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Chapter 408 I Almost Believed You
Chapter 408 I Almost Believed You
警下3、7、10、12四个人,顾风觉得10、12大概率不会给周奈一上票。
因为2号何路在表水的时候,用反逻辑把3、7给择出去了,怀疑10、12当中出狼。
Once such remarks came out, one can imagine how 10 and 12 felt, and they would definitely express dissatisfaction.
As a good person, he doesn't use positive logic, but has to make it so complicated, saying that Cai may be in the dirty 3 and 7 positions, so we should focus on 10 and 12. Isn't this just finding fault?
If He Lu listened to the speeches of 3 and 7 and felt that the two of them were not wolves, it would be understandable for him to make such an analysis.
The problem is that He Lu didn't even listen to the speeches of 3 and 7, but he just snapped his head and said that Tsai Ing-wen was misleading good people to doubt 3 and 7. Isn't this just causing trouble?
No. 12 Chu Jian is expected to vote for Cai Yin, but it is hard to say about No. 10 Zhu Zhu.
It was true that she was hostile towards He Lu, but she was even more hostile towards Cai Yin. After all, Cai Yin had learned how to throw water bags at her.
Zhu Zhu doesn't like people from either side, so it depends on her choice.
3 and 7 both entered Cai Yin's police badge stream. Gu Feng felt that at least one of these two people should vote for Cai Yin, right? It is unlikely that they would both vote for Zhou Naiyi under the pressure of the police badge stream.
By this calculation, Tsai has a guaranteed chance of a tie and even a good chance of getting the police badge directly.
Of course.
These are Gu Feng's speculations and analyses, which are quite subjective and may not be correct. After all, everyone has different ideas. It is not wise to judge others by yourself in the game of Werewolf.
While Gu Feng was thinking secretly, the results of the sheriff's vote had come out.
3、7、10、12选择投票给9号玩家。
Zhou Naiyi was left alone and didn't get a single ticket.
This was a bit embarrassing. Gu Feng didn’t know about others, but when he saw this ticket shape, he almost couldn’t help laughing.
To be honest, Zhou Naiyi is a bit miserable.
3, 7, and 12 are fine, some of them entered Cai Yin's badge stream, and some voted for Cai Yin because of the bad surface water in He Road.
But it was beyond Gu Feng's expectation that No. 10 Zhu Zhu would actually vote for Cai Yin for the police badge.
You know, Cai Yin is quite hostile to Zhu Zhu, and he uses unreliable things like positional science. Normally, Zhu Zhu should not vote for Cai Yin.
But Zhu Zhu chose to vote for Cai Yin for the police badge, so it depends on how she talks to her subordinates.
Anyway, Gu Feng was quite curious about what kind of mentality Zhu Zhu had in standing on Cai Yin's side.
[Player No. 9 was elected Sheriff, Christmas Eve last night]
The robot's soft voice rang in everyone's ears.
This also made Gu Feng secretly relieved. He was really afraid that the witch would not prescribe medicine on the first night or that the witch would be stabbed for the first time, and the good guys would be in trouble.
It's good like this now, on Christmas Eve, the initiative on the field is in good hands.
Some people may not be able to get around the problem when using the witch, thinking that since wolves cannot meet each other on this board, there is a possibility that the little wolf will kill other werewolves.
In fact, the possibility of this is very low, because the little wolf knows Wolf Crow Claw and Mentor Silent Night, he just doesn't know who the Eclipse Maid is.
In other words, unless the witch bets that the wolf knife will fall on the Eclipse Maid, and then she doesn't prescribe the antidote, the Eclipse Maid will fail, and the wolf team will suffer a bloody collapse, otherwise, the good guys are more likely to be unlucky if they don't prescribe the antidote.
[Please choose the order of speeches for this round]
[Player No. 8 please speak]
"I can understand 3 and 7 voting for No. 9, after all, they are both in No. 9's police badge group. If No. 8 and his friends are good people, they definitely don't want to go under the pressure of the police badge group to vote for No. 5, because No. 5's comments are not good enough."
"If they were wolves, they would think that No. 9 was passing on a message when he beat them with his police badge, and that No. 9 was the Eclipse Maid, so they would still vote for No. 9."
"As for brother No. 12, he was forced to join team 2 by team No. 9. But why did sister No. 10 vote for team No. 9? I don't understand."
"On the police station, brother No. 9 recognized No. 11, and then said that No. 10 was a big criminal and worthy of suspicion. Once such a statement came out, normally, No. 10 should have a lot of hostility towards No. 9."
"After all, 10 was under the police, didn't vote, didn't speak, but was thrown a water bag and became the focus. It's impossible for her to have no hostility towards 9."
"Under this kind of mentality, it would be reasonable for sister No. 10 to vote for sister No. 5. I think most people think so, right?"
"What's the result? Sister No. 10 actually voted for the police badge for No. 9. She must have a very strong reason, otherwise, she wouldn't have voted that way."
"So, I am looking forward to the speech of sister No. 10 and why she wants to vote for brother No. 9 who beat her up."
It can be heard that No. 8 Li Yunyun felt very strange about No. 10 Zhu Zhu voting for Cai Yin.
In her opinion, anyone under the police can vote for Cai Yin except Zhu Zhu, because Cai Yin learned to vote for Zhu Zhu in the same way, and such behavior is very offensive.
As the person involved, Zhu Zhu was able to put aside her suspicion and vote for Cai Yin for the police badge, which made her even more suspicious of the 9th and 10th pairs of wolves.
If Zhu Zhu also feels that Cai Yin's behavior is a message to her, then she can definitely vote for Cai Yin.
Of course.
In this situation, being able to consider Cai Yin as your wolf teammate and vote for him requires a lot of courage, which most people cannot do.
Because if you make a wrong judgment, it would be equivalent to giving votes to the prophet, and then you will be scolded to death by your wolf teammates.
But then again, if Zhu Zhu's bet was right and Cai Yin was really her wolf teammate, then the meaning of this vote would be completely different.
Anyway, from Li Yunyun's perspective, once this ticket pattern came out, it would be fine if Cai Yin was a prophet, but if Cai Yin was a wolf, then there was a high possibility that 9 and 10 would be double wolves.
"I tend to side with No. 9. He was the only one who jumped into the prophet position, and we were having a good chat. As a good person, it doesn't make sense for me to attack him right away because he is a wolf, right?"
"But after listening to No. 5's speech, I felt that I was most likely on the wrong side, because if No. 2 and No. 5 were twin wolves, there would be no need for No. 5 to come out and save No. 2."
"No matter what kind of wolf brother No. 2 is, just sell him directly and come out to get him. If you fail to get him, you will have to sacrifice yourself. Buy one get one free, it's a huge loss."
"The most important thing is, if brother No. 2 is really a wolf, and brother No. 5 is in the front position and jumps opposite brother No. 9, he can't just take a civilian photo."
"If he jumps to civilian status, the direct consequence is that he might be pushed out by the good guys. In this case, wouldn't Sister No. 5's efforts be in vain?"
"But 2 didn't dance to the gods, but to the people. So I don't think 2 and 5 are like the twin wolves."
"Of course, this is not the point. The point is that sister No. 5 actually thought of the 2nd and 9th wolves hitting the board. Regardless of whether she was right or not, I think this is not something a wolf can say."
"Because her purpose of coming out to play is to get the No. 2 player. She put the 2nd and 9th players in a double wolf position, and even said that the No. 2 player didn't talk well, so she pushed him out first. This attitude doesn't seem like they are on the same side."
Li Yunyun has made her position clear. She is going to stand on the side of No. 5 Zhou Naiyi.
The logic is quite sufficient. One is that 2 and 5 cannot form a pair of wolves. If both of them are wolves, and He Lu has been detected and killed, Zhou Naiyi still comes out to jump in, which means he is desperate.
It would be fine if she could trick a good guy into standing on her side, and she would be able to save her life. However, if she failed to rescue He Lu, the result would be predictable. She would lose both the wife and the army.
Moreover, Zhou Naiyi has already given it his all, so it is impossible for him to try to play with the 2nd and 9th wolves. This is obviously illogical and unreasonable.
The same goes for He Lu. If he were a wolf, how could he jump so easily when he saw his teammates working so hard to rescue him? A witch, a demon hunter, or the Count of Flowing Light would have to jump no matter what.
But He Lubiao's state was very relaxed, and he even found that Cai Yin's police badge flow was a deception. All the above made Li Yunyun feel that Cai Yin was not a prophet.
"5 is the prophet, 6 is gold and water, 2 is reverse gold, and No. 11 is a good brother. If the police open three wolves, then they are 1, 4, and 9."
"Although brother No. 1 on the police beat brother No. 4 into the wolf pit, judging from their behavior, brother No. 1 and brother No. 4 did not seem to be on the same side, but on this board, don't let the wolves fight too much, after all, they have never met each other."
"So, don't say there's something wrong with the wolf pit I picked. 1 and 4 don't share the same edge. If I don't make this clear, someone in the later position will probably use this to attack me."
"If the police only open the double wolf, I think it's 1 and 9."
"Player 1's last position in the warning position was not a good statement. If he stands on the side 5, he can't hit me because I am a wolf. If my bottom card is a wolf, I will not play 9 or 10 as a double wolf."
"But 1 doesn't recognize me and wants to use me as a trap for the wolf. That would be very dangerous for him."
"It's hard to say who the police are. After all, I didn't hear their speeches. But don't worry. I'll talk to them tomorrow morning."
"Today, my vote will go to No. 9. I can't let him live until the evening. That's it. It's over."
[Player No. 7 please speak]
"Let me briefly explain why I voted for Player 9."
"First of all, my trump card is not Wolf, so the police badge flow played by 9 is definitely not a message. The police badge flow does not deliver a message, and the one thrown to the external position is a check, so it can't deliver a message."
"Then how can we say that player No. 9 is a wolf pretending to be a wolf? His most important purpose is to let his wolf teammates know that he is a wolf, not to make himself a prophet."
"Otherwise, if Little Wolf stands on the wrong side and gets stabbed at night, that would be embarrassing. And then Instructor Ji Ye might mistake him for a prophet and give him a weakening skill, making it impossible for the Wolf Team to slash anyone. That would be even funnier."
"So, from my perspective, Player 9 doesn't meet the characteristics of a fake Eclipse Maid, so he must be the Prophet. If I try to figure out if he is another wolf pretending to be a fake, I can't figure it out."
“Secondly, when player No. 5 played the game of 2 and 9 double wolves with me, it was like telling me that I could fly to the sky by stepping on one foot with the other. It was too outrageous. If I believed it, then…” No. 7 Ji Taimei originally wanted to say that if she believed it, then she would be out of her mind, but in a flash, she felt that it was inappropriate to say so and it was a bit against the grain, so she swallowed back the words that were about to come out of her mouth.
But the point she wanted to make was very clear, that is, in her opinion, No. 9 Cai Yin was not worthy of being an Eclipse Maid.
Others don't know her identity, so they may suspect that she and No. 3 Cheng Xue are both wolves, and Cai Yin is using the police badge to pass on a message.
No matter whether this method is stupid or obvious, there is absolutely no problem with the logic of doing it this way.
But from Ji Taimei's perspective, this possibility does not exist because she is not a wolf.
And Cai Yin was being checked by He Ludiu. His words and actions did not convey any message at all, so it was impossible to prove that Cai Yin was the maid of Eclipse.
Unless the hard drive is illogical, for example, Cai Yin is not a tough Eclipse Maid, or Cai Yin has no intention of letting his wolf teammates know that he is a wolf. He is not afraid of being killed at night, nor is he afraid of being weakened by the Silent Night Mentor.
But if you think this way, then your butt has completely tilted towards Zhou Naiyi.
Ji Taimei has no bias. She is just analyzing the problem objectively based on logic, so she thinks Cai Yin should be a prophet.
"Just now, player 8 said that if 2 and 5 are both wolves, player 5 is unlikely to come out and get 2. This is a matter of opinion. You can't judge others by yourself. You think it's not worthwhile to come out and get 2, and the risk is too great, but does player 5 have to take this risk?"
"Or maybe Player 5 wants to do the opposite to improve his fortune teller status?"
"Most importantly, if player No. 2 is Wolf Crow Claw, can player No. 5 just watch him get pushed out? You have to know that Wolf Crow Claw means a lot to the Wolves."
"The points I mentioned above may all lead to player No. 5 coming out to play tough, so the logic that player No. 8 and player No. 2 can't form a double wolf in 5 rounds is totally untenable."
"As for player No. 2's choice of civilian rather than god, can this be considered a reason to side with player No. 5? I find it funny to hear that."
"Everyone makes different choices when they are asked to kill someone. You can't say that you think he should commit suicide, but he didn't, so he is a good person. What kind of logic is that?"
"In the final analysis, the logic of player 8 standing on the side of player 5 does not stand up to scrutiny. On the bright side, she is a good person who is on the wrong side. On the bad side, she may be a wolf."
"It was also very strange that she warned the upper plate 9 and 10 double wolves. How could a good person who closed his eyes think of this? This is not normal. I felt that she was leading the pace at the time."
"After listening to her speech, I feel more like she is a wolf. I suggest that 9 go check 8 tonight. Maybe she is a little wolf, knowing that 2 is her wolf teammate."
Ji Taimei refuted the logic of No. 8 Li Yunyun standing on Zhou Naiyi's side one by one.
To be honest, it makes sense.
2. There are 5 pairs of wolves. Should Zhou Naiyi come out and try to save He Lu, or stay and sell out his teammates? This is a multiple-choice question, and either choice is possible.
But Li Yunyun seemed to have turned this matter into a multiple-choice question. Her logic was that once Zhou Nai jumped out as a prophet, there was a 2 or 5 chance that they were not the Twin Wolves. But in fact, this was a bit subjective.
Including the issue of No. 2 He Lu jumping people instead of gods, there are pros and cons.
It was precisely because of Li Yunyun’s remarks that Ji Taimei suspected that Li Yunyun might be a little wolf with half-open eyes.
Originally, she wanted to play counter-attack, as she was on Cai Yin's side on the police force. But then, when she saw Zhou Naiyi coming out to jump out, she had no choice but to charge forward.
"2, 5, and 8 are very likely to be three wolves. Player 6 must be checked out."
"Assuming that player No. 5 comes out to make a bold move, and is ready to fight to the death, either succeed or surrender, she will throw gold water to player No. 6 to let No. 6 know who is the wolf and who is the prophet."
"And after she throws out this gold water, player No. 6 has no way out. He must charge. If he doesn't, he will be tested at night, and he will also be checked and killed tomorrow morning."
"In other words, if player 6 is a wolf, he is forced to do this by player 5, and has no other choice."
"Player No. 9 must check Player No. 6 at night, no matter which side he takes or how well he talks."
Ji Taimei felt that she had found all four wolves.
No. 2 He Lu is the Wolf Crow Claw, and Zhou Naiyi is the Eclipse Maid. She couldn’t bear to watch the Wolf Crow Claw being pushed aside, so she bit the bullet and came out to fight back.
Moreover, she has already made the worst plan. If she cannot push Cai Yin out, she will hand in the wolf card.
For this purpose, she threw the golden water directly to Gu Feng. Gu Feng was Ji Ye's mentor, and the golden water was to let Gu Feng know which side he should stand on and how to get votes.
No. 8 Li Yunyun is a little wolf. When she saw Zhou Naiyi jumping like that, she knew what was going on.
I have to say that Ji Taimei's conversation really sounded like the real thing. If Gu Feng didn't know her true identity, he might have believed it.
Unfortunately, he is not a wolf, and no matter how reasonable Ji Taimei's plan is, he is wrong in the end.
"There are four people in this police department, including me. Logically, we should look for a wolf among the police. I originally thought so."
"But everyone voted for player No. 9, which means there will be no wolves under the police. This coincides with the wolf pit I pointed out, and they confirm each other. If there are no accidents, 2, 5, 6, and 8 will be four wolves."
"Today I will vote for Player 2. I hope all good people can stand firm on their side and not be led astray by the wolves."
"Especially players 5 and 6. They are good at tricking people. Don't believe anything they say, not even a single punctuation mark."
"Alright, that's all I want to say, officer. Good guy with the bottom card. Stand by player 9. Play 2. That's it. Pass."
[Player No. 6 please speak]
"To be honest, Player 7, you did a pretty good job. The logic behind everything seems to make sense."
"But unfortunately, I'm not a wolf."
"You have been refuting Player 8's logic, right? Then I will ask a question based on what you said."
"2 and 5 are both wolves. Player 2 is Wolf Crow Claw, and 5 is Eclipse Maiden. In order to prevent 2 from being eliminated, 5 has gritted his teeth and jumped out. How could player 2 not be aware of this?"
"If he knows what's going on, why is he still so leisurely jumping around? Isn't this holding back Player 5?"
"Oh, by the way, what did Player 2 say about the police badge? He suspected that Player 9's police badge was a smokescreen that Player 9 deliberately released to confuse the good guys."
"Then they said that 3 and 7 might be good guys, and the wolf under the police should be opened between 10 and 12. Isn't this deliberately not wanting the wolf teammates to get the police badge?"
"If 2 wants player 5 to get the police badge, how can that offend 10 and 12?"
"This unscientific."
"Player 2 dares to talk like this. I think there are two possibilities."
"Either he didn't think too much about it at the time, and just thought that Player 9 was misleading the good guys, so he said whatever he thought."
"Either 2 and 9 are wolves. Player 2 knows that 9 is a wolf teammate. And combined with his statement on the police that 9 might not be the Eclipse Maiden, this possibility is not small."
“假设2、9双狼,2号玩家肯定不想让5拿警徽对不对?那他就可以故意找10、12的晦气,让他们去给9号玩家上票。”
"So, 2 and 9 could be a pair of wolves. The 2nd police officer was probably talking to 9 to let him know that the investigation was on one of their own."
"Of course, it's also possible that I'm overthinking it. Let's not make it so complicated on the first day."
“但我刚才说的那些,已经足够证明7号玩家的逻辑有问题了,我们2、5、6、8要真是四狼,2警上不会只跳个民的。”
After Gu Feng said this, it became clear which side he was standing on, and he followed Zhou Nai.
In his opinion, 2 and 5 cannot form a duo of wolves. If Zhou Naiyi really wants to fight to the death, then there is no point in throwing this Jinshui on him. It would be better to throw a check on him and let him compete with No. 2 He Lu.
What's more, Zhou Naiyi also played 2 and 9 double wolves. With such remarks coming out, how can we say that Zhou Naiyi is trying to save himself by jumping into the trap?
"I think player 8 is a good person. She can get to 9 or 10, which may be a double wolf. Player 9 is passing on a message to her teammates in a roundabout way, so she is unlikely to get the wolf card."
"Whether she is right or not, I don't think a wolf would speak like that. Only good people can come up with such brilliant ideas when their brains are storming."
"And this round, player 8 turned around and sided with player 5. That made me think she was a wolf even less. After all, I was siding with player 5 and I didn't want to turn against her on the first day."
"Although the No. 4 player was on the side of 9, he was able to recognize me and said that 5 and 6 were not on the same side. I think his mentality was pretty good."
"Of course, it's possible that Player 4 deliberately did this to win my favor, but to be honest, if that's the case, then he's really good at playing."
"I never speculate on other people's words with malicious intent, so I won't speculate that he is a wolf trying to win my favor, unless I hear that there is something wrong with his words later."
"The identity preference of player No. 11 is to open the wolf on the alert, which should be 1 and 9. The tolerance rate is on player No. 2. His surface water really makes me feel like 2 and 9 double wolf."
"When the police start the wolf, player No. 7 must take one. There may be wolves among players No. 3, No. 10, and No. 12. I can't tell now, after all, I haven't heard the speech."
"But there is one thing I must emphasize. The wolf pit I have chosen is only limited to the present moment. Perhaps after listening to the speeches of the police, my thoughts will change, and I may even turn against them."
"So, for the good people I recognized, don't be too happy too soon. Those I pointed into the wolf pit will not necessarily be beaten to death. Everything is temporary."
"I'll listen to what player No. 9 has to say. Right now I want to vote for him, after all, I'm on the side of player No. 5. If he can make me change my mind and feel that I'm on the wrong side, then I might vote for player No. 2."
"Alright, that's all I want to say, officer. It's over."
(End of this chapter)
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