Werewolf: Please start your show

Chapter 396 I need to rethink the logic

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"First, tell me why you voted for player number 8."

"When the 4th and 6th players jump to the prophet, unless the 5th player is a wolf, the 8th player will bite the bullet and jump out. Otherwise, the gain will outweigh the loss. She can't take such a big risk just to get a wolf that may not be able to be caught, right?"

"Only if Player 5 is a wolf will she have to jump out. Otherwise, Player 5 will have no way to defend himself."

"Even if the wolf in the outer position self-destructs, the witch can still poison 5 at night. At that time, the guards can also protect the prophet. It will be very difficult for the wolf to win. So no matter what, 8 must come out and jump."

"But can player 5 be a wolf? I don't think so."

"Firstly, the wolf breeders are unlikely to stay under the police. Although everyone has a different style and method of play, I can only predict the majority."

"Secondly, player No. 9 is on the side of player No. 8, but he has no hostility towards player No. 6. This is definitely not normal."

"The wolf was killed by the prophet, and player 8 came out to fight. He also chose to stand by player 8 and charge. How could he be so friendly to player 6?"

“其实从9号玩家的发言就看得出来，5、9不见面，9既然是2的查杀，那5就一定是好人。”

"In this case, the logic that player 2 warned player 5 that he might be a wolf is completely invalid. Moreover, player 8 cannot be a teammate of player 5 because player 5 is not a wolf. So there is no reason for player 8 to come out and pretend to be a wolf."

"From his perspective, the bottom card of player No. 5 is a good guy. Players 4 and 6 are both checking for 5. There is only one possibility. One of them is a good guy who is faking his identity. It is most likely player No. 6. Player 4 is probably a hidden wolf."

"Now that Hidden Wolf has come out to show off, why is Player 8 still trying to get involved?"

"I have said so much just to tell the good people that Player 2 cannot take the prophet card. If you stand by him, there will be too many things that will not make sense."

"Only when you stand on the side of player 8 will your logic flow smoothly, so I believe that player 8 is the prophet. Unless player 2 can make all my logic sound and convince me, otherwise, just stay in the spectator area."

No. 1 Zhao Shun stood up and expressed his position and attitude. He stood on the side of No. 8 Li Yunyun.

At present, all logics show that Li Yunyun is a prophet, and No. 2 He Lu is a tough jump. The logic of his warning to the upper plate is too problematic.

When He Lu said that No. 5 Zhou Naiyi might be a wolf and used the First Police Badge Flow on Zhou Naiyi, he walked away completely.

If he hadn't lost the check to Cai Yin, he could have played 5 or 8 double wolves, but he lost the check to Cai Yin and the whole logic went wrong.

Because Zhou Naiyi couldn't possibly be a wolf teammate of Cai Yin, not to mention that Cai Yin was deliberately pretending to mislead the good people's sight and judgment, that would be hooliganism.

"Just now, Player 12 said that we should think more about why Player 2 was a wolf and jumped out when Players 6 and 8 were jumping out. From his perspective, Players 6 and 8 were going to have hidden wolves, so there was no need for him to intervene."

"Actually, this isn't hard to explain, it just takes a little more thought."

"From the perspective of Player 2, Player 6 might be a fraud, Player 8 is the prophet, and Hidden Wolf is Player 4 who was tricked into giving up."

"If he doesn't jump, I'm afraid player 6 will retreat immediately, and then he will be a one-sided prophet, which is definitely not what the wolf wants to see."

"As for why I say that player 6 is a fraud, this is easy to understand. When the police officer 4 throws a check to 5, 6 also throws a check to 5, and the crazy conversation with 4 to retreat makes him look like a good guy showing off his skills."

"How can it be such a coincidence? Player 4 jumped in and was checked by player 5, and then player 6 was a prophet and checked player 5. This is obviously wrong."

"It's not that I'm just being candid. As soon as 6 said he was a prophet and checked 5 for a kill, and even said hypocritically that he forgot that he couldn't check the same person for the first time in a row, I knew he was testing the flexibility of player 4."

"It all depends on whether 4 can withstand the pressure and not back down. As long as 4 can withstand the pressure, I believe he will tend to side with 4 in the end."

"It's a pity that player No. 4 was useless. He didn't even seize the opportunity and was actually tricked into withdrawing his money."

"Of course, I can understand the feelings of player No. 4. Who wouldn't be panicked by player No. 6's outrageous moves? What if player No. 5 is really a wolf? Wouldn't that be a disaster?"

"I can't blame him for the 4th player's retreat, I can only blame the 6th player for being too cunning."

"Oh, right, I just thought of another point. If 5 and 8 are two wolves, in order to relieve the pressure on player 5, 8 will follow the principle of equal loss of check and kill. Since the wolf teammate wants to show off and go to the anti-push position, then pull someone to take the blame."

"So, if player No. 8 is a wolf, he will only lose the check and kill, not the gold and water. This does not conform to the behavior logic of the wolf."

"From this point, we can also see that Player 5 and Player 8 don't meet. So many signs show that Player 2's logic is ridiculously wrong."

"The werewolves that can be confirmed now are 2 and 4. No matter what player 4 says, no matter what he jumps to, from my perspective, he has to be a hidden wolf."

"Because the conversation between player 6 and him on the police was very clear, and he was given the opportunity and time to back off, but he was completely indifferent, so he can't hold the good guy card."

"6 must be a good person, there is no doubt about that. 8 is the prophet, 9 is Jinshui, and the speech and mentality of player 7 on the alert are all good. I don't think she can be a wolf."

“这样的话，3、11、12当中还要出至少一狼，12号玩家好像是唯一一个想站边2，并且帮2说话的。”

"From his comments and side positions, player No. 12 seems to be a wolf teammate of player No. 2, but the fact that he can play as a wolf to player No. 4 and player No. 6 may be a double wolf playing as a board, which really makes me excited."

"I think a wolf is unlikely to think of this level, let alone the need to do this. Player No. 12 can openly talk about this logic, so I think he is not a wolf."

"And if 2 is really the prophet, then 4 and 6 must be double wolves playing the board as the identity. Player 8 is an unwitting hidden wolf. She is just pretending to be a tyrant."

"But then Player 2 came on the scene and said he didn't want to play it that way. There was nothing we could do. He was just talking himself into a pulp."

"The police either don't use the wolf, or if they use the wolf, they are Player 10. How do I feel about him? Half and half, half good guy, half werewolf."

"To be fair, the logic behind the 10th policeman's move is quite reasonable, and she is quite hostile to player 2, as if she doesn't know him. But she also called me a wolf, which makes me feel uncomfortable."

"Maybe I'm too narrow-minded. I just can't face other people's doubts and attacks calmly."

"Player No. 10 clicked into the wolf pit first. According to the principle of equal retaliation, she clicked me into the wolf pit, and I clicked her into the wolf pit too. Isn't this even?"

"I'll listen to her talk tomorrow. If she talks well, I'll call the police. Otherwise, she'll have to stay in the wolf pit."

"Okay, that's all I want to say for this round. Now that we're through, let's see how Player 2 will fool people."

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"Okay, I admit that my logic was wrong. I was careless."

"At that time, I was thinking that player No. 8 would come out to make up for the loss and let player No. 4 retreat. Then player No. 5 must be a wolf. Otherwise, player No. 8 would not have done this."

"So, I doubted the identity of player 5 and assigned the first badge to player 5. But after listening to everyone's comments, I knew I made a mistake."

"I only thought about this one point, and didn't consider that player 9's attitude towards player 6 determined that player 5 and player 9 would not meet. This is my problem, it's all my fault, but I still hope that the good guy can forgive me, because I'm really not a wolf."

No. 2 He Lu was also quite frank. He admitted his mistake right away, admitting that he did not think enough while on duty and had ignored No. 9 Cai Yin's attitude towards Gu Feng.

This is indeed his problem. He is the one who talked too much. You can't blame others for using this to attack him, and you can't blame the good people for standing on the wrong side.

But no matter what, he is a prophet after all. The good guys beat him to death with a stick, and in the end the wolf is the one who benefits. After all, he is not the only one who loses, but everyone loses together.

This attitude is quite good. As the saying goes, it is a great help to admit one's mistakes and improve them. If he insists on trying to make amends, then that's the end of it.

"Now I review the logic, player 5 is a good person, I hit the wrong player."

"Player No. 12 said on the police that 4 and 6 might be two wolves playing with the board as their identities. I didn't take it seriously at the time. I thought his logic was too out of the ordinary."

"But now that I think about it, 12 is probably right. 4 and 6 are double wolves playing as a board for identity, and 8 is a hidden wolf. She doesn't know that the wolf team is doing something tricky. She just knows that she has to come out and do something tough."

"Yes, that should be the case. Otherwise, player 8 wouldn't have come out to do this. She would have done this only because she didn't know whether player 5 was a good guy or a wolf and mistakenly thought that player 5 might be her wolf teammate."

"Player 1 said that if player 8 is a wolf and wants to save player 5, he must give up the kill. If he doesn't give up the kill, it doesn't conform to the behavior logic of the wolf. This seems to make sense at first glance, but it is actually a false logic."

"Not everyone likes to check and kill each other. Player 5 was checked and killed, and player 8 turned around and threw a check and kill to others. It's easy for people to guess her intentions."

"After all, everyone here is smart. As soon as you stick your butt out, you know what shit is going to happen. It's better to throw some gold water to win votes and win favor. What's more, she is throwing gold water to good people."

"The most important thing is that player No. 8 is a Hidden Wolf. He doesn't dare to rashly use his kill check. What if his kill check accidentally hits a wolf teammate?"

"In fact, from the perspective of player 8, player 4 might be a good guy who likes to have fun, player 6 is a prophet, and player 5 is her wolf teammate. In this case, if she throws a check, what if it is also a wolf?"

"Although the possibility is relatively low, and my luck should not be so bad, but it is better to be safe than sorry. If you want to be safe, it is definitely better to throw the gold water."

"As a result, Player 1 used this point to support Player 8, saying that Player 8 is not a wolf. That means he is leading a good person into a ditch. After hearing what Player 1 said, the wolf must be grinning so hard that his mouth is crooked, right, Player 9?"

"Are you cheering for Player 1 in your heart, saying he did a great job?"

"Although Player 1 got the logic wrong and helped the Wolf to set a big rhythm, I can't beat him anymore."

He Lu is really awesome. He completely overturned his own statement on police duty and re-examined the logic.

Moreover, as soon as he opened his mouth, people's hearts skipped a beat, because he actually agreed with the idea of ​​No. 12 Chu Jian, that No. 4 and No. 6 were two wolves playing as identities, and No. 8 Li Yunyun was the hidden wolf.

At the same time, He Lu also responded to the logic of Zhao Shun No. 1, saying that Li Yunyun's behavior of not throwing a check and killing but throwing gold water cannot prove that she is a prophet. In fact, He Lu's analysis is quite reasonable. If Li Yunyun is really a hidden wolf, she is afraid of throwing a check and killing to her wolf teammates, so she will choose to throw gold water to play it safe.

Besides, people have different ideas. Zhao Shun thinks that if Li Yunyun pretends to be a wolf, the best way to save Zhou Naiyi is to kill her equally. There is nothing wrong with this idea.

But what if some people just don't play by the rules? Or do they just don't like to throw checks, fearing that they'll get into trouble?

In short, there are too many subjective and objective reasons that affect whether Li Yunyun loses the gold water or not, so Zhao Shun's logic is untenable.

however.

He Lu chose the double wolves at 4 and 6, which was equivalent to killing Gu Feng, but Gu Feng was a guard, so from his perspective, He Lu still couldn't pick up the prophet card.

After all, He Lu himself knew that he could not justify the police's remarks, so he could only cheat and start a new business.

After a pause, He Lu continued, "4, 6, 8, 9, these are what I think of as the four wolves now."

"I think player 4 is a wolf. He wants to pretend to be a hidden wolf. Player 6 is cooperating with player 4 to wear clothes. Player 9 is my card flipper to check and kill. Player 8 is a hidden wolf who is trying to show off."

"The people in the outer positions are all good people. Whether they are on the wrong side or the right side, they can't be hit."

"I know that my speech on duty made you very unhappy, but I am not flattering myself as a police officer. I picked four wolves in one round, and none of 4, 6, 8, and 9 were wrong. If I make a mistake, I will blame myself."

"Of course, I also know that it's very difficult to get you to stand on my side. After all, my logic is terrible, but I really am a prophet. I really am."

"I hope you can be more tolerant of me. Everyone makes mistakes sometimes, right?"

"If it really doesn't work, after you remove player No. 9 today, the witch will poison me tonight. The next day, you can play the game again to see who is the prophet. If you feel that you are on the wrong side, then remove player No. 8."

"If I'm kicked out, the witch must poison player 9 at night. She must poison me. Otherwise, the wolf team will kidnap me the next day because the police badge is in the wolf's hands."

"I don't know how many people will believe me after I've said so much. I think player No. 12 is really good. He is the only one who stands on the right side and has the right logic."

"He was very stable in the last game, and he was the same in this game. I have to admit that player No. 12 is the one who chose the right side. It's a pity that I was not good at chatting. I shouldn't have made such a big mistake, but it happened. I can only try my best to recover."

"No matter if you stand by me or not, or if you believe me or not, I will vote for player No. 9. He is the Iron Wolf, so he must go first. That's it, it's passed."

[Player No. 3 please speak]

"I didn't expect that I would be beaten for saying that this board might be a cowardly situation."

"You all know that the young wolves and the seed wolves won't jump out. The only ones that can jump out are the hidden wolves. But some people won't jump out boldly when they have hidden wolves. They just want to play a game with the cowardly wolves."

"As long as the person being pushed back on the first day is not a wolf but a good person, and the wolf successfully infects one person at night, there will be five wolves on the field when you wake up the next day."

"What's the concept? It can be said that the wolf can win even if he fights with his eyes closed, but if he pretends to be a tough guy, he will expose his identity as a hidden wolf. A smart good guy will not waste his turns on a hidden wolf."

"Only those who are not familiar with this board would choose to use Hidden Wolf, but in fact, good guys don't need to use it when two people are fighting against each other. If you use it right, you won't gain any advantage, but if you make a mistake, you will lose a lot."

"And the hidden wolf also knew that there might be little wolves coming out to put on clothes, so he deliberately lay low to avoid being noticed by the good guys."

"Like what you guys said about Hidden Wolf's tough behavior, I'm sorry to say, it's still in the early stages. No wonder you can't understand why I said there might be a Cowardly Wolf situation."

As soon as No. 3 Cheng Xue opened her mouth, she explained why her superiors said that the Wolf Team might play a tough game with the Cowardly Wolf. She didn't come out to jump out. It was not that she couldn't think of the Hidden Wolf jumping out, but that she was at a higher level.

Because she had played this board often before and had encountered all kinds of tricks, the Hidden Wolf had a wide variety of tricks and fighting styles to choose from, so it was not necessary to come out and do something tough.

To be honest, the Hidden Wolves who come out to act bravely are all honest people and are not of much help to the Wolf Team. As long as good people are not stupid, they will not appear among the Hidden Wolves and the Prophets.

Because no matter whether you make a right mistake or a wrong one, it is the good people who lose. The only difference is whether the loss is small or huge.

“2、8对跳预言家，只有12号玩家盘到了点子上，4、6是双狼打板子做身份穿衣服。”

"If I remember correctly, there were a total of four people who jumped into the role of prophet in this game. This is actually abnormal. There shouldn't be so many people jumping into the role of prophet on this board."

"There must be something wrong when things are out of the ordinary. The 4 or 6 pairs of wolves need to be carefully considered. This is not a low-probability event."

"Player No. 11 said that if 4 and 6 are really two wolves, it's okay to let them win. Why? You guys don't play much and don't want to play like this, but I've seen this kind of routine many times. Why should I let them win?"

"You're quite generous and gave them the win. Why don't you let them give me the win? It's nothing."

Cheng Xue scolded No. 11 Hu Tutu. In her opinion, 4 or 6 double wolves hitting the board is not a low-probability event at all. It is a relatively high-end operation on this board.

It requires very tacit cooperation and a certain amount of luck, but Hu Tutu held on to a fluke mentality and said that if there were 4 or 6 pairs of wolves, they would win. This was an extremely irresponsible statement.

In other words, all the wolf pits have been found, otherwise Hu Tutu would definitely fall into the wolf pit.

"After saying so much, I'm sure you've heard that I'm on the side of player 2. Players 4 and 6 are definitely two wolves playing the board as an identity. Player 8 is an upright hidden wolf who has to jump out. She doesn't care what the situation is in the external position."

"Today I will play player No. 9. Actually, I would rather play player No. 4. If nothing unexpected happens, player No. 4 will most likely be a wolf."

"But I know it's impossible to get a 4 today, and you still think I'm trying to trick the good guys into fighting against Hidden Wolf for a round."

"There is no other way. We have to settle for the next best thing and send out player No. 9. Player No. 9 can only be a little wolf, and he can't afford to be a breeding wolf."

"Finally, I want to say something to all the good people here. Don't all rush to support player 8. Things are not as simple as you think."

"Let's not talk about anything else, just say that player No. 2 is a wolf. There is no reason for him to come out and show off. Even if it's a wolf game, it doesn't matter if there are good players among 6 and 8 who show off their skills."

"As for why player 1 got 2 and wanted to jump to the last position, that is pure malicious speculation and forced logic. If player 2 didn't jump, it might be a cowardly game. What's wrong with a cowardly game? The wolf team is afraid. How funny."

"Forget it, forget it. I won't say any more. Now I just hope that good people will vote for player No. 9. After No. 9 comes out, let No. 2 and No. 8 continue to debate tomorrow. That's it. I passed."

[Player No. 4 please speak]

"Don't dress me up randomly. I'm not a hidden wolf. I'm a good person."

"I threw a check to player 5 on the police station, just to show off my skills and see how the people in the outside position would react to me throwing a check to player 5."

"The most important thing is that after I jumped, the wolf had no idea who was the Hidden Wolf and who was the good guy who was wearing Hidden Wolf's clothes."

"If Hidden Wolf mistakenly thinks I'm Little Wolf wearing clothes, and Little Wolf thinks I'm Hidden Wolf pretending to be a fake, then I'll achieve the effect I want."

"I never expected that player 6 was even more cunning than me. He just threw a check on player 5, which really broke my heart."

"I wanted to retreat immediately, after all, he kept talking to me, which made me feel uneasy. But then I thought, I should wait for the person who jumped with the 6th pair to come out. If I don't retreat, the wolf may have to send another person to jump again."

"At the time I thought 6 was the prophet and 5 was really the wolf. After all, 6 is the wolf, and it doesn't make sense at all."

No. 4 Sun Cheng explained to the good guy in a very sincere tone why he jumped into the role of prophet to check and kill No. 5 Zhou Nai.

He was showing off his skills and wanted to prevent Hidden Wolf from jumping. If there were three prophets on the field, the good guy would inevitably have to deal with Hidden Wolf's clothes being worn by Little Wolf.

"I can't take photos of my identity now. I can only take photos of my identity when someone is infected by the wolf breed. Because after that, I won't have to worry about being forcibly pulled into the wolf team."

"I will definitely side with player 8. I won't go into details about the reasons. After all, the people in the front position have talked about it many times, and the logic they said is almost exactly the same as my side with player 8."

"Of course, there is another different point, which is that player No. 2 killed me. He didn't have 4 and 6 as wolves on the police, but he said that 6 and I were wolf teammates and that I was a wolf. It's totally out of line."

"I can tolerate it if I'm a Hidden Wolf, after all, I do have a jump move on the alert, but how can you get 4 or 6 pairs of wolves? Are you forcing us to be a pair?"

"Players 3 and 12 were both leading the pace, especially 4. The police were all talking about this logic. Their behavior and mentality were extremely bad."

"In my opinion, 3 and 12 are most likely wolves. Unless they can be identified in photos, they should just stay in the wolf pit and wait for the surface water to eat the resistance push."

"I think Player 6 is a good guy. It's hard to tell who he is from the Wolf. You've already discussed the reasons, so I won't go into details."

"From what I heard, 11 and 12 didn't seem to be meeting. Since I picked 12 to go into the wolf pit, I have to recognize player 11. Based on the current situation, I can't play 11 and 12 as wolves."

"Actually, according to the pattern of three wolves on the police, that is, three wolves at 2, 3, and 12, and one wolf under the police, it feels like player 1. Well, it's just a feeling."

"In fact, I couldn't tell who was the wolf and who was the good guy among 1 and 10. They all voted for the opposite side and stood on the opposite side. They were all pretty good at chatting. I don't know how to beat them."

"I'll just follow my feelings. Right now I think Player 1 has a better chance, but tomorrow I might change my mind."

"It's best not to send out player 2 today. He's a wolf, and I'm afraid he's just a hidden wolf. I'd rather send out player 3. Judging from what she said, she doesn't sound like a good person. Or send out player 12. Sending one poison and one poison is even better."

"It will depend on how player No. 8 returns the votes. Let me emphasize again, in case you don't understand, I am not a wolf. I must be a good person. It's just that I can't take a photo of my identity now, so as not to be infected by the wolf."

"Having said that, I have also explained why I threw a check and kill show to Player 5. If you still don't believe me and still think that I must be Hidden Wolf, and all my logic now is just quibbling, then I really have nothing to say. So let's leave it at that."

(End of this chapter)