Werewolf: I'm a natural showman, you win easily

Chapter 252: This guy is selling his perspective

[Player No. 4 please speak]

"3 check and kill, the police badge flow double pressure police 11, 1 smooth test."

Although Ren Fan doesn't like to be a prophet, he still knows a lot about how to jump to the prophet.

Otherwise, how can he distinguish between true and false prophets when he captures good people?

As the saying goes, only if you know yourself and the enemy can you win a hundred battles.

Only if you are very familiar with the prophet, very familiar with how to jump into the prophet, and even know what the werewolf's tricks are, can you stand on the right side as much as possible.

But these are not logic, but experience. You can only rely on your own exploration and summary. It is useless even if others tell you.

"Player No. 3 didn't have any experience, he just casually touched the person next to him, and the result was a check. I thought that with this order of speech, when I threw a check to No. 3, he would jump out of the spot with me."

"I didn't expect that player No. 7 would be the first to speak up. I think that's great. In this way, the 3rd and 7th wolves are exposed on the stage."

"And player 6 has used the witch. If the wolf team wants to save players 3 and 7, they will have to use another witch. That means three wolves are exposed. If they play like this, they won't win even if they push me out on the first day."

"Oh, by the way, player No. 3 can pretend to be a witch later, but if he does, you probably won't believe it, right? How could it be such a coincidence that player No. 6 was found to have pretended to be a witch, and I pretended to be a prophet and just happened to find and kill the real witch."

Ren Fan was right.

If 3 jumps as a witch, the good guys will definitely not believe it. As long as 3 dares to jump, the good guys will dare to attack 3 and 7 double wolves, and 3 will be equivalent to destroying the wolf team.

As of now, level 3 can only jump to the magician, which can confuse the good guys and force the magician out at the same time.

But jumping the magician cannot fundamentally solve the problem.

Because magicians can prove their identity.

Based on the characteristics of his skills, the magician can let the witch poison him, and then he will swap himself with the person in the external position at night so that he will not be poisoned to death.

When they wake up the next day, the good guys will naturally know who is the real magician and who is the fake magician.

And as long as you can tell the real magician from the fake one, it is easy to take sides.

But even so, the Wolves still have the ability to argue, they can play 3 or 4 wolves stepping on wolves. Although the probability is very small, it is logically possible to play through.

As for whether good people believe it or not, that depends on whether you can fool people.

A player who is good at talking can make a dead person appear alive.

"The reason why I double-pressed the police with the police badge is because I suspected that the police would open four wolves."

"Player No. 7 threw 4 checks to the police, probably to kill the prophet. That would only happen if there were multiple wolves on the police."

"How many wolves will be used after the police? Three wolves? Or four wolves? All are possible. If it is more extreme, it can be said that four wolves will be used as police. Then I will use the police badge flow on 11 and 1 to see how they react."

"There are three people under the police, 8, 9, and 10. Just now, players 5 and 6 said that there is a high probability that a wolf will appear. This is what most good people think. It is normal, and I don't think it is wrong."

"But from my perspective, I still have to consider the possibility of the four wolves becoming police officers. After all, I'm a prophet, so I have to think more than an ordinary good person."

"Anyway, the exact situation of the police above and below will ultimately be determined based on their speeches. I won't jump to conclusions before I finish listening to everyone's speeches."

"Talk to player 11 and player 1 at the same time. Don't be hostile to me just because my badge flow hits you. My badge flow is actually random and not targeted."

"If I have to say it's targeted, it's targeted at the police. I want to find the wolf on the police first. It's that simple."

For some reason, Ren Fan always felt that this game was about four wolves going to the police, especially the behavior of player No. 7 throwing a check to the back of the police, which made him feel that the possibility of four wolves going to the police was very high.

So his attention was focused on the police, and he didn't pay too much attention to the players below the police, nor did he have much hostility towards them.

But as a prophet, it would not be good not to talk about the police, at least you have to canvass for votes.

Regardless of whether canvassing for votes is useful or not, you have to show your attitude and let the players under the police know that you want the police badge, instead of giving people the impression that the police badge is dispensable.

As if realizing the flaws in his speech, Ren Fan finally turned his attention to the police.

"Talking to you 8, 9, and 10. Although I didn't use the police badge on any of you, it doesn't mean that I ignored you or that you are not in my eyes."

"My intention through my speech was to convince you that I am a prophet so that you can vote for me, rather than saying that I am canvassing for your badge votes or putting pressure on you to vote for me."

"We are not newbies anymore, there shouldn't be anyone who uses the badge style to make trouble, right? For example, if I beat you with the badge style, you will vote for me, and if I don't beat you with the badge style, you won't vote for me."

"I believe that most people still listen to my speech and look at the logic. If they think my logic is good and my speech is good, they will vote for me. If they think my logic is wrong and my speech is not good, they will not vote for me."

"When I get to the police station later, I don't want to hear that someone didn't vote for me because of the badge flow. It can be a reason, but it definitely can't be the main reason."

After a pause, Ren Fan continued, "Player No. 7's badge flow is 8 and 10. If he throws a check to 6, I think it is highly unlikely that the first badge flow will be hit on a teammate, so 8 should be a good guy."

"Pay attention, I'm talking about the high probability, I can't guarantee that No. 7 and No. 8 won't meet. We have to look at the vote pattern and speech of No. 8 to make further judgments."

"But based on the badge style that 7 played, I think 7 and 8 should never meet."

"The No. 6 player in the front position is a witch, I will definitely admit it, after all, he is a reverse gold. The No. 5 player is a silver water, I will not play the self-sword for the time being."

"Officer, I found two wolves, 3 and 7, and three good people, 5, 6, and 8. Officer, after listening to the speech, I believe I will give more identity definitions. Officer, let's leave it at that for now. It's over."

[Player No. 3 please speak]

"Good fellow, you are throwing a check at me at this time, you can't be faking your identity, right? If you are not faking your identity, then you must be a swindler."

"I originally thought that player No. 7 was the wolf, but I was too careless. You players No. 4 and No. 6 are the two wolves. As for player No. 5, he is most likely a good guy. From what he said, he is obviously hostile to player No. 6. He doesn't seem like a wolf teammate."

"And player 5 has already made it very clear. If player 6 throws a silver water at him, it means he is trying to drag him into the trap, making people think that 5 and 6 are both wolves or doubting the identity of player 5. If I click player 5 to enter the trap, I will be fooled by player 6."

Before Ren Fan threw a check at him, Player 3 was ready to play a counter-hook, because Player 7's speech was not very good, not to mention that it hit a wall.

But now he obviously can't play a back hook. After being checked and killed, he can only fight Ren Fan head-on.

However, if he shoots a civilian, can he win? If he can't win, the good guys will definitely choose to kill him first, which is predictable.

But dancing as a witch is not an option.

Ren Fan has just talked about the reason. How could it be such a coincidence that 6, as a wolf, was found and killed for pretending to be a witch, and then Ren Fan, who pretended to be a prophet, happened to find and kill him, the real witch.

This situation exists in theory, but the possibility of it happening is too low.

So he couldn't jump into the witch trap. If he did, all the good people would just stand on Ren Fan's side.

The wiser choice is to jump to the magician instead of the hunter.

Jumping hunter is seeking death.

But Player 3 is well aware of the disadvantages of the magician's jumping trick. As long as the witch comes to poison him at night, his identity will be exposed when he wakes up the next day.

Moreover, to play like this, he needs a teammate to step in and pretend to be the witch, otherwise, he will inevitably be pushed out of the game.

however.

If the Wolf Team sends another person out to pretend to be the witch, then the three wolves will be fighting the good guys openly. Once this happens, it will be very difficult to win.

So, player 3 is in a tough spot.

If he doesn't pretend to be the magician, he will be kicked out on the first day. If he pretends to be the magician, he will die at night and will have to sell another wolf teammate.

How to do?
In just one second, countless thoughts flashed through Player No. 3's mind.

Faced with a dilemma, he finally chose to sacrifice himself.

"Since I have accepted the check from player 4, I will show my identity. I am not a witch, nor any other god card. I am just a commoner."

"A real witch will definitely come out in the back position to shoot player 4. Then you will know who the prophet is."

"I hope the good guys can recognize me. If I were a wolf, I would never shoot a civilian, because in this situation, shooting a civilian would kill them. I can't jump into the trap of being a witch, but I can jump into the trap of being a magician."

"Not only can this force out the real magician, but it also avoids being pushed back. This is in line with my benefits as a wolf, but I didn't do this, which means I can't hold the wolf card."

There is certainly some truth to what Player 3 said, but the good guys present are not fools.

It is true that jumping as a civilian will lead to being pushed out, but this can avoid exposing more teammates.

To put it bluntly, it means sacrificing the car to save the driver.

He used his life to save his wolf teammates in the external position whose identities had not yet been exposed.

Therefore, this alone does not mean that Card 3 is not a wolf, it only means that he has a good face.

"Player No. 4 dared to throw a check at me, and Player No. 6 received the check without jumping on the spot. Logically, I should have played Player No. 4 as the Wolf King and Player No. 6 as the Little Wolf."

"But the more I think about it, the more I feel something is wrong. I think Player 4 is misleading our sight. The reason why Player 6 doesn't dare to jump from the spot is because he is afraid that we will identify him as the Wolf King and dare not directly release him, so he won't have a chance to shoot."

"In order to get out and shoot, 6 suppressed the action of jumping, and let the second player No. 4 jump, and pretend to be the wolf king." "So, I suggest that No. 4 be eliminated first today."

"Of course, if you don't dare to play No. 4 directly, you can also play No. 6 first. But to be honest, if you play him, the good guys will definitely lose a turn."

"When the Wolf King exchanges for the Witch, who has the upper hand? I believe everyone knows it, right? Unless the Witch doesn't jump, but if she doesn't jump, she won't be able to beat the Wolf 6. This is an open conspiracy."

"Oh, by the way, player No. 4 has been leading the pace, saying that if the police are on top, four wolves will be used, but if they are below the police, they may not use wolves. It seems like he is deliberately trying to divert attention. I think the police must use wolves, or even two wolves."

"Otherwise, 4 wouldn't say that the police won't open the wolf. Can he tell us the truth? He's not that kind, so we have to pay more attention to 8, 9, and 10 under the police."

“4的警徽流是双压警上11、1，我估摸着11、1跟4不见面。”

"Let's take a step back and say that even if one of his teammates is there, there can only be one at most. It's impossible for 11 and 1 to be wolves. There's no such thing as playing the badge style."

In order to improve his status, Player No. 3 has been working hard on logic, figuring out how Ren Fan is not like a prophet, who might become a wolf teammate with Ren Fan, and who will not meet Ren Fan.

Overall the chat went well, especially after I used the police badge to recognize 11 and 1, I won their favor to a certain extent.

However, this still couldn't keep him from surviving the first day.

No matter how good his speech is, without a solid identity, it is really difficult for people to recognize him as Ren Fan, the suspected prophet, in this situation.

Therefore, Player 3's last-ditch efforts are basically useless.

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"I'm not a witch. 4 and 7 are playing the prophet. From the perspective of speech and logic, 4 is definitely better. But this is also normal. After all, 4 jumped in the latter position, while 7 spoke in the first position."

"So, we can't say that player 4 is a prophet just because his speech and logic are better than player 7's. It depends on how they talk to each other. This is more fair."

"But comparing the performance of Player 3 and Player 6, putting aside their identities, I think Player 3 is better. He was able to use Player 4's police badge to identify Players 11 and 1. This behavior and mentality are good."

"And I think the same as him. If 4 is a tough jump, 11 and 1 will most likely be released, so player 12 may become a bad teammate of 4."

Player No. 2's speech was strange. At the beginning, he said that Ren Fan was better at chatting than Player No. 7, which gave people the feeling that he was going to stand on Ren Fan's side.

As a result, he changed the subject and said that we cannot say that Ren Fan is a prophet just because he is good at talking, because it is normal for Ren Fan to talk well, after all, he is speaking in the back position.

Then, he shifted his attention to Players 3 and 6. In the case of the 4-jump witch, he threw aside his identity card and said that Player 3 had better surface water.

What he meant was that he wanted to side with player No. 7 to fight against the two wolves at No. 4 and No. 6.

Anyway, after listening to 2's speech, Ren Fan had this feeling. This 2 was like a hermaphrodite and his identity was not well-defined.

"Let's see if anyone plays Witch with player 6. If so, I might choose to side with player 7, because I think 3 and 7 don't look like a pair of wolves. Instead, 4 and 6 look more like it."

"Especially after 6 jumped the witch, he started to play the double wolves of 5 and 7. I suspected that 5 was self-killing. His mentality and behavior made me feel that he was not a witch."

As Ren Fan expected, Player No. 2 finally spoke his mind and was inclined to side with Player No. 7.

In fact, when Player 2 said that his speech was better than Player 7's, but that didn't mean he was a prophet, Ren Fan knew that this guy was going to join the Wolf Team.

“5号玩家我觉得是个好人，从6对他的态度以及他对6的反馈来看，5、6大概率是不见面的。”

"Whether 4 is a witch or not, 5 can't take the wolf card. He is the only good person who can be recognized among all the people in the front position."

"As for who will be the Wolf King, I can't tell right now. After all, I don't even know which side to stand on. If no one jumps to the witch with 6 pairs, then I will definitely stand on side 4. This is easy, but if there is, it will be a headache."

"Let's listen to it again. If we're really unsure, we can send out player No. 3 on the first day. This is safer. Even if we make a mistake, it's still within our acceptable range."

"Okay, that's all I can say on the police station. I only think that player 5 is a good guy. I won't take sides for now. I'll decide who to side with when the police leave. That's it. I passed."

After listening to the speech of Player No. 2, Ren Fan defined his identity as a wolf, and his identity was not good. It was this guy who said at the end that if a good person is really unsure, he can choose Player No. 3 first, and then he had a little bit of a good face.

If Fan 2 hadn't talked about this, Ren Fan would have marked him as a wolf.

He had already suspected that there were a lot of wolves on the police force, and Player No. 2's comments were simply a step in his favor.

In fact, although Ren Fan did not directly mark 2 as a wolf, he seriously suspected that 2 was a werewolf who wanted to lead the pace and charge, but was timid.

Otherwise, how can we say that he speaks well but is not necessarily a prophet?

And the implication of 2's words is that he wants to stand on the side of player 7, but because no one is going to play the witch with player 6, he can't recognize 7 as the prophet for the time being.

The most important thing is, even though Player 2 said that Player No. 3 could go first, I guess this is not what he really thinks, but a helpless concession.

Ren Fan believed that as long as someone jumped to the witch with 6 pairs, 2% of them would stand on the side of player No. 7 to vote for him.

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"4 and 6 are two wolves. My trump card is the witch. Yinshui is indeed the 5th player. As for whether he killed himself, it is not something we need to figure out in the next two days. Just treat him as a good person for now."

Player No. 1 stood up and photographed the witch, and also reported Player No. 5 as Silver Water.

Now his identity as Yinshui was finally confirmed.

As long as 5 is courting death, no one can talk him into submission.

Firstly, he is protected by silver water, so no matter whether they are good guys or wolves, they are unlikely to think that he is a wolf, so as not to cause trouble for themselves.

Secondly, his own speeches were also quite good, so it is almost impossible to criticize him for his own mistakes.

But then again, if 5 really is a self-killing wolf in this round, the Wolves have a great chance of winning.

Actually, as a good person, there is no need to worry about whether to kill yourself or not on the first day.

It would be wise to wait until the third or fourth day to practice self-cultivation.

"Before the 3rd player spoke, I thought about the 6th and 7th wolves stepping on each other. They had set up the format at night and tricked me into joining the wolf team. I heard that the 4th jump prophet's speech was quite good."

"Especially when he talked to the player under the police, I felt that he was not a tough guy. If he was a wolf and wanted to steal the police badge, why didn't he attack the police badge player under the police?"

"Then, player No. 4 said why he dared not to fight the police badge flow."

"He said that everyone is not a novice anymore, and the badge vote will not be determined by whether he plays the badge flow or not. As long as he talks well, good people will definitely vote for him. This sentence touched my heart."

"I am just like this. No matter if they are a prophet or a tough guy, their badge tricks can't affect my stance. If they want my vote, they can only rely on their speech and logic."

"Player No. 4 has the same mentality as me. His speech and logic are very good. Naturally, I tend to side with him."

"It's a pity that player No. 3 jumped a civilian, and the water on the surface doesn't look like a wolf. In this case, it's a bit unreasonable for me to play 3, 6, and 7 wolves."

"So, I can only stand on the side of player 7 now. Players 4 and 6 are wolves, 3 is a good guy, and 7 is a prophet. Only in this way can the game be more reasonable."

It can be heard that, deep down, Player 1 doesn't really want to side with Player 7.

But there is no other way. If you don't stand on the side of 7, you have to play the three wolves 3, 6, and 7. Not only do you have to play the wolves stepping on each other, but you also have to play the wolves 3 and because they are a wolf and have been killed. Why would you be willing to jump to a civilian?

Didn't he know that if he jumped to civilian status, he would almost certainly die? He knew it, after all, he had talked it out himself, but even though he knew this, he still didn't jump to the god's throne.

This shows that 3 has a good side, and a very big good side.

1号玩家说服不了自己去盘3、6、7三狼，那他就只能站边7号玩家，打4、6双狼，权当任凡是个发言好的悍跳狼呗。

However, the words of Player 1 fell into Ren Fan's ears in a completely different mood.

The more he listened, the more he felt that 1 was not a wolf, and the more he listened, the more he felt that 1 was a good person.

Until now, Ren Fan had to start playing 6 or 7 wolves stepping on wolves.

If this is true, we can only say that the Wolves played very fancy in this game. They came up with a whole set of tactics right from the start, and they did a pretty good job. Judging from the current situation, players who don't think enough will basically not try to play the wolf-trampling-wolf strategy.

Ren Fan was grumbling in his heart, while Player 1 continued, "According to the pattern of three wolves on top and one wolf on the bottom, we have already found wolves 4 and 6."

"5 is silver, 3 is reverse gold, and 2 doesn't seem to want to side with 4, so 2 might be a good guy. Player 11 has joined 4's first badge flow. I think if 4 and 11 don't meet, then the player with the biggest banditry is 12."

"In other words, the third head on the police is between 2 and 12. It's hard to say who the wolf is under the police, but based on the behavior of 4 recognizing player 8, it's possible that 4 and 8 will not meet, so a wolf will appear between 9 and 10."

1号玩家的逻辑思路非常清晰，警上的狼坑已经锁定在2、4、6、12四个人当中了，至于3、5压根盘不到。

As for the three people 8, 9, and 10 under the police, 1, because Ren Fan directly admitted the behavior of 8, arranged that 4 and 8 would not meet, which was logically correct. In this way, it was reasonable to beat 9 and 10 to open a wolf.

Player No. 1 has great control over the situation on the field and the respective common and non-common edge relationships, which shows that he is a master.

What Ren Fan likes most is to play with experts, so that the other party can understand his logic.

As for the players who are not so smart, what they say is confusing to the other party, and they may even feel that you are fooling them, which is very uncomfortable.

For example, in this game, suppose player No. 1 is really a witch. Next, when he plays 6 and 7 wolf tramples wolves, player No. 1 can listen and is willing to play in this way.

But some less experienced people are not willing to play the wolf on the wolf at all, then they are completely doomed.

(End of this chapter)