Werewolf: Please start your show

[Player No. 12 please speak]

"Well, just listening to the speech of Player 10, I don't want to say whether he is a prophet or not."

"When I take sides, I always listen to the speeches of the two prophets as much as possible, and then make a comprehensive analysis and judgment by comparing their logic, verifying people and pointing out the wolf pits."

"But now there are only 10 people who are acting as a prophet. It is impossible to define whether he is good or bad. After all, there is no comparison, because good or bad is relative."

"If I say that player 10 chats well, what if the prophet who jumps in later chats better than him? On the other hand, if I say that player 10 chats badly, what if the prophet who jumps in later chats worse?"

"Anyway, given the current situation, I can't judge whether it's good or not, so naturally I can't say whether 10 is a prophet, so I don't want to blindly take sides at this time."

"In fact, most of the time, I will stand aside after I reach the police, unless there are two prophets in the front position to form a jump."

No. 12 Zheng Rui seemed to be very cautious about standing aside. When only one person in the front position jumped out as a prophet, he didn't want to say whether No. 10 talked well or not, or whether he was a prophet. He just wanted to wait for the prophet in the back position to jump out and compare the speeches of the two before standing aside.

In his opinion, simply listening to the speech of one prophet does not make much sense. Only by comparing the speeches of two prophets and combining the information they convey to make a comprehensive judgment and analysis can one take sides accurately and the probability of taking the wrong side will be much smaller.

In fact, Zheng Rui's mentality is not wrong. When a prophet jumps out and speaks, no matter how good or bad his speech is, he cannot take a firm side too early.

After all, one round of speeches doesn’t mean much, and who knows what the next round of speeches will be like? There is no bottom line for bad speeches, and there is no upper limit for good speeches.

If you state your position and side too early, wouldn’t it be embarrassing if the prophet who pops up later talks about something beyond your expectations?
But then again, since someone has called themselves a prophet, we still have to comment on it and cannot just turn a blind eye to it.

The best way to deal with it is to use the excuse of not taking sides easily and talk about the bad aspects of the other person's speech or the aspects where their speech sounds like a prophet.

"Although I don't know if 10 is a prophet, he threw gold water at 9 under the police. I think there is a high probability that 9 and 10 will not meet."

"If 9 and 10 are both wolves, there is no need for 10 to give his teammates gold and water and make them the focus. What if the prophet goes to check 9? Wouldn't that be shooting himself in the foot?"

"And if 9 and 10 are both wolves, 10 chooses to throw gold water to 11 under the police, which basically guarantees that he will get two votes, and the probability of grabbing the police badge is very high. He throws the gold water to his teammates, which is not in line with the benefits of the wolves."

"Therefore, I think that regardless of whether 10 is a prophet or not, 9 and 10 will never meet, and 9 is most likely a good person."

"Except for player No. 9, 3 should not meet with 10 either, because 10's First Badge flow hit 3, which looks like a vote-solicitation."

"Of course, the one canvassing for votes is not necessarily a wolf. The prophet also needs to canvass for votes. But if 10 is a fake, 3 can basically be released. In this way, 8 and 11 are more likely to be suspected."

"Especially for player No. 11. If player No. 10 did not choose to define an identity for player No. 11, then we cannot rule out the possibility that player No. 10 and player No. 11 are duo wolves. He is afraid that defining an identity for his teammates will attract the attention of the good guys in the external position. Throwing gold water to player No. 9 can divert the attention of the good guys to player No. 9. This can also be considered a way to protect teammates."

"On the surface, player 8 doesn't share the same side as player 10. Player 10 has learned some of the positions of the players. Player 8 might be a wolf, but I don't rule out the possibility that player 10 deliberately stepped on his teammates to create the illusion that they don't share the same side. But it's also possible that he wants to use player 8 as a defense. We need to listen to player 8's speech to judge which situation it is."

"Based on the current situation, if player No. 10 is a tough wolf, then players No. 3 and No. 9 will most likely be released, and players No. 8 and No. 11 will be put in the wolf pit. The potential of player No. 11 is higher."

Although Zheng Rui did not take sides and did not comment on whether 10 was like a prophet or whether his speech was good, he recognized 10's Jinshui and player No. 10 in 3's first police badge flow.

The logic behind this analysis is quite reasonable. From this point of view, Zheng Rui seems to be a good person.

Normally, no matter whether 10 is a prophet or not, 3 and 9 basically will not meet 10. If 10 is a tough guy, there is nothing wrong in letting 3 and 9 go or saying that they are the good guys that 10 wants to canvass for votes.

But the premise is that it is under normal circumstances. What if it is not normal? That is another matter.

To be more precise, if 10 is a fake, 3 and 9 are most likely good guys, but it cannot be ruled out that 10 is deliberately pretending to be one of them.

It's reverse thinking. You think he wouldn't throw gold water to his teammates, but he did the opposite.

If you think he won't keep his teammates in the first badge flow, he will surprise you, so good guys can't be too strict about 3 and 9.

"For player No. 7 who spoke first, I think he has an identity preference."

"First, he talked about opening one or two wolves under the police. Judging from the current situation, his guess is correct."

"Secondly, he mentioned the question of whether the prophet should directly release the wolf. Although everyone has different opinions on this matter, it is better for him to talk about this point."

"But just because I said he has an identity preference doesn't mean he is a good person. This is just my opinion as a police officer. My opinion may change depending on his side in the future."

"Finally, I want to say that 10, the prophet, speaks in a standard manner. People who believe he is a prophet will think he speaks well. People who don't believe him can also say that 10 speaks poorly. People are two-faced and move up and down. Whether he is good or not depends entirely on how you say it, right?"

"Okay, that's all I have to say. I won't take sides for now. I think players 3, 9, and 10 don't meet, but we can't simply assume that players 8 and 10 don't share the same side. As for player 3's identity preference, well, that's it. Over."

Zheng Rui talked about almost every player he could talk to now in detail and gave a definition of their identity.

But it's strange that he talks so little about the prophets.

To say that he has no logic is obviously not true. Zheng Rui's logic can be said to be quite good, especially the fact that 3, 9 and 10 do not meet, which shows that he is thoughtful.

But if we say that Zheng Rui is logical, for some reason, he doesn't seem to want to comment on No. 10. He only mentioned it briefly at the end, and it sounded like a cliché.

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"I am different from player 12. Player 12's habit is that before the two prophets come out, he doesn't want to comment too much on whether one of the prophets' words is good or not, nor does he want to express his attitude and position too early, because it is easy to stand on the wrong side. I can understand this."

"But my main purpose of coming to the police station is to comment on the prophet. If there is one, I will comment on one. It would be better if there are two of them. Now that 10 has become the prophet, I must say what I think of him."

Fan Tiantian's style is completely different from Player No. 12. Player No. 12 is a prophet who does not make too many evaluations.

As for Fan Tiantian, whenever someone claims to be a prophet, she will comment seriously. Although it is difficult to say whether it is good or bad without comparison, the prophet's speech always has a passing line, and the logic can be right or wrong, and this must be discussed clearly.

"The 10 gold waters that the prophet gave to the policeman from 9 jumps, the mental journey is very simple, just touching the things around him, there is nothing much to talk about this, after all, such mental journeys are too ordinary and too common, you can say it is made up, or you can say it is his true thoughts at the time, we don't need to dwell on this."

"After throwing the gold water to player No. 9, 10 focused on the police. He thought that 8 was very likely to touch the wolf, because according to positional learning, 7, 9, and 10 are all good people, and 8 is very suspicious."

"Although this is not a tenable logic, it still makes some sense, because from a probabilistic point of view, the possibility of the fourth company being a good person is indeed relatively low."

"I can understand that player 10 suspected that player 8 might have done something wrong and wanted to put pressure on player 8, but the problem is that among the four positions 7, 8, 9, and 10, you can only be sure that you and player 9 are the good guys. You can't recognize player 7, and his comments are just a preference. In this case, you directly showed great hostility to player 8, which I think is inappropriate."

"If you are a prophet, speaking like this will undoubtedly make it more difficult for you to get a police badge."

"Even if 8 is really a wolf, you should at least wait until he finishes his job before you hit him. What if he is planning to back-trick you? If you talk to him like this, he will just charge forward."

"Perhaps you didn't get the police badge because of the vote from Player No. 8. Do you think you feel wronged? Do you regret it?"

"That's not the worst. The worst is, if he's a good guy, and you beat him like that, he'll run to join the Wolves. Who's going to be happy? The Wolves. I think you, as a prophet, aren't very tactful in your speech."

"Of course, this flaw doesn't mean you're not a prophet. Maybe that's just your personality. You don't like to hide things. Even if you know it will offend Player 8, you still want to speak your mind. I really appreciate your straightforwardness and frankness."

"But as an appreciator, you have to consider the whole problem. You have to think about how to speak so that you can be recognized by the good guys and how to speak so that you can get the police badge. You can't just talk about whatever you want without any scruples. This is definitely not okay. You have to know how to canvass votes, not just for the good guys, but also for the werewolves."

What Fan Tiantian said were all from the bottom of her heart. As a prophet, sometimes you can't be too blunt. This will lead to some wolves who originally planned to hook back, but you will point them out directly and force them to charge.

And not all the good guys can stand on the same side, which will eventually lead to the prophet himself being eliminated. Wouldn’t that be embarrassing?

Everyone’s level in this game is different. Even if you click on four wolves correctly in one round, what can you do if the good guy in the external position doesn’t believe you?
A true master or top player must have a strong ability to deceive and incite. You can use the prophet to make good people want to stand on your side, and you can trick good people into believing you by pretending to be strong. This is amazing.

If you can only point out four wolves in one round and cannot convince the good guys of your logic and judgment, it will not work. You must continue to improve yourself and make up for your shortcomings. Fan Tiantian talked to player No. 10 so much just to tell him that if you are a prophet, you must not point a player who has not even spoken or shown his vote pattern into the wolf pit before you are very sure, or directly point out that the player is likely to be a wolf. This will not do much good.

"To be honest, I'm not satisfied with 10's definition of the identity of player 8 under the police. Maybe he is right. 8 is the wolf."

"But before 8 voted and spoke, 10 talked like this. I'm afraid most people think he didn't behave well. He himself said that positional science is pseudo-logic, right?"

"But I really admire the courage of player 10. You knew that talking like this would disgust player 8, but you still said it out loud. From this point of view, you don't seem like a tough guy."

"If you are a tough wolf and you just hit 8 like this and want to use him as a defense, then I can only say that you are very reckless."

"As for the badge flow of 10, it's okay to check player No. 3. Anyway, 8 has been targeted by the so-called positional science, so you can ignore it for the time being."

"In this case, you have to test one between 3 and 11. There's nothing wrong with 10 choosing to test 3, but there's no need to use the second badge flow on 6. You want to put pressure on him and see how flexible he is. But 6 will inevitably be disgusted by you using the badge flow on him."

"You know, he is the one who votes in the last position and speaks. Once he dislikes you, if the werewolf who jumps in the last position is smart, he can pull his votes and win his favor. He is likely to vote for the wolf in the last position."

"In the last position, a good person stands on the wrong side to help Wolf. The impact on you as a prophet is much greater than in other positions."

"If player No. 6 is the Wolf, and you beat him with the police badge, wouldn't that just give him an excuse to help his teammates get tickets?"

"Anyway, when I use the Prophet, I usually won't use the Police Badge flow on the last-placed player. After listening to everyone's speeches on the police, he will definitely take sides and come up with more logic. There is no need to use the Police Badge flow to put pressure on him at all."

"If he can't figure out the logic of the game, or if he joins the Wolves, then there is a high probability that his identity is in question."

"So, 10's second badge flow wasn't very good, but it wasn't a blast either. It just wasn't to my satisfaction."

Fan Tiantian thinks that it is okay for player No. 10 to put the first police badge flow on player 3. Since a gold water was found under the police, and there is a wolf under the police, then it is reasonable to continue to check under the police and get votes by the way.

But it is not good for the second police badge flow 10 to hit the last player No. 6, and it is not very meaningful.

In fact, whether you put pressure on 6 or not, 6 must carefully consider the logic in the last position and then make clear his side and position.

After all, by the time Player No. 6 speaks, a confrontation must have already occurred on the field. In this case, he cannot do what Player No. 12 does. What he has to do is to focus on analyzing the pros and cons of the two prophets, then choose one to stand on, and tell others why.

If player No. 6 does not take sides in the final position and does not have a clear attitude and position, he will inevitably be influenced by others or become a fence-sitter.

Faced with this situation, no matter whether 6 is a wolf or a good guy, he will not choose to slack off. That is why Fan Tiantian said that it doesn’t matter whether 10 puts pressure on 6 or not.

"In general, I think 10 has a prophet side, but I don't have the urge to make me stand on his side. His status is not particularly high. Out of a hundred, he is at most or points, which is average. So I have to listen to the speech of the latter prophet before making further judgments."

"As for player No. 12, I agree with his logic, such as the high probability that players No. 3, No. 9 and No. 10 will not meet, and the preference for recognizing No. 7's identity."

"So, I think that Player 12 is most likely a good person, but I cannot completely accept him. Let the police listen to him again. After all, we cannot rule out the possibility that he is a wolf who speaks well."

"As for my trump card, I must be a good person. I hope everyone can recognize me. That's all I have to say for now. Let's leave it at that."

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"Personally, I think the chat of player No. 10 is just average, and the prediction is not very good."

"There's nothing much to comment on his logic. After all, he started from a high position, so it's normal that he can't figure out any logic. The main reason is that his condition is not good."

"People often say that the front position looks at the status, and the back position listens to the speech. Since player No. 10 starts from a high position, leaving aside the logic, just his status does not make me feel that he is a prophet, especially after listening to the speech of player No. 12, I really feel that 10 and 12 are two wolves."

“12号玩家对3、7、9的身份定义并没有问题，如果没有意外的话，3、9基本上都不太能跟10号玩家做成狼队友。”

"But there is one thing that I am quite suspicious of, or rather, I find strange. Do you feel that Player 12's speech seems to be consciously avoiding mentioning Player 10?"

"As a good person, with the prophet jumping in the front position, I think his attention will definitely be on player 10, and the focus of the following speeches will also revolve around the prophet."

"However, player No. 12 just doesn't want to talk about player No. 10. It seems like he's trying to hide his perspective. This is the important reason and logical point for me to suspect that player No. 10 and player No. 12 might be the twin wolves."

"Of course, I'm just skeptical. Maybe I'm overthinking. After all, this alone is not enough to deal with 10 or 12 pairs of wolves."

“也幸亏12号玩家盘得逻辑还算可以，要不是他聊出3、9跟10号玩家不太能见面，7号玩家身份偏好，我肯定就打10、12双狼了。”

It can be heard that No. 2 Zhong Xin does not want to stand on the side of player No. 10. She thinks that No. 10's speaking state is not very good. The prophet in the front position depends on his state. How can she stand on his side if he is not in a good state?
Although this reason is a bit abstract, Zhong Xin dares to fight like this, which really doesn't make him look like a wolf.

From this point, it is obvious that Zhong Xin and Player No. 12 have very different personalities.

Similarly, after only listening to the speech of the prophet 10, 12 was unwilling to take sides. He gave people the impression that he was quite cautious and did not want to hastily state his position when the situation was not yet clear.

However, Zhong Xin said that player No. 10 was not in good condition and that he was not like a prophet. The contrast was indeed quite big.

Those who don’t know might think that Zhong Xin is a hot-tempered old man and 12 is an indecisive little girl, but in fact, the two are just the opposite.

"I think Player 1 is a good person. I am quite satisfied with her speech and logic in the front position."

"As for standing on the side, even though she didn't explicitly say she didn't stand on the side of player 10, I could tell she didn't really want to stand on the side of player 10. This was evident from the fact that she said right away that player 1 didn't want her to stand on the side of him."

"I think the 12th player has a bigger chance of being a bandit. The possibility of 10 and 12 being double wolves is a good thing. He dare not talk about the 10th player. If he doesn't say whether he stands on the side of 10 or not, it is questionable."

"I have no different thoughts about the first-placed player No. 7. Everyone in the previous position said that he has a preference for identity, and so do I. But preference is preference. If he stands on the wrong side, and his speech and logic are problematic, I will definitely send him to the wolf pit when the time comes."

Zhong Xin has a lot of logic. He hits people when it is time to hit them, and recognizes good people when it is time to recognize good people. He gives people the feeling that he is very decisive and quick, without any drag.

After listening to Zhong Xin's speech, Gu Feng felt that Zhong Xin was most likely a good person. A wolf would not talk so aggressively.

It is not like a prophet to directly use the bad condition to hit 10. The person who can say this is most likely a god.

He is the hunter, and the remaining witches and guards have to choose between them.

"Finally, what I want to say is that this is a board of Wolf King Guards. Most of the time, the Wolf King comes out to jump, but the No. 10 player jumped from the front position and did not throw a check to the police. Instead, he threw a gold water to the police's No. 9. Is this in line with the benefits of the wolf team?"

"As the saying goes, there must be something wrong when things are out of the ordinary. I think the prophet in the back position should think carefully about why. Is the No. 10 player afraid of throwing the police to the rear to check and kill and sell the perspective, exposing the police to open multiple wolves, or does he want to create an identity for the teammates under the police, or is there some other reason."

"In a word, I need you to tell me why 10 didn't jump into the police station to fight the prophet. Whether it's right or not, you need to tell me your guess. Also, do you think 10 jumped from the Wolf King?"

"If you don't make sense of these things, I don't think you're a very good prophet."

"Don't think that I don't want to stand on the side of 10 now. Maybe I will change my mind after the warning."

"That's all I want to say, officer. At the moment, I don't really believe that 10 is a prophet. Officer, let's see how he talks."

"My conversation with the late prophet just now was also a bit of pressure from me. I hope he can give me a satisfactory answer to the question just now, so that I can stand with him with peace of mind. Otherwise, I might run to stand with player No. 10."

"Okay, that's all I want to say for this round. I'm a good guy, so don't play me as a wolf. That's it, I'm done."

(End of this chapter)