content.

"Got it~" Youzi was watching Cara Lover downstairs. Upon hearing Fang Yu's instructions, she reluctantly put down Gao Wen, who had been haunting her, and cheered herself up to start communicating with Orange.

The orange model is not just a big model. Its deepest layer is actually made up of the laws of the orange itself. It is a combination of digital technology and arcane magic.

From this perspective, grapefruit is both the parent of orange and the superior organism of orange, and has a natural suppressive power over orange.

"Huh? Why isn't this AI responding?" Fang Daqiang typed out a few words and clicked send, but he didn't receive any reply. Only a circle kept spinning in the dialog box.

"It hasn't been officially released yet, so it's unstable." Fang Yu calmly disconnected the connection with the server.

Fang Daqiang stretched lazily, still wanting to say more: "The development of technology is really changing every day. The things that I saw in science fiction movies when I was young have become reality now."

"I still remember that more than a decade ago, there was a debate on Tianya about whether artificial intelligence was a false proposition and whether it was really possible to create artificial intelligence that could pass the Turing test."

“I never thought it would come true now.”

Fang Yu chuckled: "Dad, what you just said was an old man's sigh."

Fang Daqiang raised his leg and kicked.

"You guys are on vacation, right? Are you going to go home today or not? What are your plans for New Year's Day?" Fang Daqiang put on his leather jacket and prepared to get off work. The chain on it clanked.

Fang Yu shook his head: "The school basketball team has training. There is an inter-school invitational match with Jinda on the 3rd. We have to train during the holidays."

Fang Daqiang was immediately interested: "Jinda? Jinda in Yingzhou? Have you joined the school team? What time on the 3rd? Where will the game be? I'll go and see then."

Fang Yu didn't care: "Two-thirty in the afternoon, Donghai Stadium."

"Haixi team's home court? The standard is so high?" Fang Daqiang was a little surprised, and guessed that his son would just be a substitute there.

But has this guy grown taller? He was only one or two centimeters taller than me before, but now he looks almost half a head taller than me?
Fang Daqiang picked up the car keys, and the father and son entered the elevator one after the other.

"How is it? Cool, right?" As soon as they arrived at the underground garage, Fang Daqiang pointed at a bright red motorcycle parked in the spacious parking space, "Ducati 1299, displacement 1285cc, just arrived in Hong Kong a week ago."

Fang Yu watched his father take out a helmet and protective gear from the bag, and in the blink of an eye he turned into a middle-aged ghost fire.

No wonder there are more and more young ladies riding motorcycles nowadays. It turns out that all the rich guys are riding motorcycles.

"Put this on." Fang Yu casually threw something to Fang Daqiang.

Fang Daqiang took it and looked at it. It was a necklace with a unique shape.

Both the chain and pendant are made of unknown black metal. The pendant is in the shape of a shield with a blue crystal in the center and strange runes engraved all around it, which matches her outfit quite well.

As expected, his son understood his preferences. Fang Daqiang put the necklace around his neck with a look of satisfaction.

Only when he saw his father wearing the Guardian Type 7 Amulet did Fang Yu breathe a sigh of relief.

The Guardian Type 7 Amulet is a standard alchemical product produced by the Piedmont Alchemical Company. It can automatically release a layer of energy shield on the surface of the human body in the event of an emergency, reducing the risk of injury to the user. Ordinary people can also use it.

The one Fang Yu bought is a minor guardianship model, made by Piedmont Alchemy Company specifically for rebellious teenagers. Once you put it on, you will never think of taking it off.

The main purpose is to prevent naughty children from being disobedient.

My dad loves to play too much. Other cars are fine, but this motorcycle is too prone to accidents.

Don't let the time pass when your mom hasn't been resurrected yet and you have to start collecting materials to resurrect your dad.

Lao Deng put on his helmet, started the engine, waved his hand in what he thought was a very cool gesture, lay on the car, and drove away in a flash.

Fang Yu shook his head, found his car, opened the door, and saw the silver light flashing on Youzi's body.

"How is it? Any results?" Fang Yu started the car and drove out of the parking space. "Master, most of Orange's answers just now are within the normal parameter adjustment range and are consistent with the training results." Youzi paused, "But the predicted answers just now did have some unexpected changes."

"What changes?" Fang Yu frowned. He was always wary of artificial intelligence. If it weren't for the fact that the orange model was also completely controlled by the Core of Eseron, he might never have announced this thing.

"You asked it before what the best investment opportunities are in the next ten years. This question seems to have touched upon the underlying mechanism of Orange."

"After being fed this question, Orange began to mobilize its own underlying laws, using all its computing power to simulate a 'divination technique' based on the data in the model."

Fang Yu slammed on the brakes and stopped on the side of the road: "You mean it cast a spell on its own? How did it mobilize the nodes of the magic network? 'Divination' is just a second-ring prophecy spell. How can it predict the direction of development ten years later?"

A white light flashed on Yuzu's body: "No, you misunderstood. It did not mobilize the magic network nodes. It simulated a divination spell. To be precise, it simulated a casting environment through 196 GPUs."

"Then it combines the data in its body and performs 'divination' on the data. The answer it submits is the result given by the virtual 'divination' it created, not the result converged by the Orange model through the neural network."

"In fact, when I answer certain questions, I also refer to the results of real divination."

"In layman's terms, in order to answer this question, Orange built a virtual world in the computer system and performed a virtual spell in this virtual world."

"This virtual spell uses all the data in this virtual world to let Orange see some glimpses of this virtual world ten years after the virtual timeline. Then Orange gave the answer to the question above based on these glimpses."

"Normally, there are three main ways for Orange to answer questions: The first method is dominant data analysis, which involves analyzing all the data in the existing data set, finding the most dominant conclusion, and using this conclusion to answer the question."

"The advantage of this method is that it requires less calculation and has a faster response. Most of the answers were given using this path."

"The second path is based on reasoning and logical analysis of the entire data set. This is the limit of what we currently envision strong artificial intelligence can achieve in logical reasoning. It is to mobilize all existing data sets, conduct comprehensive logical analysis and reasoning, and finally come to a conclusion."

“This approach is more suitable for studying specific problems, identifying more possible paths and analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of various paths.”

"The disadvantages are that the amount of calculation is too large, the feedback time is too long, and the energy consumption is serious. Moreover, for prediction problems, it can only determine which possibility is better, not which possibility is the greatest."

"The third path is simulation based on a virtual environment. This is to build a virtual world that is very similar to reality in the system, conduct simulations in the virtual world, and speculate what changes will happen in the future by adjusting the evolution and timeline of the virtual world."

"In this way, the more realistic and richer the data in the large model data set is, the more realistic the virtual world will be, and the more accurate the results will be."

“For prediction problems, this path is the most accurate one.”

"This method requires too much computing power and is currently only suitable for building relatively small virtual environments for deduction."

Fang Yu frowned: "You mean, Orange just used this method to answer the question? It deduced in the virtual world for ten years and then gave the deduced result?"

Yuzu blinked: "No, it's not, Master. The computing power required for this method is far beyond the computing power currently possessed by Yuzu Technology."

“It should be said that even if all the computing power of Bluestar is added together, it cannot really meet the requirements of this method.”

"Especially the deduction part of the virtual world. According to my calculations, even if the existing computing power is increased by tens of millions of times, it is still not enough to simulate this kind of evolution. Even my original body cannot provide such computing power."

"In this case, in order to answer this question, when the Orange Big Model found that the computing power was not enough to support the virtual deduction, it made some adjustments to the third path based on the principle of reliability first and efficiency second."

"It uses the factor extraction and screening methods of the strong factor model that we have optimized before, extracting only the key data in the body and using the existing information in the body to virtualize an extremely simple world."

“It does not drive the evolution of the world’s timeline, because even a simple world with only a few representative factors is not something that can be evolved with current computing power.”

"Therefore, after constructing a simple virtual world, it uses virtual divination in this virtual world to divine this static virtual world, and finally transmits the result of the virtual divination back to the terminal as the answer to the question."

Fang Yu finally understood.

It turned out to be the case.

No wonder the Orange Model couldn’t give a specific explanation for the answer; it turned out to be the result of fortune-telling.

This way I can rest assured and open source the architecture of Orange Big Model 0.12 at the appropriate time.

As long as the underlying laws of the open source big model are modified, prohibiting it from calling the arcane laws within the body and only allowing it to call normal parameters, then all models using this open source big model will not find anything wrong with the big model, and these model applications will be controlled by Yuzu and himself!
Wait, if that's the case, then the role that this virtual 'divination' can play in technology is far more than just answering questions.

It’s not even just AI.

Fang Yu thought carefully in his mind, restarted the car, and drove towards Guoli.

No matter what, let’s develop AI first.

Fang Yu went to have dinner with Tang Yufei. When he arrived at the company, it was already ten o'clock in the evening, but almost everyone was still gathered together, working overtime in the company.

"Why haven't you left yet?" Fang Yu shed capitalist crocodile tears. "I saw on TeamPulse that everyone of you has completed your workload, and there's no overtime pay for overtime. What are you doing here? Tomorrow is New Year's Day, why aren't you going home?"

TeamPulse is an internal workflow management platform developed by Youzi based on the OKR principle, which can show everyone's progress for the day in real time.

"Boss! You've come just in time, come and take a look! This is definitely a breakthrough!"

Hua Zecheng raised his head happily: "Just now, the Orange model only completed one round of training and defeated the professional chess player in the game!"

"Oh?" Fang Yu also became interested, "When did you start training?"

"Yesterday." Lu Si was also very excited, his eyes were bright, "Yesterday, Teacher Hua and I were playing chess in the dormitory, and I found out that Teacher Hua was cheating with Zen..."

Hua Zecheng argued: "I was answering the questions correctly, not cheating!"

Lu Si ignored him and continued, "Suddenly we remembered that we could use Go to train the Orange model and see how well Orange performs in deep neural networks."

"We scraped tens of thousands of chess records from the Internet and fed them to Orange. This morning we tested it with Orange and found that it couldn't beat any of them. So we even asked Shangyicheng to play against it, and it has won 10 games in a row. One of them was a professional rd dan, but he gave up in the middle of the game!"

Hua Zecheng glanced at the screen and showed a regretful expression: "But now it's Gu Jie who is connected, and it seems that the orange is a bit difficult to download."

Gu Jie?

Gu Jie, the world's number one?
"There's no way. Gu Jie is too strong. He is the pinnacle of human chess skills. His chess skills are also included in the chess records that Orange has learned. If I want to surpass him, I may have to study a few more rounds." Lu Si's confidence was firm.

Fang Yu thought for a moment and said, "Next time, let's try using an adversarial network. Don't feed Orange with human chess records. Just tell the rules to the two large models and let them learn on their own."

Lu Si and Hua Zecheng's eyes lit up.

(End of this chapter)