Werewolf: Please start your show

[Player No. 8 please speak]

"I am the first to speak. First of all, I am not a prophet. I come to the police station to comment on the prophet."

"I don't think I need to say much about this board. Everyone is familiar with it. Because of the Eclipse Wolf Concubine, we must think more about the logic when we discuss it."

"Especially Jinshui, we can't just play as a good guy. Maybe Jinshui is a wolf. Although this possibility is relatively small, we have to play as a wolf no matter what."

"So, if Jinshui speaks badly, then we have to consider that Jinshui is a wolf, and we can't selectively ignore it."

"Anyway, when I play this game, I always keep an eye on Jinshui, unless he can reveal his identity in a photo, then that's another matter."

Player No. 8 seemed to be very hostile to the prophet's gold and water. He came up and reminded the good guys to pay more attention to the gold and water and not to accept it completely.

Because on the first night the prophet might have predicted the eclipse on the Wolf Queen, in which case the gold and water would be fake.

It cannot be denied that this is indeed a possibility.

But the probability of this happening is relatively low, especially for the gold and water on the first night, which can basically be completely recognized. How could it be such a coincidence that the prophet immediately checked it on the Eclipse Wolf Concubine who gave him the skill.

However, Jinshui had to be careful on the second night. The Prophet's badge flow hit the wolf. During the Eclipse, could the Wolf Concubine watch her wolf teammates being tested and do nothing?

That's exactly why.

Good people should pay more attention to Jinshui after the first night and listen carefully to his speech and logic.

Let’s put it this way, starting from the second night, the probability of the fortune teller detecting fake gold water will be much greater than the first night.

Of course, this is all a story for later.

Who knows whether the prophet was testing the gold and water or checking the killing last night? If it was checking the killing, this problem would not exist.

After a pause, Player 8 said, "In fact, to see if there is a problem with Jinshui, we need to see where the skills of the Eclipse Wolf Concubine are used."

"If it was used on the prophet and caused the guards to fail to protect the prophet, then Jinshui must be a good person, without any doubt."

"Or the witch wanted to poison someone, but the other person didn't fall down, but the witch fell down. This means that the skill of the Eclipse Wolf Queen was used on the person poisoned by the witch, causing the witch to be killed."

"And if we can't find the landing point of the Eclipse Wolf Queen's skills, and we can't find it, then we must consider the issue of Jinshui being a wolf."

What Player 8 said makes a lot of sense.

In fact, what he wanted to express was that one could flexibly judge whether Jinshui was a wolf or not. It depended on whether the skills of the Wolf Concubine of Eclipse were possibly used on the so-called Jinshui.

For example, player No. 1 is a prophet, and the guards watch over him at night, but when he wakes up the next day, No. 1 still has his cards down. This means that the Wolf Queen used her skills on the prophet during the Eclipse, causing the guards to be unable to watch over the prophet.

When this happens, the good guys can be sure that the skills of the Eclipse Wolf Queen were used on the prophet, and there is no problem with the gold and water, no doubt about it.

For example, player 1 is a witch, and he says he will poison player 2 at night.

As a result, when they woke up the next day, 2 was not dead, but 1 was down. This also shows that the Wolf Queen used her skills on 2 during the Eclipse. In this case, Jinshui can accept it.

Of course.

These are the most common situations. There are many less common ones, so I won’t list them all.

Anyway, as long as it can be confirmed that the Wolf Concubine during the Eclipse has nothing to do with Gold and Water, then Gold and Water are the real Gold and Water.

If they can't find where the Eclipse Wolf Queen used her skills, then the good guys will really have to question Jin Shui's identity.

[Player No. 7 please speak]

"How should I put it? I feel like Player 8 doesn't talk very well, or I just don't think he sounds that good."

"He said that Jinshui might be a wolf, and warned the good people not to completely accept Jinshui. At first glance, it sounds quite thoughtful, and I have to admit that he has some truth in his words."

"But to a certain extent, this is setting the pace, which will make us unable to recognize Jin Shui, and then the situation on the field will become very chaotic."

"And this is exactly what the werewolf wants to see. I am not maliciously speculating on the motives of Player 8. He may just be stirring up trouble under the guise of reminding the good guys, in order to induce them to question Jin Shui's identity."

"Admittedly, because of the Eclipse Wolf Concubine on this board, Jinshui may not necessarily be a good person, but for the Jinshui that the prophet tested on the first night, a good person should not doubt it."

"Player No. 8 is just too hostile to Jinshui, which makes me feel that he has bad intentions."

"Of course, I just doubt 8's motives. I didn't say that he must be the wolf who is leading the pace."

Player No. 7 pointed out the possible problems with Player 8, which was exactly what Gu Feng was thinking just now.

In this way, the identity of 7 is better in his eyes, at least better than 8.

And judging from player No. 7's attitude towards player No. 8, there is a % chance that these two have never met. If one wolf can be found among them, the other will be able to recognize it.

"There are quite a lot of people on the police in this round, eleven in total, and only player No. 10 is left under the police. I think he is most likely a good guy."

"Anyway, I will temporarily follow the pattern of four wolves and one policeman, unless player number 10 chats particularly badly."

Player No. 7 directly recognized No. 10 under the police, which made Gu Feng's favorability towards him increase even more.

From the perspective of the good guys, they should be very grateful and glad that player No. 10 stayed under the police and did not go on the police. He reserved the possibility of getting the police badge for the prophet and gave the good guys an additional opportunity to speak on the police.

7 For the time being, treat him as a good guy and beat him. This mentality should not be that of a wolf.

If they were wolves, they would surely be very angry and depressed. They would certainly hope that 10 people would be reported to the police, which would lead to the loss of police badges. At the same time, the good guys would have one less opportunity to speak in front of the police, which would be very beneficial to them.

It was because 10 did not go to the police that the good guys were able to listen to the police's last speech and the prophet had the opportunity to get the police badge.

In the eyes of good people, player No. 10 has done a great deed.

In the eyes of the werewolf, he probably hates it so much that his teeth are itching.

"Finally, let's talk to the prophet. I believe that the good people present here have a relatively good ability to stand on the side. As long as you are a prophet, you don't have to worry about being pushed out by the tough wolf."

"The premise is that your speech cannot be too explosive, so that people will not want to recognize you as a prophet. My requirements are not high. The passing score is 60 points. It's OK as long as you can reach the passing score."

"As long as you can reach the passing line, I will basically not stand on the wrong side. Even if the tough wolf is better at chatting than you and he has 80 or 90 points, I am still confident that I can find you."

"So, you must strive to do your best. I don't expect you to lead Kerry, but at least don't make things too difficult for the good guys."

"If you are a prophet and your speech is explosive, your perspective is wrong, and the wolf pit you choose is untenable, how can you make good people stand by you?"

"My requirements for the prophets are very simple. I don't want them to be brilliant, but I want them to have no explosive points that are hard for people to accept."

"Okay, that's all I'll say for now. I'm a good guy, and I hope everyone can recognize me. That's it, I'm done."

[Player No. 6 please speak]

"Brothers, I'm a prophet. I tested player number 7 last night and it turned out to be a gold water."

"Everyone heard what 7 said just now. I don't know what you think, but I don't think he can be a wolf."

"Although we can't completely accept Jinshui on this board and we need to be more cautious, but what Player 7 said makes sense. As a good person, we can't start doubting Jinshui right away, right?"

"Especially the gold water tested on the first night is quite reliable."

"And I think my luck shouldn't be that bad. On the first night, I just happened to test it on the Eclipse Wolf Concubine who gave me the skill."

It can be heard that Player 6 still has some Jinshui complex. He doesn't want to play Jinshui as a wolf, at least not now. In his opinion, as long as Jinshui's speech is not particularly bad and he is not stubborn and joins the wolf team, he can let it go.

If you want to guess that Jinshui is a wolf, just like player No. 8 said, unless you really can’t find where the skills of the Wolf Concubine of Eclipse are used.

In this case, Jinshui's identity can be doubted, but on the first and second days, it is best not to spend too much energy and time trying to figure out whether Jinshui is a wolf.

"For now, I'll just go with 8 and 2 for my badge flow."

"There is only one player No. 10 under the police, so I won't beat him into the police badge flow. If I beat him into the police badge flow, then the tough wolf will probably beat him into the police badge flow as well. In this way, the pressure on No. 10 will be great."

"I think we should not put so much pressure on him. Just let 10 vote freely. Whether he votes right or wrong, I will not lead him into a wolf's den."

"Because I feel that what Jinshui said is right. In this round, only player No. 10 is under the police. It's not easy to play him as a wolf. It's better to play with four wolves and one police first."

"Anyway, Player 10 has chosen to stay under the police, which is a big help to the good guys. Just imagine, if he also became a police officer, not only would he lose his police badge, but he would also lose an important round of police speeches, and it would be difficult for the good guys to win."

"So, from this perspective, I would rather bet that player No. 10 is a good person."

Player No. 6 is very good at winning people over.

Although he did not use the police badge on 10, he has been using speeches to canvass votes. For example, he followed the words of player 7 and admitted that 10 was most likely a good guy, and the fourth wolf was the police.

For example, he said that even if 10 got the wrong ticket, he would hardly point 10 into the wolf pit. This was all an attempt to win 10's favor.

From this point, it can be seen that player No. 6 knows a lot about Werewolf.

Regardless of whether his logic is good or not, at least he knows how to make others willing to believe him and stand on his side.

Compared to those straightforward people who say whatever they think, he is more tactful and makes people feel comfortable, so his winning rate is higher.

This has nothing to do with logic, but with the way, method and technique of speaking.

"I used the first police badge flow on player No. 8 because I, Jinshui, said that there was something wrong with player No. 8. In that case, I tested him."

"But actually, I personally feel that 8's speech is still good. He has more good side than bad side. But 7 and 8 have spoken before, and 7 is Jinshui, so I will just play 8's police badge style."

"But when I get to the police station, I will most likely change it, because I have no choice but to test 8. It doesn't feel right to double-press after the police station, after all, 8 spoke before me, and my Jinshui still has doubts about him."

"Having said so much, I just hope that player No. 8 will not be hostile to me. I am playing your first badge flow, but I definitely don't want to lure you into a wolf pit. I am just temporarily putting the badge flow on you. After I listen to the speeches, I will change it."

"The second badge flow is just hitting player 2 randomly, without any logic or reason."

"To be honest, my position is too far forward, and I can't figure out any logic. I just know that 7 is gold and water, and 8's speech is relatively benign. How can I talk about the others? I can't think of anything to talk about."

"I hope you can give me some tolerance. Don't say I have no logic when I'm on duty. I really can't figure it out, but I will definitely point out the wolf pit properly when I'm off duty."

After listening to the speech of the prophet who took off from 6, Gu Feng felt that it was okay, at least there was no explosion point.

It’s just that the police badge style is a bit strange, or it doesn’t quite fit with Gu Feng’s idea.

But he also knew that everyone in the police badge circle had their own ideas, and as long as they were not particularly outrageous, they were acceptable.

What's more, player No. 6 also explained why 8 and 2 were in sync, so Gu Feng would not use this to doubt that No. 6 was not a prophet.

But at the same time, he couldn't stand on 6's side. After all, this speech was just barely passing. There was nothing special about it, and it didn't make Gu Feng want to stand on his side.

[Player No. 5 please speak]

"It's hard to say. Player 6's comments may be a prediction, but they may also be a trick. His comments are just standard, neither good nor bad."

"Player No. 7 just said that he would rate the prophet. He would be satisfied with 4 points. So is enough for points for me."

"Anyway, regardless of whether 6 is a prophet or not, in my opinion, 7 is most likely a good person for two reasons."

"One is his definition of the identity of player No. 8, which is similar to what I thought. Player No. 8 seems to be a person who thinks a lot and has some logic, but his mentality is not very good and he has a gangster side."

"The second is that he can temporarily recognize the No. 10 player under the police as a good person, and directly play four wolves to the police. This makes me feel that he can't hold the wolf card anymore."

"In fact, when I saw that only Player 10 was on the police station, my first reaction was to be thankful that Player 10 did not go to the police station. All good people should thank him. After all, it was because of him that we had this round of speeches on the police station and the prophet had the opportunity to get the police badge."

"So, even though he didn't do anything, just by staying under the police and not being on the police, he did a great thing for the good people."

"Player No. 7 thought of this and even openly acknowledged No. 10. Do you think he can still be a wolf with this mentality?"

Gu Feng's evaluation of 6 as a prophet is average. It is difficult to judge 6's identity based on the police's speech in this round. All we can say is that both are possible.

But he directly recognized player No. 7 and talked out two reasons.

The first reason is that everyone may have different ideas. Some people may think that 8’s speech is benign, while others may think that 8’s speech has problems.

Therefore, Gu Feng’s first logic in recognizing player No. 7 is not very tenable.

But most players agree with the second reason. If 7 is a wolf, he will not recognize player 10 in the police report. What benefit will it bring to him?
Not only will it be of no benefit, it will also make himself the focus, making people suspect that he has opened his eyes, which is not in line with the behavioral logic of wolves.

Since this does not conform to the behavioral logic of wolves, player No. 7 is naturally a good person.

"As for the issue with player No. 8 Pan Jinshui being a wolf, I want to say that you should try not to think about it in that direction on the first day."

"If good people always focus on gold and water, they will waste a lot of energy and time, and even get distracted, thus ignoring other important information."

"Moreover, Panjinshui is not real gold water. It may be a wolf. To some extent, it is paving the way for the wolf."

"Once this rhythm is set, Jinshui may become the target of the wolves' resistance, or the wolves can use this to force Jinshui to give up his identity in the next round."

"I admit that there are some special circumstances in the Eclipse Wolf Queen's board, but we still have to play normally, according to normal logic. What is normal? It means not to get stuck in a dead end and not to play against low-probability events."

"At least on the first day you can't keep doubting that Jinshui is a wolf, right? You don't play it that way."

"I feel like Player 8 is very hostile to Jinshui. He might be staring at Jinshui intently. Are you still looking for the wolf in the outer position?"

"Human energy is limited, and speaking time is also limited. Once you focus on Jinshui, it will inevitably affect your search for the external wolf."

"So, I think it makes no sense for a good person not to play Jinshui as a wolf on the first day."

What Gu Feng said was what was in his heart. No matter what kind of board it is, like the one with the Hidden Wolf, the Magician, or the Eclipse Wolf Concubine, there is a possibility that Jin Shui is not a good person.

But the possibility of this happening is very low after all, so we can't focus all our energy on it.

On the first day, you should think about the correct logic and not those fancy things. Jinshui is Jinshui, just accept it.

When can we suspect that Jinshui might be a wolf?

Even on the third day, Jinshui still didn't turn over the cards and his speeches were not very good. In this case, good people should consider whether there is something wrong with Jinshui.

After a pause, Gu Feng continued, "If, I mean if player No. 6 is a tough guy, I suggest that the prophet in the later position should not play both 6 and 7 as wolves. From what No. 7 said, he really doesn't look like a wolf."

"6 threw gold water at him just to win his votes. Another reason is that he didn't dare to define my identity. If he threw gold water at me, I would be a prophet after the police."

"But if I check and kill him, I might run into trouble if I go after the prophet. So he can only define the identity of player No. 7 who has already spoken."

"Based on this, I will not meet with player 6. 6 is a prophet, and I am a good guy. 6 is a tough guy, and I am still a good guy. After all, I am the iron good guy card, so just recognize me."