Mage Veigar

Chapter 463 A strong man breaks his wrist
How can we know the enemy's battle plan?
First of all, sending out war spies is unrealistic. Moreover, since Eskar is an extremely confident commander, he will definitely not choose to disclose the battle plan too early. Even if someone asks, he will probably only say half and keep the other half.

Vega understands this very well.

Because that's what he did himself. He would never tell everything in front of everyone. He would only tell his subordinates what to do and what not to do.

Eskar is the same as Vega.

They do not need officers with strong self-judgment ability, as such officers acting on their own will often lead the war to another extreme. What they need are puppets who can only follow orders.

Therefore, it is unrealistic to choose to steal the battle plan. After all, you can't get information directly from Eskar, so there is only one way left -

The entire plan was derived using conventional means.

What are conventional means?
To put it nicely, it is called empathy and thinking from the other person's perspective, relying on the existing situation to reasonably deduce the entire plan. To put it bluntly, it is called blind guessing.

But this guess is not groundless.

As an officer with rich command experience, Vega is able to guess the enemy's general plan to a certain extent.

It's not just Vega.

All generals of good reputation have this ability. The difference lies in who can see through the enemy's heart better.

Veigar returned to the sandbox again.

To deduce the enemy's battle plan, we must first understand the enemy's ultimate goal.

For the Imperial Army, the ultimate goal of this war is already obvious - to defend the City of Black Gold.

Of course, this is just the minimum goal.

It is said that a soldier who does not want to be a general is not a good soldier. And for a general, a general who does not want to maximize the results of the battle is obviously not a good general either. So if there is a minimum goal, there must be a maximum goal.

This top goal is also easy to guess.

Defeated his 30-man army and sounded the clarion call for a counterattack in the middle and lower reaches.

These two goals are relatively realistic at present, and are also the overall goals that can be chosen based on the subsequent war situation.

War is like doing math.

With the final answer, it becomes not too difficult to deduce the process of solving the problem. This is also the reason why in order to wage a war, we must first understand the enemy's motives and purposes.

If you don’t even know their purpose and motives, how can you win this war?

Passive defense and meaningless active offense are all the behavior of headless flies. No senior general would be so conceited as to think that he can win by just dealing with things casually because he has a large number of soldiers and generals.

Therefore, once the final goal is determined, the launch process will be easier.

In the end, Vega spent a day and a night and came up with two relatively clear plans.

According to Vega's speculation, Eskar must have a conservative plan and a radical plan.

The conservative plan is to hold on to the City of Black Gold. Even if Vega's morale is severely damaged in the next attack and defeat is inevitable, Eskar will not step out of the city gate and allow Vega to retreat safely.

Another radical plan was different.

If Vega fails to capture the city after a long siege, the morale of his army will be low and he will be forced to retreat to the middle reaches.

Then, Eskar, who is waiting for the opportunity, is likely to lead his troops out of the Black Gold City to pursue Vega when he thinks the situation has been decided, striving to expand the results of the battle, blow the first horn for counterattacking the middle and lower reaches, and indirectly wash away his own shame.

Which plan will Eskar choose?
This matter cannot be generalized, but it depends on Vega's subsequent performance. If Vega still maintains the ability to fight when he is preparing to retreat after repeated sieges, then Eskar will never dare to take a radical risk.

If Vega's morale is completely gone and he is about to collapse in the first battle, Eskar might adopt a radical plan and go out of the city to pursue Vega. After all, there is no general who doesn't like to maximize the results of the battle.

In view of this.

Here we have to mention the "climb the roof and pull out the ladder" principle that Vega is about to use.

Vega believed that as long as he could follow Eskar's goal and show step by step that defeat was inevitable, he would have something to do when Eskar successfully climbed to the roof.

Easier said than done.

Although it seems that all he needs to do is deceive Eskar, this method of deception is the most difficult to master. If he is not careful, he will be exposed and will prevent Eskar from leaving the City of Black Gold.

Therefore, the next step is to test your strength.

In the following week, Vega launched about five sieges, and each siege cost him the lives of more than 5 soldiers and ended in failure. In these five battles, he directly destroyed an entire division.

What about the Imperial Army?

Thanks to the complete city defense works and the fact that the enemy was well rested, the death toll did not exceed 3000.

Therefore, these five siege battles can be called siege battles in a nice way, but to put it bluntly, they were orders for soldiers to jump into the fire pit, which indirectly destroyed their morale. Now the entire army is calling for a retreat.

Keep fighting like this.

I'm afraid that before the Imperial Army takes action, Vega will not be able to control public opinion, causing the entire army to be on the brink of collapse.

Don't underestimate morale.

An army of 30 men, as long as their morale is high enough, can even defeat an army of 30 men with no morale at all, because without morale, these men will most likely flee before they can even fight a single round.

As the commander-in-chief, doesn't Vega know the seriousness of the matter?

Of course he knew.

But in Vega's opinion, ordinary means would be useless if he wanted to deceive Eskar's eyes. Only pretending to be real could make Eskar believe it.

without any exaggeration.

Vega was making heroic efforts to send the lives of his soldiers into the hands of the enemy, making Eskar feel that everything was going according to his plan. He was steadily moving up the ladder, and as long as he continued to follow this plan, he could turn from conservative to radical.

Of course, there is always a chance of something happening.

If Eskar finally adopted the conservative plan, Vega would not only lose tens of thousands of soldiers' lives, but also deal a fatal blow to his commander's prestige and the morale of the entire army.

Therefore, this can indeed be described as a heroic act.

If successful, the City of Black Gold will be captured. If unsuccessful, there will be heavy losses.

Even if ordinary commanders thought of this kind of combat method, they would not use it because the risks involved are too great and the variables of the war are beyond control.

But Vega did it anyway.

He firmly believed that Eskar was a commander who was as proud and confident in the war as he was.

(End of this chapter)