Werewolf: Please start your show

[Player No. 6 please speak]

"Player No. 5, if I hadn't verified that you were Jinshui last night, I would have called the police and opened a multi-wolf attack based on your remarks. You are fighting the prophet."

"Fortunately, I tested you last night, and you threw a check at the front position. This actually increased my chances of being a prophet."

"From this perspective, you did a good thing by accident."

"But then again, if I wasn't checking you, but anyone in the external position, whether it was Chasha or Jinshui, I'm afraid the good guys would think I was a werewolf who jumped from the spot after receiving Chasha."

"So, I advise you to do less rash actions, so as not to ruin the good team."

Player No. 6 did jump from the spot, but unlike what Player No. 5 or all the good guys thought, he actually threw a golden water to Player No. 5.

How to play this?
Is player No. 6 a wolf? Is he courting death by running into the gun?
Even if he is a wolf who jumps into the same place, as long as he can talk well, there is still a 1% chance that he can gain the trust of good people and make them stand on his side. At the very least, he can fool a few good people who stand on the wrong side and use them as his resistance in the future.

But 6 throws a golden water to player 5. If 5 does not return the water, 6 will be admitting defeat.

Could this be something a wolf would do?

Or it's like what player No. 6 said, No. 5 cheated in his identity and did something fancy, and No. 6 was the prophet who happened to verify him, otherwise, why would No. 6 dare to throw gold water to No. 5.

"Police badge flow, double pressure on the police below, 4 and 9 will test it, and see who will jump with me after the police. Judging from the current situation, my idea is similar to 5's, it should be two wolves on the police above and two wolves below the police."

"5 is my Jinshui, 2 is in the front position and I will listen and do my best. Then I will have to find two wolves among the four people in the back position, 7, 10, 11, and 12."

"Of course, this is just a preliminary guess. In fact, it does not rule out what player No. 2 said, that the Wolves play a format, and the three Wolves will rush or hook under the police depending on the situation."

"Anyway, I will proceed with the normal situation first. After listening to your speech, I will make further judgment."

"A big part of the reason why I use the badge flow to suppress the police officers is to canvass votes. Regardless of whether the police officers are three wolves or two wolves, the wolf pretending to be a wolf will probably get at least two votes at the very least."

"And I don't have a team. If I don't use the police badge to canvass for votes, I'm afraid I won't have a chance of getting the badge."

"This board is unguarded. Once the prophet doesn't have a badge, it's basically impossible to report another day to check people. The Wolves won't give me this opportunity."

"Therefore, this badge is extremely important to me and the entire good team. After all, one more day of checking people may lead to finding one more wolf, which means the wolf team will have one less target to fight against, and we will have one more round."

Player No. 6 is right to think that the police badge is very important.

In the unguarded board, the deterrent effect on the Wolves by the prophet who gets the police badge and the prophet who doesn't get the police badge is completely different.

Just like in this round, if 6 is really a prophet, as long as the good guys can stand on the right side, he will make sure to report another day of verification tomorrow, even if he is killed by a wolf at night.

But if 6 didn't have the police badge, the Wolves would stab him at night and the good guys would have to watch helplessly.

Perhaps 6 was checked and killed that night, and a check and kill is a round, and even determines the final victory or defeat.

This shows how important this police badge is.

This is also one of the fundamental reasons why the Wolf Team must send someone to steal the police badge.

"Player No. 5, we are now tied together. You can only stand on my side, because I can imagine that the wolf will definitely play against our 5th or 6th wolf pair later."

"He would say that we were playing a game of tricks, a strategy we had agreed on last night. You throw a check to me, and I throw a gold water to you, in order to improve my prophet status."

"If you want to trick the good guys into standing by him, he will have to beat you to death. So I really hope you can bring an identity, preferably an idiot, so that we can film it and kill the tough wolf."

Player No. 6 was very prescient, or he thought a lot and predicted the logic that the tough wolf might use.

Of course, this is nothing special. After all, any player who knows how to play can think of this.

在5、6相互这么一波操作之后，别说后置位起跳的预言家要盘5、6双狼，外置位的好人也得想5、6有没有可能是双狼打格式。

Just as player No. 6 said, 5 and 6 are now tied to the same rope. If 6 jumps, 5 can't escape.

Could it be that player No. 6 knows that player No. 5 is an impostor and not a prophet, so he dares to throw gold water at player No. 5?
The possibility of this is almost zero.

After all, even Gu Feng didn't realize that 5 might be an impostor, so it would be weird if 6 could realize it.

This is not to say that Gu Feng couldn't hear it, but that others certainly couldn't hear it either.

But the remarks made by player No. 5 on the police station did not indicate any intention of fraud. He talked very fully, either he was a prophet or a tough guy. Who would have thought that such remarks were a fraud?
Even now 5 has not retreated. As a wolf, if 6 can really conclude from his speeches that 5 is a good guy who is faking his identity, then he is definitely the top among the top.

"Finally, let's talk to the players under the police. Please vote for me. I am a prophet. I want this police badge. If I get it, the good guys will win half the battle. But if this badge falls into the hands of the tough wolf, we will lose half the battle."

"As a prophet, I believe you should be able to make the right judgment and stand on the right side. Well, let's do this for the police first. 5 gold and water, 4 and 9 police badge flow, pass."

[Player No. 7 please speak]

"Player No. 5 hasn't backed off yet. Does that mean he's going to continue to play the Oracle with the 6th pair? If that's the case, we don't need to think about the logic."

“5给6丢查杀，6给5丢金水，这6号玩家不是妥妥的铁狼吗？”

"But I feel like if 6 is a wolf, he wouldn't throw gold water to 5, right? Unless he doesn't want to win and he has a grudge against his teammates, otherwise, I can't figure out why 4, as a wolf, would dare to throw gold water to 5."

"In my opinion, there are perhaps three possibilities."

"The first one is the simplest. Player 5 is lying about his identity. Player 6 is the prophet. Player 6 tested 5 last night and found out that he is a good person, so he dares to throw gold water at him."

"The second is 5 and 6 are two wolves. The two of them discussed it last night and decided to get up the next day to play the format. This method is used to make a high-level prophet of 6, and also provides a perfect motivation and excuse for 5 to charge openly."

"The third option is a little more complicated. Maybe player 5 was the target of last night's attack. When player 6 saw player 5 taking off, he bet that player 5 was the witch who was attacked and was trying to cheat on her identity."

"If he makes a wrong bet, then 5 will be the Silver Water Prophet. Even if his wolf teammates come out to rescue him, they can't do it. They will have to sacrifice another wolf."

"But if he jumps like this, if the bet is correct and 5 is the witch who gets killed, then no one will believe the prophet in the later position. After all, 5 and 6 are tied together. If 5 becomes a prophet, the prophet status of 6 will be infinitely raised."

"This is also the fundamental reason why player No. 6 said that he hopes player 5 will bring identity. The prophet behind can't play the 5th and 6th wolves, so how can the good guys stand on the side? Is there any need to say it?"

As soon as Gu Feng opened his mouth, he opened up the good guy's mind.

His logic was very clear and reliable, and everyone felt enlightened after listening to his words.

Especially the last logic, which is definitely something most people would not think of.

Normally, as a wolf that receives a check and kill, 6 does not dare to throw gold water to 5 in return, but if 5 is the knife edge last night, it would be another matter.

Just like Gu Feng said, player No. 6 might be betting that player No. 5 is a witch. As long as the bet is right, the game is basically a sure win. It is impossible for the good guys to stand by the prophet in the back position when player No. 5 is a witch.

And once the good guys stand on the wrong side and the witch is eliminated on the first day, it would be strange if the Wolves could still lose in this situation.

Therefore, if 5 is a witch, it does not mean that 6 must be a prophet, but it is undeniable that if 5 is a witch, 6 will be a prophet to a large extent.

You can't bet that player 6 is betting that player 5 is the witch who gets stabbed, right? The possibility of this is very small after all.

What's more, until now, player No. 5 has not withdrawn his bet, which does not rule out the possibility that player No. 5 is really a silver water prophet and player No. 6 made a wrong bet.

If that's the case, good people will feel comfortable.

On the first day, not only could I stand on the right side, but I could also walk steadily as a wolf.

Moreover, after the prophet gets the police badge, even if he is stabbed at night, he can still report the inspection information the next day. In this way, the Wolves' survival space will be much smaller.

"I'm talking to the good guys on the field. Everything I'm talking about now is based on the premise that 5 is not a prophet. If 5 is a prophet, then just treat what I say as nonsense."

"In the case where 5 is not a prophet, either 5 or 6 are double wolves playing the format to gain the trust of good people, or 5 or 6 are double good people."

"Obviously, this is a choice. I'm leaning towards the good guys 5 and 6 because the 5th player's speech doesn't sound like a werewolf, and the 6th player's logic is pretty good."

"He thought that the late-positioned tough wolf and the outside-positioned good guy would play 5 or 6 pairs of wolves, so he really hoped to have 5 identities. This earnest hope is quite in line with the mentality of a prophet."

"Although I don't rule out the possibility that he is pretending, based on his current comments, I don't want to make malicious assumptions about Player 6. I still want to think the best of him."

"In general, based on his courage to give 5 gold water, I am willing to trust him for one round. As for whether I will continue to stand by him after the police, it depends on how the prophet in the back position talks."

"Now let me make it clear that I can't possibly be a pair of wolves in plate 5 and plate 6, or a tough wolf with a gambling mentality, right? I don't think any good person would dwell on this dead end when it comes to police work."

Gu Feng thought about it and decided to stand on the side of player No. 6 for the time being.

Even if there really are 5 or 6 pairs of wolves, he cannot play like this before hearing the speech of the prophet in the back position, because it doesn't make sense to play like this.

The speeches of 5 and 6 are both very good. What can we use to discuss the double wolves of 5 and 6?

Unless the prophet in the later position can talk better than player No. 6, or there are explosive points at 5 and 6 under the warning, otherwise, the good guys are unlikely to play the double wolves at 5 and 6 in this game.

"As for the No. 2 player in the front position, I can't tell anything from his speech. I can only say that he has a preference for his mentality. But whether he is a good guy or a wolf depends on his speech and side he stands on."

"As for how many wolves are on the police and how many are below the police, it's hard to say. Everything is possible. As a good person, you should not have preconceived ideas and draw conclusions too early, so as not to affect your subsequent judgment."

"Okay, that's all I'll say for now. After the badge lands, we'll talk more slowly. I'm a good guy, and I hope everyone can recognize me. That's it, it's over."

[Player No. 10 please speak]

"11 Jinshui, the player No. 11 I tested last night, is a good person, the badge flow double pressure police 1, 8 smooth test." "I don't have much experience in testing 11, we are all passers-by, right? So just touch around."

"If I go too far, you'll have to suspect that I'm reporting people's information for some purpose, and you'll have to ask me to talk about my inner journey. Why should I make my situation so difficult?"

Player No. 10 may have suffered losses in this regard, so he is very open-minded about this point.

He didn't touch far away, but just touched nearby. This way, he didn't have to talk about his mental journey and wouldn't be suspected of being a person reporting the incident with a purpose.

This is a smart person. Since he can think of the possible hidden dangers, he simply doesn't do it.

"Players 5 and 6 in the front position both jumped to the prophet, and player 5 threw a check to player 6. I thought player 5 was just a tough jump, and he was going to fight for the prophet behind the alarm."

"However, the actual situation is far more complicated than I imagined."

"6 got up again and threw a gold water to 5. When 5 and 6 saw this move, a thought immediately popped up in my mind: the Wolves are playing a format, and 5 and 6 are using each other as identities."

"From my perspective, there is no way to get a Witch who is attacked in Plate 5. Throwing a check to the back of the police to try the flexibility of the back position, I think as a Witch, there is no need to do this."

"What if his check hits the prophet, causing his mentality and speech to change? Isn't this artificially increasing the difficulty for the prophet?"

"So, I prefer to play 5 or 6 double wolves. The Wolves have discussed the routine in the evening."

"Although there is another possibility, that is, player No. 6, as a wolf who was sent to check and kill, heard that player No. 5 was faking his identity, but this possibility is too low."

"I don't know what you were thinking when the prophet jumped at 5, but I didn't hear that he had any intention of faking his identity. His speech was so full of emotion, and he had a great desire for the police badge. How could this be faking his identity?"

Player No. 10 was quite strong and he beat players 5 and 6 to death without giving them any chance.

From his perspective, 5 and 6 are the two wolves. He would not believe that the two of them had not discussed this wave of operations last night.

The most important thing is that if he doesn't kill player 5, he can't pick up the prophet.

In order to make the good guys believe in him and not to lower his reputation as a prophet, Player No. 10 has to play the game this way. He has no other choice.

If he dares to say that 5 is a good guy who is faking his identity, 6 will hear that 5 is faking his identity, so he will throw a gold and water to 5 to test his strength, and then he will surely die.

Good people are not fools. Everyone has a scale in their hearts to judge whether 5 looks like a fraud and whether 6 is possible to tell that the other person is a fraud.

If player No. 10 forces this logic, the good guys will not stand on his side.

After a pause, Player 10 said, "I used the Police Badge Flow to double-press the police below because there are already two wolves 5 and 6 on the police above. According to the normal pattern, there are two wolves on the police above and two wolves below the police, so I must go to the police below to find the wolves."

“6号玩家把警徽流打到了4、9身上，我觉得4、9可能都跟6不见面，他们俩是被拉票的好人。”

"Of course, this is just my initial judgment and guess. Whether it is true or not depends on the votes, sides and speeches of 4 and 9."

“如果我暂时把4、9往后放一放，那么警下1、3、4、8、9五个人，我能打警徽流的只有1、3、8了。”

“为什么我不验3号玩家呢，主要还是因为3也被5号玩家点进了警徽流，而且是第一警徽流，所以3可能跟5、6不见面。”

"In this case, the police will have to open two wolves, and the probability is between 1 and 8."

Once Player No. 10 said this, the consequences can be imagined. Players 1 and 8 will definitely have a lot of hostility and disgust towards him.

After all this talk, it seems that player 10's police badge style is aimed at the wolf. I wonder if players 1 and 8 will get angry and directly side with player 6.

Even Gu Feng, after listening to the speech and conclusion of player No. 10, felt worried for him, thinking that this player No. 10 was really bold.

4 and 9 have entered the police badge flow of player No. 6, and they will most likely vote for 6.

10号玩家能拉到的票就是1、3、8，结果他盘着盘着就说验1、8是奔着警下的狼去的，这不是把人往4的团队里推吗？

Does Player 11 not want the police badge? Or is this badge just too hard to handle?
"I know that the wolves I mentioned under the police might be 1 or 8. They will be hostile to me and won't vote for me as a police badge, but this is how the logic works. I can't play dumb, right?"

"Maybe it has something to do with my personality. I'm not that smooth, I don't like to flatter, I can't keep things to myself, I say whatever comes to my mind."

"But I want to make one thing clear. Although I now suspect that the wolf under the police may be among 1 and 8, when I get to the police, I will make adjustments based on their votes, sides and speeches."

"As long as they can talk well, I will still accept it even if it means I'm a bandit."

"Similarly, even if you vote for me, if the conversation is not good, I will not show mercy. I only listen to speeches and logic, not actions."

Player 10 is not stupid. He thought about the consequences of his 1 and 8 being wolves.
However, he still did it this way.

From this perspective, 10 is quite like a prophet. After all, a tough guy is unlikely to be so tough and straightforward.

It is true that Player No. 10 has a prophet face, but compared with Player No. 6, his prophet face is still not high.

Because most good people do not agree with the logic of the 5th and 6th pairs of wolves.

Just like Gu Feng, he felt that the speeches of 5 and 6 did not sound like those of wolves, so naturally he did not want to associate 5 and 6 with both wolves.

[Player No. 11 please speak]

"Oh, this is a bit embarrassing. I was originally planning to side with player 6, or if player 5 didn't give up, I would side with player 5. But player 10 gave me a gold water, which put me in a dilemma."

"If I go to side with player 6, it would be like turning against the police. This doesn't seem good. After all, player 10 also has the prophet face, so we can't just kill him with one blow."

"But if I side with player No. 10, it would go against my original intention. Besides, the people in the outer position would also play double wolves at No. 10 and No. 11, and player No. 6 would be particularly suspicious of me."

"How about this, I won't betray you first, but I won't side with player 10 either. I'll maintain a neutral attitude. I'll listen to another round of speeches, and then I'll say whether I'll betray you or not."

Before player No. 10 threw the gold water at him, No. 11 was inclined to stand on the side of player No. 6, and he was even ready to canvass votes for No. 6.

But when the gold water 10 is thrown at him, he can no longer stand on the side of player No. 6 without any scruples.

Because his behavior will have many impacts.

For player No. 10, if he, the gold and water player, directly turns against the team, it will inevitably cause those who want to stand on his side to no longer want to stand on his side.

As for himself, he turned against the opponent so decisively that Player No. 6 could not help but think that he was a werewolf who wanted to play a counter-attack.

For a good person in the extroverted position, his behavior will lower the prophet side of 10, which is something 11 does not want to happen at all.

Therefore, he cannot turn against the police while he is still in the police force. If he wants to do so, he can only wait until he is no longer in the police force.

"If the prophet is on disk 6, and the two wolves are on the alert, then it will be 10 and 12. Although player 12 hasn't spoken yet, I heard that players 2 and 7 have done a good job."

"Especially Player 7, who explained the relationship between Players 5 and 6 very clearly, with solid logic and impeccable logic. I think he is a good person, at least that's what the police think."

"Pick out 2 and 7, and there will be two wolves on the police. You can only play 10 and 12, or one wolf on the police and three wolves under the police."

"Let's listen to what player No. 12 has to say. I guess he will also play the double wolf game for 10 and 11. After all, I took over the gold water from 10, so it's hard to completely sever my relationship with 10."

Player No. 11 recognized Gu Feng and Player No. 2. From his perspective, the two wolves on the police can only be Players 10 and 12, or only one wolf on the police and three wolves below the police.

Similarly, from the perspective of player No. 12, he is a good guy, and the two wolves on the board are nothing more than players No. 10 and No. 11.

If 12 is Gu Feng or 2 is a wolf, then he is a bit far away.

After a pause, Player 11 said, "If Plate 10 is the Prophet, and the Alert opens with two Wolves, that is, 5 and 6, then everyone else should be able to let go."

"So the most urgent thing now is to stand on the right side. As long as you stand on the right side, you will win half of the game. But once you stand on the wrong side, it will be difficult to win."

"The information we got from the police's speech this time is still too little. Let's listen to it again. Anyway, I won't take sides for the time being."

"Finally, let me talk to player 12. I am putting you in the wolf pit not to use you as a defense, but there is no room for you on the police. If you speak well, I can put three wolves under the police."

"If you are a good person, I hope we won't fight each other. Only the werewolves will be happy."

After listening to player No. 11’s speech, Gu Feng thought it was pretty good.

If 11 can recognize him, recognize 2, and attack player 12, this behavior is not very wolf-like.

If he is a wolf, you can just deal with him or put him in the wolf pit. Anyway, it's the first round of police, and he will be forgiven no matter if he is right or wrong.

But if 11 directly pushes 12, who hasn't spoken yet, into the wolf pit, then 10 and 12 may be double wolves, which is completely different.

12 will definitely have strong hostility towards 11, and no one will remain calm.

If player 11 is a wolf, why offend player 12 so badly?
What if the 12th card is a god? Wouldn’t he be in trouble?
Based on this, Gu Feng believes that 11’s good side outweighs his bad side.

But then again, it is too early to draw conclusions about whether 11 is a good guy or a wolf. It depends on whose side he stands on and whether there is any problem with the wolf pit he chose.

Speech, logic, wolf pit, status, and common edge relationship.

These are the five dimensions for judging whether a person is a good person or a wolf. It would not be very accurate to look at any one of them alone. You need to look at them comprehensively. In this way, it will not be easy to make mistakes when looking for wolves to identify good people.

(End of this chapter)