Werewolf: Please start your show

Chapter 677 Don’t Guess What the Wolf Is Thinking

[Player No. 9 please speak]

"Okay, Player 10 has accepted it. No matter who is the prophet between 1 and 6, he cannot be the wolf."

"First of all, I can accept the logic and reason why 10 voted for 6. Although I tend to think that 1 is a prophet, I don't think 10 is a charging wolf. He should be a good guy on the wrong side."

"Secondly, if the bottom card of 10 is a wolf, he should follow suit and play both 9 and 11 wolves, but he didn't. Compared to the others, his logic is much more normal. He just said that we opened one wolf between 9 and 11, and there is no problem in the conversation."

"Thirdly, the definition of the identity of player 10 by player 8 is the most pertinent among all the people in the audience. Unlike some players, they either label 8 as a wolf and join the wolf pit, or directly recognize 8 as the winner. Both of these are wrong."

"Whether Player 8 is a good guy or a wolf, we must listen to what his subordinates say and see which side his subordinates stand on."

"Combining the above three points, I think 10% of the time he is a good guy. In this game, there is no way he can be considered a wolf."

As soon as player No. 9 opened his mouth, he recognized player No. 10, and then talked about three reasons to tell the good guy why he thought No. 10 was not a wolf.

All in all, it is still acceptable.

In fact, no one objects to the fact that Pan 10 is a good guy.

Take Gu Feng for example. He recognized 10 during the police call. Let’s put it this way, as long as 10 doesn’t talk too much, no matter he gets the right ticket or the wrong ticket, he basically can’t figure out that he is a wolf.

So, when clicking on the wolf pit, no one clicked on player No. 10.

After talking so much about 9 and using a lot of so-called logic to tell the good guy 10 that he is not a wolf, it is more or less putting the cart before the horse.

You have to know that this round is to identify the prophet, to show your side and stance, and to point out the wolf's pit. It is unnecessary to spend so much time and energy to figure out why 10 is a good guy.

"As for the question of whether player No. 3 is a witch, I think he is most likely a witch who gets the first hit, because it's my turn and no one else has jumped to the witch, which means that player No. 3 is the witch who left."

"It can't be just a coincidence that the witch is between 7 and 8. If that's the case, just ignore what I said. But before they jump out of the witch, I'll assume that 3 is the witch."

"Player 4 took the poison but didn't fall. There's no doubt that he is the Eclipse Wolf Queen. We can play player 4 first today. Even if we make a mistake, he is still a commoner. Once the witch opens the poison at night, we will see two dead players when we wake up the next day. Then we will know that player 3 is a wolf and player 4 is a good person."

"And exchanging one civilian for one wolf is not a loss for us, but a huge profit."

After listening for a while, player No. 9 found that no one followed 3 and used the witch to rescue player No. 4, which means that there is a high probability that the witch No. 3 is out.

除非女巫开在7、8当中,可是就警上的发言来说,7、8都不像是带身份的,所以9已经下意识的认下了3这个女巫。

Of course.

If player 7 or 8 jumps, he will definitely have to think carefully about who the witch is, but now he can only treat player 3 as the witch.

If you recognize that 3 is a witch, you must kill player 4. But what’s interesting is that when 4 is a wolf, 9 still stands on the side of 1. This is a bit intriguing.

"I know, many people may think that if 4 is a wolf, then 2 must be a good guy. 1 lost the check to 2, so he can only be a tough guy."

"But I don't think it can be handled this way. It is possible that 2 and 4 are wolves stepping on wolves to establish their identities."

"Because if 2 is the wolf, he knows that the prophet is in the back position, so he will naturally think that 1 is the prophet, and 1 may have verified him last night if he is the prophet."

"In this case, 2 deliberately followed suit and attacked his wolf teammates, thinking that if he was checked and killed, he could help 4 establish his identity. This possibility also exists."

"Just imagine, if there really were two or four pairs of wolves, and we were to use this as a logical basis to choose sides, wouldn't that be going in the wrong direction?"

"To be honest, to distinguish between prophets, we still have to listen to what 1 and 6 say. Other factors can only serve as reference and assistance."

"A lot of people say that 1's badge flow is not good, and some even say that his badge flow has exploded, but I think you all don't understand what 1 is trying to say."

“他为什么会把第一警徽流打到3身上?还不是因为他的查杀2号玩家跟风3去打4嘛,所以他就怀疑2、3可能是双狼在带节奏想拿4号玩家做抗推。”

"In other words, 1 was quite hostile to 3 at the time, but he didn't dare to say that 3 was a wolf. After all, 3's remarks still had a good face. When he was unsure, 1 wanted to check 3 out."

"I guess he himself doesn't realize that his badge-wearing style is somewhat inconsistent with his statements, but we can't say that 1 is a fake actor just because of this, right? It's a bit far-fetched."

Player No. 9 was trying his best to help Player No. 1 explain the problem with the police badge flow, which made Gu Feng frown.

Why would a normal good person stand by a police badge holder when he knows that it is not good to keep the badge?
Couldn't this be 1's fault? Do we have to think positively? Say this is 1's mistake?
Gu Feng felt that 9's behavior was very strange, as if he was standing aside with a purpose, and standing aside with a purpose meant either a hook or a charge.

"If no one plays witch with 3 pairs today, then I will play 4. This is safer. If there is, I will most likely play player 2."

"Anyway, 2 is the civilian who jumped. If he is removed, there will be two deaths tomorrow, which means 3 is the wolf who left. I am not on the wrong side. If there are no two deaths, it means 3 is the witch who left. Then the one who jumped the witch is the wolf, and player 4 is also a wolf."

"Okay, that's all I'll say for this round. I'm on the side of player 1 for now. The wolf pits are 2, 4, 11, and 12. If I find that I'm on the wrong side, I'll turn back. That's it. We're through."

[Player No. 8 please speak]

"Oh, it's finally my turn to speak. Ever since the police came on, some people have been trying to push me into the wolf's den, such as Player 5 and Player 7. They just want to set the pace and make me look like a wolf."

"In my eyes, 5 and 7 don't look like good people. I dare not say that both of them are wolves, but at least one of them must be a wolf. And no matter who is the wolf, player 6 is unlikely to be able to pick up the prophet card."

"If 7 is the wolf, and 6 throws gold water to 7, can 6 still be a prophet? 5 is the wolf, and 5 must stand on the side of 6 in this round. I don't believe that he is a hook."

"And we can't rule out the possibility that 5 and 7 are wolves. After all, they are trying to set the pace and resist pushing me."

Listening to what Player No. 8 said, Gu Feng couldn't help but shook his head.

This guy always remembers the bad things but not the good ones. He admitted that the police pointed out that 8's remarks were offensive, and it was normal for 8 to be hostile to him, but player No. 6 had already recognized 8.

What was the result? 8 did not mention a word about 6 recognizing him as a good person, and even labeled 6 as a fake. Isn’t this just the farmer and the snake?
"Player 3 is definitely a witch. Besides him, who else can pick up the witch card? Player 7? If he plays the witch, I will play 6 or 7 double wolves, unless he can show me double death."

"If 7 really jumps into witch trap and two people die tomorrow, I will kneel down and give 7 a token of my gratitude. If he doesn't recognize me, I will vote for myself. The question is, does 7 dare to jump into witch trap?"

There was a certain provocation in the words of player No. 8, but it made Gu Feng feel that player No. 8 was no longer like a wolf.

You know, from the wolves' perspective, 3 is definitely not the witch, she is their wolf teammate, and no one in the front position is the witch, so 7 is very likely to be the witch.

In this situation, if player No. 8 was a wolf, how could he dare to talk to player No. 7 like this, unless he was crazy.

Based on this point, 8 seems like a good guy who doesn't know how to live or die.

"Anyway, I now recognize that player 3 is a witch and player 4 is a wolf, but the fact that player 4 is a wolf doesn't mean player 2 is a good person. The so-called 2 and 4 don't meet is totally untenable."

"I think the conversation between player 9 and player 2 was very good. What if player predicted that he might be checked and killed, so he took the lead to kill his teammates?"

"To be honest, if it were me, I would probably do this. There's no harm in alerting my teammates. I don't really want to beat him to death. What's more, it can also improve my status. Why not do it?"

“我现在点的狼坑是2、4、5、6、7五进四,其中好2、4、6是三头定狼,5、7当中再开一狼,外置位的都盘不到了。”

"Unless 5 and 7 can prove their identities, then player 12 will be trapped by the Golden Wolf, because he has been helping player 6 to incite since he was a police officer, and he is still on the side of player 6 under the police. His gangster status is no less than that of 5 and 7."

"But there is no other way. I think a wolf must appear between 5 and 7, so 12 cannot be played. Otherwise, 12 will also fall into the wolf's pit."

It can be heard that Player No. 8 is very hostile to Gu Feng and Player No. 7, and he is even willing to sacrifice 12 of them to get a wolf.

But honestly speaking, judging from their speeches and actions, Player 8 should side with Player 1 and prioritize Player 12 as the wolf. After all, all the police officers above and below Player 12 are inciting Player 6, and he looks too much like a charging wolf.

I guess Player No. 8 also knows this, but he just wants to pick a wolf between Pan Gu Feng and Player No. 7, which is a bit too much.

From this we can see that 8 is not a very rational person and is easily angered. When he is angered, his emotions outweigh his logic.

This is a common problem among many Werewolf players. Personal subjective consciousness will suppress logic, which will eventually lead to hitting the wrong person, standing on the wrong side, and losing the game.

"Who will be the first player to appear today? Player 4 will definitely appear first. I will also appear at the side of 1. However, there are still some rules for the order of appearance. Player 1 must appear before Player 4. Tomorrow will be Player 2's turn."

"Well, that's it. After holding it in for so long, I finally finished talking about everything I wanted to talk about."

"Finally, let me emphasize again that player 3 is the Iron Witch. If you are a good person, then place your vote on player 4 and don't vote for player 2. After all, no one can guarantee that player 1 is a prophet, right?"

Player No. 8 is quite interesting. He says with great confidence that standing alone against 1 is a tough move, but then he says that Player No. 6 is not necessarily the prophet. This gives people a very contradictory feeling.

But in fact, such contradictions are very normal. A good person who closes his eyes to others will inevitably have some doubts no matter how firmly he stands on one side.

After all, it is better to be safe than sorry, and this is why player No. 8 has to go out first, No. 4.

[Player No. 7 please speak]

"First of all, I'm not a witch. After listening to everyone's comments, no one jumped out as a witch to save player 4. So player 3 should have been left by the witch. Otherwise, the witch would have jumped out to correct the situation long ago."

"Player 3 is a witch, so Player 4 can't play the good guy card. No matter how he talks, even if he talks a lot, it can't change the fact that the witch didn't poison him to death." "And on the first night, the Eclipse Wolf Consort would only use her skills on herself. Only those who were used by the Eclipse Wolf Consort could not be poisoned to death by the witch, so Player 4 is not only a wolf, but also the Eclipse Wolf Consort."

"No matter who is the prophet between 1 and 6, no one is going to play the witch, and player 4 will be the wolf and can't escape, so player 4 must play first today. Is there any disagreement on this?"

Although player number 7 received the gold and water from player number 6, he had no intention of betting on behalf of player number 6. From the first sentence he said, it was not difficult to hear that his attention was on players 3 and 4.

Originally, player No. 3 said that he was the witch who got stabbed, and player No. 7 was a little skeptical. He even felt that player No. 3 was the one who stabbed himself and was forcing the double-medicine witch to jump out.

After a round of speeches, no one on the field jumped to the witch, so he could only believe that 3 was the witch. It couldn't be that the witch with two medicines was afraid of being hit by a knife, so she just didn't jump, right?

This possibility definitely exists, but as a good person, you can't get stuck in this dead end. Since no one jumps, let's just assume that player 3 is the witch. Then player No. 4 is the Iron Wolf, and the Eclipse Wolf Queen.

In this case, the question of who is the prophet between 1 and 6 can be put aside for a while, and the most important thing is to eliminate 4 first.

"Player 4 is the wolf, and Player 2 has to be the good guy. It seems that I have no chance to turn against them. I can only stand with Player 6."

"Some people in the front position play 2 or 4 double wolves. I can't say it's impossible, but the possibility is very small. Is 2 that powerful? He can predict that he will be checked and kill, and play No. 4 in advance to give him an identity. This is too outrageous."

"I still think that 2 and 4 are unlikely to meet. They can't be a pair of wolves. Now that player 4 is the wolf, 2 has to be a good guy, so 1 is undoubtedly a tough guy."

"Players 8, 9, and 11 are all forcing the 2nd and 4th duo to play, but they consciously ignore the logic that 2nd and 4th are most likely not to meet. This is obviously not the mentality of a good person."

"So, at least one wolf must be in the three of them. Note that it is at least. Maybe two wolves. Three wolves are definitely impossible because 1 and 4 are fixed wolves. There are only two wolves in the external position at most."

Player No. 7 actually did not figure out who is the prophet between Players 1 and 6. Judging from their speeches, both of them have the aspect of a prophet.

Although 7 tends to side with 6, he will not kill player 1.

But this was his thought before 3 fell down. When the witch at 3 said that poisoning 4 was not fatal, he knew that 6 should be the prophet.

因为4警上就对6有敌意,说明4、6不太能见面,再结合2警上打了4的行为来看,2、4同样是不见面的,2就得是好人。

1 If you throw a check to a good guy, can he still take the prophet? He is definitely a tough guy.

顿了顿,7号玩家又说道:“我现在点得狼坑就是1、4、8、9、11,跟3号玩家遗言点得一模一样。”

"From this, we can see that the logic of the three games and the wolf pits pointed out are all correct. I think we are overthinking the suspicion that he is a self-killing wolf."

"If the 3rd card is a wolf, how can he have the same perspective as a good person like me? Only if he is a witch would he lay out the same wolf pit as me."

"Of course, if I see two dead bodies tomorrow, I'll just pretend I didn't say anything. But if that's the case, I'll have to rethink my stance and my wolf pit."

"After all, I used player 4 as the wolf as the logical basis to conclude that player 6 is the prophet. If player 3 is not a witch, player 4 must be a good person."

"In this case, I have to think carefully about the issue of 1 being a prophet, and 3 pretending to be a witch and madly inciting 6 to vote, so 3 and 6 might be the Twin Wolves."

After listening to player No. 7's speech, Gu Feng couldn't help but smile, thinking that player No. 7's idea was too simple.

Player 3 is a wolf, and he is crazy about giving 6 the incitement ticket. Does that mean 3 and 6 are two wolves? Not necessarily.

In fact, from the moment Player No. 3 pretended to be a witch, he knew that his identity would be exposed sooner or later.

In this case, he might choose the identity of a dirty prophet to mislead the witch's sight.

For example, if number 3 is given to the prophet, the witch will mistakenly believe that 3 and 6 are two wolves. In this way, if the witch does not think much, she will most likely fall into the trap and stand on the side of player 1.

But at the same time, it is not ruled out that Player No. 3 has a counter-intuition towards you. He bets that your witch will figure out his identity as the dirty prophet, so he directly helps his teammates to incite the witch to jump into the wolf pit herself. This is also entirely possible.

Therefore, we cannot use the fact that player No. 3 is a wolf to deduce who is the prophet and who is the tough guy. It is more reliable to listen to the opinions of the two prophets when taking sides. Any other factors can only be used as reference and auxiliary.

After all, you don’t know what the wolf is thinking.

You think he is counting the tickets for his teammates? Actually, he is counting the tickets for the prophet.

You think he is a dirty prophet? Actually, he is a dirty teammate.

True and false, real and fake, who can guarantee that they can guess correctly what the wolf is doing every time?

Since it is impossible to guess accurately, the wolf’s words and behavior cannot be the logical basis for a good person.

Remember this, and get out of the misunderstandings and logical obstacles given by the wolves, then you will be less likely to stand on the wrong side and click on the wrong wolf pit.

[Player No. 6 please speak]

"It's so funny, isn't this 3 the Iron Witch? If you doubted her identity, you would have jumped out as a witch, but you didn't dare to jump out, and you still wanted to set the pace and hit 3, which was a self-killing move. If this isn't a wolf, what is it?"

"I think any good person with good logic would not doubt 3's identity at this time, because no one is fighting against him in the game. If that's the case, what's your basis for saying that 3 is a self-sabotaging wolf?"

"I think it's probably OK for player 3 to kill himself, but at least there should be someone to fight against the witch, right?"

"If not, then 3 is the witch, 4 is the wolf, don't say he jumped to the commoner, even if he jumped to the guard or the prince of order, my vote will be on him."

There was a hint of anger in Player 6's tone. He really couldn't understand what kind of mess was going on in the good guy's mind.

Some people even suggested that player No. 3 is a self-killing wolf. Although it is theoretically possible, before we can figure out this logic, someone must follow the 3 pairs to jump to the witch, right?
No one is thinking of being a witch, but people inexplicably suspect that 1 is a wolf. Isn't this nonsense?

To be honest, don't say that no one will dance the witch trick with three pairs. Even if someone does, as long as no one dies when they wake up tomorrow, the one who dances the witch trick is the wolf.

As for Christmas Eve, this is definitely not possible. A wolf can create a Christmas Eve with an empty knife, but a double dead wolf cannot be created.

Therefore, only a double death could prove that the witch was definitely present, not Christmas Eve.

"I originally thought that player 3 was a witch. After he reported his poisonous person information, the good guys were able to figure out that player 4 was the Eclipse Wolf Consort, and then recognized player 2."

"It turns out that I'm still too young. There are actually quite a few people who play 2 or 4 double wolves, saying that 2 can predict when they will be checked and killed, so they kill their wolf teammates in advance to set up their identities."

"Good fellow, with this logic, it's not 2 that is in the atmosphere, it's you that are in the atmosphere."

“Sometimes, it’s not a good thing for good people to think too much. It’s a simple logic, but it’s made complicated.”

"Just like the relationship between 2 and 4, it's obvious from their statements on the police that they don't meet, but some people insist on making 2 and 4 the twin wolves. Isn't this just looking for trouble?"

"In my opinion, there are only two kinds of people who would use this kind of logic."

"One type is the self-righteous good guy who always feels that his logic is at a higher level, but in fact he is just overthinking."

"The second type is the wolf, who is crazy about setting the pace and wants to turn 2 and 4 into double wolves. Only in this way can he rush forward. Otherwise, he can only stand on my side. But he doesn't want to backhook, so he has to bite the bullet and play 2 and 4 double wolves."

Player 6 feels that he has underestimated the stupidity of the good guys.

Not only do some people get a self-killing wolf in plate 3, but there are also many people who get double wolves in plates 2 and 4.

This is obviously not correct logic.

作为一个好人,一定是认为2、4不见面的,因为警上2点4号玩家的行为就表明他跟4不认识。

Saying that 2 predicted that he would be checked and killed, and provided his identity to his teammates in advance, this is pure conjecture, which artificially raises the level of player No. 4.

The werewolves do this in order to charge, and it is more or less stupid for the good guys to go in this direction.

"Player No. 8, I recognized you when I was on duty. Although I used my badge on you, I made it very clear that I will change when I am off duty. I hope you will not be hostile to me."

"What's the result? You also followed the wolves of Player 2 and 4 and sided with Player 1. It seems that I have recognized you wrongly. Players 5 and 7 are right. You are probably a wolf."

“9、11都是站边1的,且都盘了2、4双狼,但他们又有互打的行为,所以9、11当中大概率只开一狼。”

"I will check player No. 11 tonight. If he is Gold Water, 9 is Wolf. If he is checking and killing, 9 can be put aside."

“我现在点的狼坑是1、4、8三狼,9、11当中再开一狼,外置位的都盘不到了。”

"Like player 5, it's obvious that he doesn't want to meet player 4, because when the 4th policeman comes up, he wants to put the 5th point into the wolf pit as a resistance position."

"Player No. 10 was voted for me. If I didn't count him, he would be a hook. If he was a wolf, No. 1 would definitely get the police badge."

"Player No. 12 is a trickster who is standing by my side. I can't say he is a hook on the first day, right?"

"So, the wolf pits I can choose are 1, 4, 8, 9, and 11. Player 4 will definitely come out first today, and 1 will come out tomorrow. That's it, I passed."


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